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Viewing cable 06KINSHASA1448, ANOTHER TRANSITION PROCEDURAL GLITCH

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06KINSHASA1448 2006-09-15 13:00 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXYZ0275
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHKI #1448 2581300
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 151300Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4791
INFO RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE IMMEDIATE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK IMMEDIATE
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE 0453
UNCLAS KINSHASA 001448 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM CG
SUBJECT: ANOTHER TRANSITION PROCEDURAL GLITCH 
 
 
1. (U) In accordance with the DRC,s very complicated new 
constitution, and following the July 30 presidential and 
National Assembly elections, the 500 members of the new 
elected National Assembly are to take office in an initial 
session on September 22.  The ceremonial installation is 
expected to be followed by an initial Assembly working 
session to elect officers and formulate and adopt internal 
regulations and procedures.  Under terms of the new 
constitution, the Assembly will play an important role in the 
future government, including GDRC budgetary approval and 
oversight, needed majority support for the new Prime Minister 
and ministers, and the power to pass a motion of censure, 
bringing down the government.  The installation of the new 
Assembly represents an important and visible milestone toward 
the successful completion of the DRC's long-running 
transition and eventual installation of a 
democratically-elected government. 
 
2. (SBU) One of the provisions of the electoral law, however, 
precludes a government minister from also serving as a 
National Assembly representative.  Roughly half of the 
Transition Government's 60 plus ministers and vice ministers 
were elected to the new Assembly, thus obliging them to make 
a choice soon whether to continue as Transition ministers, or 
take their seats in the new Assembly.  According to the 
electoral law, newly-elected members have eight days from the 
time their mandates are validated to accept their positions 
in the Assembly.  The law, however, is silent on when that 
"validation" actually takes place either with the 
installation of the Assembly itself, or when the DRC's 
Supreme Court validates the legislative results in 
mid-November .  In any case, if an elected representative 
does not take his or her seat, the candidate's "suppleant" 
(or substitute, who was named by the candidate when he or she 
registered to run, but did not appear on the ballot) will 
automatically be selected for the vacant seat.  On the other 
hand, the resignation of roughly half the transition cabinet 
will have an obvious impact on the operations of the 
Transition Government for its remaining lifespan.  Given 
October 29 second-round elections, a new post-election 
government may not be formed before the end of this calendar 
year. 
 
3. (SBU) Many, if not all, of the current ministers are 
clearly loathe to give up their current positions, with all 
the attendant opportunities for better (official and 
non-official) compensation.  On the other hand, presumably 
these politicians will not be eager to sacrifice their secure 
seats in a future institution for an uncertain fate as a 
possible selectee in the new government.  At this point, 
there is no obvious legal way to finesse the issue. 
 
4. (SBU) Comment: Some have speculated that cutting the 
cabinet in half could, in fact, improve the operations of the 
poorly functioning Transition Government.  Clearly, however, 
any band-aid fix, such as assigning remaining ministers to 
cover more than one ministry or seeking improvised coverage 
by vice ministers, would not be ideal. Trying to reach 
negotiated political deals to fill the ministerial vacancies 
for the remaining months of the transition is possible, but 
would most likely result in a crop of appointees more 
interested in seeking short-term opportunities at the trough 
than in carrying forward the work of the country.  Whatever 
the approach taken, the situation would seem to offer another 
basis for low expectations of GDRC performance over the next 
few months.  End comment. 
MEECE