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Viewing cable 06ZAGREB1092, NEW GAS PIPELINE ASSURES WINTER SUPPLY

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06ZAGREB1092 2006-09-13 06:32 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Zagreb
VZCZCXRO1400
RR RUEHAST
DE RUEHVB #1092/01 2560632
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 130632Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6631
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ZAGREB 001092 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR EUR/SCE BALIAN 
STATE FOR EB/ESC/IEC GARVERICK 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ENRG ECON HR
SUBJECT: NEW GAS PIPELINE ASSURES WINTER SUPPLY 
 
 
ZAGREB 00001092  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED; NOT FOR INTERNET 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: The completion of a major new gas 
pipeline linking Croatia's Adriatic gas fields to 
the mainland gas distribution system is a major step 
forward in bolstering the country's near-term energy 
security.  When the pipeline comes on line at the 
end of the year, domestic gas production will 
satisfy 70 percent of Croatia's 3.2 billion cubic 
meter (bcm) annual demand, substantially reducing 
its reliance on Russian imports and ending chronic 
winter supply shortages.  When the pipeline network 
is extended to cover the remainder of the country, 
both its builder, state-owned PlinaCro and the 
Croatian government believe that Croatia will be 
able to guarantee the long-term security of its gas 
supply.  End Summary. 
 
-------------------------- 
Higher Domestic Production 
-------------------------- 
2.  (SBU) The Croatian government recently announced 
the completion of a new gas pipeline connecting the 
east and west of the country.  The pipeline runs 
from the Istrian city of Pula, to Rijeka, Karlovac, 
through Zagreb and on to Slavonski Brod in Eastern 
Slavonia.  Most importantly, however, is an 
underwater line built by the state oil and gas 
company INA connecting its offshore production 
facilities in the Adriatic to the pipeline. 
 
3.  (SBU) INA's offshore production, developed 
jointly with Italian ENI and Edison, will now 
provide Croatia with an additional 1.1 bcm of gas 
annually.  Supply from these fields has been limited 
until now by the lack of a direct connection to the 
Croatian distribution network, so the entire output 
of the fields went through Italy.  INA and its 
Italian partners share the output of the fields on a 
50-50 basis.  Proven reserves of currently exploited 
fields are about 25 bcm.  INA expects these fields 
to reach peak production in 2010.  Croatia also has 
substantial domestic gas production in its 
continental region.  The Pannonian fields, located 
in the area between Zagreb and the eastern region of 
Slavonia in what was the bed of the prehistoric 
Pannonian Sea, produce about 1.2 bcm annually. 
 
------------------------------- 
Expanded Network Secures Supply 
------------------------------- 
4.  (SBU) PlinCro, which builds and operates 
Croatia's entire pipeline network, has plans to 
extend its pipelines into coastal Dalmatia as far as 
Dubrovnik and construct a new connection to the 
Hungarian border near the Slavonian town of Donji 
Miholjac in the eastern part of the country. 
According to PlinaCro, extending Croatia's gas 
network offers the dual benefit of bringing gas to 
previously un-serviced areas, such as Dalmatia, but 
also diversifying potential sources of supply.  The 
new connection to Hungary, for example, will enable 
Croatia to import larger quantities than have been 
possible through its existing connection from 
Slovenia.  One of the reasons Croatia could not 
fully use its Adriatic gas was that the Slovenian 
pipeline, through which all gas entered the system, 
was already at its saturation point. 
 
5.  (SBU) In the longer term, the Croatian 
government has given its support for construction of 
an LNG terminal in the northern Adriatic with a 
planned capacity of 10-13 bcm, enough to satisfy 
Croatia's modest but growing domestic demand and to 
enable it to play a role in European supply. 
Currently there are no connections between the 
Croatian pipeline system and those of Serbia, Bosnia 
and Montenegro.  The system built in the former 
Yugoslavia supplied Croatia and Slovenia from the 
northern trunk line from Russia while Serbia and 
Bosnia received gas from the southern line - a 
decision Croats came to view as fortuitous during 
the 1990s war as, unlike in the case of Bosnia, 
Serbia was never able to deprive Croatia of gas.  In 
the changed environment of present-day southeastern 
Europe, Croatia views itself as the possible 
supplier to its southern and eastern neighbors. 
 
ZAGREB 00001092  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
 
-------------------------------------- 
Wary of Gazprom's Downstream Predation 
-------------------------------------- 
6.  (SBU) Contacts at both INA and PlinaCro believe 
that Europe has no realistic alternatives to Russian 
gas, but want to ensure that Croatia is positioned 
to benefit from Caspian gas should that source 
become available.  PlinaCro considers that once it 
completes its bi-directional pipeline throughout 
Croatia, connections either to NABUCCO or even to 
eventual Albania pipelines would be relatively easy. 
 
7.  (SBU) The Croatian gas industry is more 
concerned about Gazprom's downstream moves for local 
gas distribution than a disruption of supply. 
Although PlinaCro is state-owned, the status of 
municipal gas companies varies with some owned by 
municipalities themselves, others by the national 
electric utility HEP and others in private hands. 
Although thus far there has been little Russian 
interest in Croatian gas distribution companies, as 
one contact put it, "sooner or later Gazprom is 
going to eat us all for lunch, even the small fish 
like Croatia." 
 
BRADTKE