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Viewing cable 06TOKYO5408, IT'S OFFICIAL; ABE WINS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06TOKYO5408 2006-09-20 09:00 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO8436
OO RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #5408 2630900
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 200900Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 6554
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING PRIORITY 4237
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL PRIORITY 0367
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA PRIORITY 8128
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA PRIORITY 7890
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA PRIORITY 0682
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE PRIORITY 1482
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO PRIORITY 9219
RHMFIUU/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/DISA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/TREASURY DEPT WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEHIN/AIT TAIPEI PRIORITY 6135
UNCLAS TOKYO 005408 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV JA
SUBJECT: IT'S OFFICIAL; ABE WINS 
 
REF: TOKYO 05362 
 
1.  (U) Summary.  As expected, Shinzo Abe won a decisive 
victory in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) election 
on September 20, defeating Foreign Minister Taro Aso and 
Finance Minister Sadokazu Tanigaki in a contest that was 
never really close.  He became the 21st LDP president 
immediately upon the resignation of the current president, 
Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, later in the day.  Abe will 
succeed Koizumi as Prime Minister on September 26.  End 
summary. 
 
2.  (U) Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe, 51, became the 
youngest Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) president in history 
on September 20, taking 66 percent of the vote in an election 
that was his to lose from the start.  He needed to gain only 
a simple majority of the votes to win outright and avoid a 
runoff.  Abe will succeed Koizumi as prime minister on 
September 26, when the current cabinet resigns en masse on 
the opening day of the extraordinary Diet session.  He is 
expected to announce his choices for party executive posts on 
September 25, and his new cabinet lineup on September 26. 
Abe, who will take office as the first prime minister born 
after the end of World War II, is eligible to serve two 
three-year terms.  In brief remarks, he promised to "carry on 
the torch of reform," 
 
3.  (U) Diet members began voting at 1400 local time, 
according to an Embassy Tokyo contact in the LDP's election 
office.  The prefectural chapters began counting their 
ballots earlier in the day; timing the entry of the results 
into a database maintained at the national headquarters 
office in Tokyo to coincide with the Diet member voting.  A 
general meeting of party members later in the afternoon 
accepted the resignations of Koizumi and other party 
executives from their party posts.  The other outgoing 
executive members were Secretary General Tsutomu Takebe, 
General Affairs Council Chairman Fumio Kyuma, and Policy 
Affairs Research Council Chairman Hidenao Nakagawa. 
 
4.  (U) The candidates competed for a total of 703 votes; 403 
from LDP Diet members and 300 allocated to the LDP's 
prefectural chapters on a proportional basis (reftel).  One 
Diet member vote was invalidated during the counting.  The 
voting breakdown followed recent polling trends fairly 
closely: 
 
                 Diet     Prefectures    Total       Percent 
Abe               267         197         464          66.1 
Aso                69          67         136          19.4 
Tanigaki           66          36         102          14.5 
Total             402         300         702         100.0 
 
5.  (SBU) Comment.  Aso and Tanigaki had been neck-and-neck 
in polls over the past few months, but Aso was expected to 
finish slightly stronger.  According to NHK News, the 
campaign to deny Abe an even more lopsided victory seems to 
have gained some traction in recent weeks, leading Aso and 
Tanigaki to garner more votes than originally anticipated. 
Of the two, Tanigaki was generally regarded to have been a 
more vocal opponent of Abe's policy line, and a stronger 
showing might have been seen as a bell-weather of opposition 
to Abe within the party.  His third place finish gives Abe a 
much clearer mandate.  Voter turnout among LDP members in the 
prefectural chapters was 61.5 percent, down about 8 percent 
from the last LDP election three years ago, likely reflecting 
Abe's insurmountable lead. 
SCHIEFFER