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Viewing cable 06KINSHASA1293, DRC ELECTIONS: KABILA MAINTAINS LEAD WITH 60

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06KINSHASA1293 2006-08-16 15:34 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO2045
PP RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1293/01 2281534
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161534Z AUG 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4613
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001293 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM KPKO CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: DRC ELECTIONS: KABILA MAINTAINS LEAD WITH 60 
PERCENT OF DISTRICTS REPORTING 
 
REF: A. KINSHASA 1277 
 
     B. KINSHASA 1269 
     C. KINSHASA 1257 
 
1. (U) Preliminary vote tallies from the Independent 
Electoral Commission (CEI) through August 16 show 60 percent 
of the DRC's electoral districts have reported their 
presidential results. In the 101 of 169 districts having 
finished compiling ballots, incumbent President Joseph Kabila 
is leading Vice President Jean-Pierre Bemba 52 to 15 percent. 
Following the release of results from several voting 
districts in Bandundu province, Antoine Gizenga is currently 
in third place with nearly eight percent of the votes 
counted. Initial figures also show Nzanga Mobutu in fourth 
place with slightly more than five percent of the vote, and 
Oscar Kashala in fifth place with nearly three percent of 
those ballots counted through August 16. 
 
2. (U) A total of 8,345,761 valid ballots have thus far been 
counted. Kabila has received 4,352,913 votes of that total, 
while Bemba has garnered 1,256,525 votes. Of those districts 
reporting results to date, 49 are from the eastern region of 
the DRC, 42 from the west, and the remaining ten districts 
from the central part of the country. According to 
preliminary figures released by the CEI, overall voter 
participation is nearly 74 percent, higher than the DRC's 62 
percent voter turnout rate in the December 2005 
constitutional referendum. 
 
3. (U) Initial results continue to show Kabila's base to be 
in eastern DRC, while Bemba's is in the west, as expected. Of 
the 48 voting districts Kabila has won to date, 45 are in the 
eastern provinces of South and North Kivu, Maniema, Katanga, 
and Orientale. Kabila has also won one district each in the 
central provinces of Eastern and Western Kasai, plus one 
district in Bandundu. Bemba has won 22 districts overall thus 
far, with 19 coming from the western provinces of Bandundu, 
Bas-Congo and Equateur; Bemba has also won three districts in 
Eastern Kasai. All seven of the districts won by Gizenga are 
located in his home province of Bandundu. Eight of the ten 
provinces won by Mobutu come from his home province of 
Equateur. 
 
4. (U) No vote totals have yet been announced from the 
capital Kinshasa. CEI President Abbe Apollinaire Malu Malu 
said in a press conference August 15 that election workers 
were still sorting through election material to find the 
tally sheets from several neighborhoods in the city so as to 
begin compiling the results. The problems in locating some 
election materials have consequently delayed the posting of 
results for Kinshasa's four electoral districts (with a 
potential 2.9 million voters), which cannot be announced 
until all polling stations in a particular district have been 
accounted for and tabulated. Throughout Kinshasa, there were 
8,518 voting locations during the July 30 vote. As of August 
16, more than 94 percent of all ballots from the country's 
49,746 polling sites have been collected and have either been 
posted or are in the process of being verified. Malu Malu 
said, however, that he still expects the Commission will be 
able to announce nationwide provisional presidential results 
as planned by August 20. 
 
5. (U) Following the arrest of four election workers in 
Kinshasa August 9 for attempting to falsify tally sheets (ref 
A), the CEI reported August 15 that the head of the voting 
compilation center in Kananga (Western Kasai) was arrested on 
similar charges. According to CEI officils, the suspect 
changed the results in favor of ne National Assembly 
candidate, giving the candidte one hundred more votes than 
previously recordd. CEI officials in Kananga were able to 
catch te mistake after noticing a discrepancy between the 
number of actual voters and those registered in he district 
in question. The arrested CEI worker enied having falsified 
any official documents. 
6. (SBU) Comment: The arrest of several election orkers in 
one week for attemptd fraud is a sign the CEI does have 
safeguards in place. The fact that such incidents occurred 
(as opposed to having been caught), however, will likely only 
provide more "evidence" to those claiming the entire 
electoral process is illegitimate. Delays in posting results 
from Kinshasa, meanwhile, are beginning to cast doubt on 
whether the CEI can keep its promise of announcing 
provisional results by August 20. If no figures from the 
capital are posted in the next days, the chances of meeting 
 
KINSHASA 00001293  002 OF 002 
 
 
the self-imposed August 20 deadline become less probable. End 
comment. 
MEECE