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Viewing cable 06KINSHASA1277, DRC ELECTIONS: WITH 46 PERCENT OF DISTRICTS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06KINSHASA1277 2006-08-14 13:58 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Kinshasa
VZCZCXRO9776
PP RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1277/01 2261358
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 141358Z AUG 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4594
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001277 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM KPKO CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: DRC ELECTIONS: WITH 46 PERCENT OF DISTRICTS 
REPORTING, KABILA STILL IN LEAD 
 
REF: A. KINSHASA 1269 
 
     B. KINSHASA 1257 
     C. KINSHASA 1209 
     D. KINSHASA 1162 
 
1. (U) As of August 14, 46 percent of the DRC's electoral 
districts have reported results from the DRC July 30 
presidential election. In the 78 of 169 districts having 
announced results, incumbent President Joseph Kabila is 
leading Vice President Jean-Pierre Bemba 55 to 17 percent. 
Nzanga Mobutu, the son of former dictator Mobutu Sese Seko, 
is currently in third place with nearly 4 percent of the 
votes counted. Three other candidates -- Antoine Gizenga, 
Oscar Kashala, and Pierre Pay Pay -- each have approximately 
3 percent of the initial results. A total of 6,211,584 valid 
votes have been counted thus far, with Kabila garnering 
3,401,548 and Bemba receiving 1,028,651. Of those districts 
reporting results, 39 are from eastern DRC, 30 are from the 
west, and the remaining nine are from the central region of 
the country. 
 
2. (U) The initial results continue to show Kabila doing 
well, as expected, in the eastern provinces. Kabila has won 
37 voting districts overall, all but one (in Eastern Kasai 
province) from eastern DRC. Bemba has won 21 districts thus 
far, nearly all of which (except for three in Western Kasai 
province) are in the western part of the country. According 
to the preliminary vote counts, Mobutu has picked up five 
districts -- four in Equateur province and one in Orientale 
province; Kashala has won four -- one in Western Kasai, two 
in Eastern Kasai, plus one in Bas-Congo province; and Gizenga 
has won three districts --two in his native province of 
Bandundu and one in Bas-Congo. 
 
3. (U) Bas-Congo is the first province to have posted all of 
its presidential results. According to CEI figures, Bemba 
carried the province with 36.2 percent (308,954 votes) of the 
overall 853,300 votes there, while Kabila came in second with 
13.9 percent (118,684 votes). Kasavubu and Kashala were 
nearly tied for third place in Bas-Congo, garnering 6.59 
percent (56,209 votes) and 6.50 percent (55,459 votes), 
respectively. 
 
4. (U) According to the most recent initial figures from the 
Independent Electoral Commission (CEI), voter participation 
in the reporting districts was high. In the 78 reporting 
districts, voter turnout is currently 73.5 percent. The 
highest reported participation rate thus far was in the Fizi 
district with 99.3 percent (123,369 participants from the 
124,233 registered voters); the lowest reported rate to date 
was in the Eastern Kasai district of Lupatapata, with 15.6 
percent participation. (Note: Low voter turnout was expected 
because of an opposition party boycott of the election in the 
Kasai provinces, but participation in the region may be even 
lower due to election day violence during which several 
voting stations were destroyed, ref C. End note.) 
 
5. (U) Results from the important Kinshasa voting districts 
have not yet been announced, but are expected soon according 
to CEI officials. According to CEI figures, more than 80 
percent of ballots from the 49,746 polling sites have been 
collected and are in the process of being compiled and 
verified. CEI officials continue to say the Electoral 
Commission will announce nationwide provisional results for 
the presidential race no later than August 20. 
 
---------------------- 
CEI OFFICIALS ARRESTED 
---------------------- 
 
6. (U) CEI officials confirmed that six election workers at 
the Kinshasa compilation center were arrested August 9 when 
they were caught trying to alter the minutes of voting 
operation records from various polling stations in the 
capital. CEI President Abbe Apollinaire Malu Malu said the 
Commission is currently investigating the incident. CEI 
spokesman Dieudonne Mirimo said the fact that the six were 
caught indicates "sufficient" safeguards are in place to 
prevent fraud during the vote counting process. 
 
--------------------------------------------- 
15 CANDIDATES ALLEGE "MASSIVE IRREGULARITIES" 
--------------------------------------------- 
 
7. (U) Fifteen of the 33 presidential candidates released a 
 
KINSHASA 00001277  002 OF 002 
 
 
statement August 11 denouncing "massive irregularities" in 
the July 30 presidential and legislative elections, as well 
as the "complicit silence" of the international community in 
the face of such problems. The declaration follows a similar 
pre-election statement made by 19 of the presidential 
candidates (the 15 plus four others) that called for a 
"freeze" to the election campaign so that certain 
"shortcomings" of the electoral process could be addressed 
(ref D). The four candidates not signing on to the most 
recent statement are Justine Kasavubu, Oscar Kashala, Nzanga 
Mobutu, and Joseph Olenghankoy. (Comment: Perhaps not 
surprisingly, these four candidates are doing better in the 
initial election results than most of the other 15, who 
collectively have won approximately nine percent of the votes 
counted thus far. End comment.) 
 
8. (U) The current declaration alleges the July 30 elections 
were "tainted by massive and flagrant irregularities" 
throughout the country with a "complicit silence" from the 
International Committee to Accompany the Transition (CIAT), 
MONUC, and national and international election observers. The 
15 candidates charged that the election did not meet the 
minimal conditions for transparency and cannot in any way 
produce a new democratic order in the DRC. Among the alleged 
"irregularities" from the group of 15 are cases of fraudulent 
records of voting operations, voters being bribed, and the 
"uncontrollable number" of excess ballots that permitted the 
stuffing of ballot boxes in Kinshasa. The statement concludes 
that the CEI, CIAT, MONUC and public authorities will alone 
be responsible for the harmful consequences which would 
result from these problems. 
 
-------------------- 
COMMENT: SOUR GRAPES 
-------------------- 
 
9. (SBU) The latest charges of voting irregularities from the 
group of 15 is little more than a case of sour grapes. Just 
as their pre-election appeal to suspend the campaign fell on 
deaf ears, so likely will this one. Initial voting results 
demonstrate these particular candidates had no widespread 
appeal among the voting population in the first place, and 
will unlikely be able to generate any popular support for 
their cause. More importantly, as other Congolese groups -- 
notably the Catholic Church and other religious groups -- 
announce they are initially satisfied with the electoral 
process, these candidates only look all the more like sore 
losers. End comment. 
MEECE