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Viewing cable 06MEXICO4490, PRD EXPLOITS ELEMENT OF SURPRISE IN ON-GOING

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06MEXICO4490 2006-08-11 16:38 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Mexico
VZCZCXRO8274
RR RUEHCD RUEHGD RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL RUEHRD RUEHRS RUEHTM
DE RUEHME #4490/01 2231638
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 111638Z AUG 06
FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2640
INFO RUEHXC/ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
RUEAHLA/DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY
RHMFIUU/CDR USNORTHCOM
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 004490 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR MX
SUBJECT: PRD EXPLOITS ELEMENT OF SURPRISE IN ON-GOING 
PROTESTS 
 
REF: A. MEXICO 4292 
     B. MEXICO 4368 
     C. MONTEREY 989 
     D. MEXICO 4311 
 
1. (U) Summary: Following the Electoral Tribunal's (TEPJF) 
announcement on August 5 that it would recount 11,839 
precincts (9.07 percent of the nationwide total), PRD 
Candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) vowed new acts 
of civil resistance.  After a noisy protest in front of the 
TEPJF itself immediately following the decision, the PRD has 
begun what appears to be a series of "surprise protests" at 
various locations within and near Mexico City.  PRD national 
spokesman Gerardo Fernandez Norona explained in media 
interviews that all protests would remain "peaceful and 
legal," but would not identify what future demonstrations 
would take place, citing that future actions will continue to 
be of a surprise nature.  Demonstrators have already carried 
out several such "surprise" demonstrations, blocking 
entrances to major bank headquarters and the Attorney 
General's (PGR) office, as well briefly preventing tolls from 
being collected on major highways leading into Mexico City. 
This morning, demonstrators have blocked the Secretariat of 
Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) as well as the Tax 
Administration System headquarters (SAT).  While such actions 
so far have been limited to Mexico City and its surroundings, 
Fernandez claimed that the resistance movement would widen to 
a national scale.  End Summary. 
 
WHAT WILL THEY BLOCKADE NEXT? 
----------------------------- 
 
2.  (U) In response to the TEPJF's decision to order only a 
partial recount of votes cast in the July 2 presidential 
election (ref B), AMLO has vowed new acts of civil 
resistance. With Mexico City's central plaza (Zocalo) and 
Paseo de la Reforma still occupied by encampments of AMLO 
supporters, the PRD has added a new tactic to its repertoire: 
 surprise demonstrations.  Early in the morning on August 8, 
commuters to Mexico City were granted free passage on major 
tollways leading into the city, as AMLO supporters took 
control of toll booths and waved drivers through free of 
charge.  In an interview with major news outlets on August 9, 
PRD national spokesman  Norona confirmed that these actions 
of "civil resistance" would continue unannounced, but would 
remain peaceful.  He also claimed that the civil resistance 
movement would expand nationwide. 
 
3.  (U) Fernandez made this assertion August 9, shortly after 
protesters from the Zocalo and Reforma encampments blockaded 
the headquarters of three major banks: Banamex, Bancomer, and 
HSBC.  Poloff visited the blockade of the HSBC headquarters 
on Reforma, where approximately 80-100 demonstrators staged a 
sit-in in front of the entrances of the building.  Police had 
lined up between the protesters and the building's entrance 
to prevent them from entering, and it appeared that no one 
could get into or out of the office complex.  Poloff spoke 
with some demonstrators, several of whom admitted to be among 
those participating in the Reforma encampment.  When asked 
why they had chosen the HSBC building, one demonstrator 
responded, "We are here because investors and bankers like 
those from HSBC supported Calderon during the election with 
money, and we don't think this should be a country where the 
wealthy have such great influence." Some demonstrators held 
up a banner that said "Smile-- honorable people pay taxes," a 
reference to AMLO's campaign assertion that major 
corporations have been cheating on their taxes. 
 
4.  (U) Surprise protests did not stop at the banks, however, 
as the following day approximately 100 people protested 
outside an office of the Federal Preventative Police (PFP) 
and about 300 outside the Attorney General's Office.  An 
earlier surprise protest blocked entrances to Mexico City's 
stock exchange for several hours (ref D).  An attempt to 
block roads to the Mexico City Airport on August 10 was 
unsuccessful, however, and AMLO allies disclaimed any 
responsibility for that action.  Today, AMLO supporters have 
blockaded the SHCP and the SAT. 
 
 
A THIRD TRIP TO THE ZOCALO 
--------------------------- 
 
5.  (U) On August 9, poloffs made their third visit to the 
 
MEXICO 00004490  002 OF 002 
 
 
Zocalo encampments which, along with those on Reforma, appear 
to provide much of the manpower for the recent "surprise" 
demonstrations.  Compared with our last visit (ref A), camp 
residents appeared a little worse for wear, possibly because 
of deteriorating hygiene conditions. Clothing and hygiene 
products were in many cases strewn across the plaza, and many 
wooden platforms had been brought in because of problems with 
flooding caused by heavy rainstorms.  It appeared to poloffs 
that there were fewer people on the plaza than during our 
prior visit, with many larger tents completely empty.  An 
emboff who cycles to work on Reforma observed that there 
appear to be far fewer people emerging from the tents in the 
mornings than during the first days of the occupation. 
 
6.  (U) Compared to previous visits to the Zocalo, it 
appeared that more lower-income people were participating; 
earlier, poloffs met several academics and professionals 
camping there.  State camps are continuing to rotate 
participants, sometimes on a daily basis.  When asked where 
the demonstrators were receiving their food, all responded 
that it came from donations from people in Mexico City. 
State camp leaders continued to assert that they would 
maintain a presence until the Tribunal "resolves" the 
electoral challenge.  In this context, it is useful to note 
that logistical support for the encampments remains 
well-organized and includes regular food deliveries, hot 
meals, summer camp-type classes for children, water trucks, 
portable hygiene facilities, etc. 
 
COMMENT: A NATIONAL MOVEMENT? 
----------------------------- 
 
7. (SBU) Our visits to the encampments in the Zocalo and on 
Reforma and our discussions with analysts and observers 
leaves us with the impression that the encampments and 
day-to-day protests draw on a dedicated core of perhaps 
several thousand people, many of whom have been imported from 
other states.  While the PRD clearly seeks to expand its 
protests nationally, it remains to be seen how successful it 
will be.  Certainly the PRD's earliest attempts at organizing 
protests outside Mexico City -- all in the industrial north 
-- have fizzled (ref C), although it's possible the PRD will 
find it easier going in those southern states where AMLO's 
support is greater. 
 
 
Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at 
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity 
 
GARZA