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Viewing cable 06TOKYO3921, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06TOKYO3921 2006-07-13 08:42 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO7474
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #3921/01 1940842
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 130842Z JUL 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4298
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA//J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/COMPATWING ONE KAMI SEYA JA
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 9794
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 7198
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 0498
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 7072
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 8338
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 3278
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 9424
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 1162
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 08 TOKYO 003921 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
 
(2) Chief Cabinet Secretary Abe denies preemptive strike argument: 
"Difficult to strike prior to being hit" 
 
(3) G-8 Summit kicks off on July 15; Situation does not warrant 
optimism regarding setting up pressure on Pyongyang with Russia 
hinting at exercising veto right against sanctions; Japan at crucial 
point 
 
(4) Okinawa City Assembly failed to adopt protest resolution against 
PAC-3 missiles; Safety of Okinawa residents left unaddressed 
 
(5) Poll on DPRK missile firing, Koizumi cabinet, post-Koizumi race 
 
ARTICLES: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
YOMIURI (Page 6) (Full) 
July 12, 2006 
 
By Washington Bureau Chief Masaomi Terada 
 
In an interview with the Yomiuri Shimbun, US President George W. 
Bush used the word "common" many times such as "common threat," 
"common goal," and common voice." The President expressed clearly by 
using the word "common" that in order to break the impasse, 
cooperation among the major countries is indispensable for his 
administration, which has many difficult security issues, such as 
the war on terror and the nuclear programs of both North Korea and 
Iran. The Bush administration is now facing a situation in which it 
cannot handle issues independently as it once did due to the 
diversity and diffusion of conflicts. A realistic policy of placing 
emphasis on cooperation is now gradually penetrating the Bush 
administration. It is said that the 2001 terrorist attacks caused 
concern for Americans regarding security for the first time since 
the 1962 Cuba missile crisis. Gaps between the US as a military 
superpower and Americans' psychological anxiety had a great impact 
on US actions after that. That was seen in the Iraq war. 
 
The Bush administration had to face many harsh realities over the 
past five years. More than 2,500 US soldiers were killed in the Iraq 
war. Popularity ratings for President Bush have remained at a low 
level of less than 40 PERCENT , dropping from the 90 PERCENT  level 
soon after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks on the US. The US posted 
an unprecedented $400 billion budget deficit. The administration's 
wiretapping in the country and the treatment of terrorist suspects 
at the US Naval Base at Guantanamo Bay have come under strong 
criticism as symptoms of excessive government power. 
 
The situation brought about by the terrorist attacks greatly 
diverges from the basis of the conventional US foreign policy of 
dealing with international affairs by keeping a balance between 
pragmatism and idealism. However, the situation is finally returning 
to what it was once before. More than the Bush diplomacy having 
changed per se, the complicated international situation has forced a 
rollback of US foreign policy. 
 
The present situation where there remain many problems is comparable 
to the situation that President Harry S. Truman faced at the 
 
TOKYO 00003921  002 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
beginning of the Cold War. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is a 
follower of the views of Secretary of State Dean Acheson, who served 
under President Truman. One of the features of Secretary Rice's 
foreign policy is her attaching importance to international 
cooperation. President Bush underscored his idealism in the 
interview, saying, "Freedom is universal. We should be concerned 
about those who live under a dictator." The Bush administration, 
which is trying to adjust its idealism to match a realistic policy 
line, might have begun to learn the lessons of history. 
 
(2) Chief Cabinet Secretary Abe denies preemptive strike argument: 
"Difficult to strike prior to being hit" 
 
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Full) 
July 13, 2006 
 
Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe in a press conference on July 11 
referred to the argument calling for Japan to have the capability to 
strike enemy bases in North Korea that had launched ballistic 
missiles, stressing: "There has been criticism that the argument is 
for a preemptive strike at the point when the other country has 
still not initiated a military attack, but that is completely wrong. 
No one is talking about preemptive strikes." He was responding to 
criticism from South Korea, which had taken his earlier remark as 
calling for preemptive strikes. 
 
In the press conference, Abe explained the conventional government 
view: "In case our country is attacked by guided missiles or the 
like, as long as there is no other means to prevent the attack, it 
would be within the scope of our right to self-defense as a legal 
argument for us to hit those bases with guided missiles or the 
like." 
 
There would have to be a comprehensive judgment as to whether the 
enemy country had initiated an armed attack by such means as: 1) 
international situation; 2) clarification of the other countries 
intentions; 3) and the means of attack. In addition, he stated: "As 
a practical problem, it would be extremely difficult to judge if 
such is being initiated." On the question of whether an enemy-base 
strike was permissible, he stated: "There is a high possibility 
after (a missile) has been launched and damage sustained." 
 
Regarding the propriety of possessing the capability of striking 
enemy bases, he stated: "The question is whether we should have such 
in addition to the joint response (capabilities) of Japan and the 
United States. We need to study this within the context of role 
sharing of the US being the spear and Japan the shield." 
 
(3) G-8 Summit kicks off on July 15; Situation does not warrant 
optimism regarding setting up pressure on Pyongyang with Russia 
hinting at exercising veto right against sanctions; Japan at crucial 
point 
 
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Full) 
July 13, 2006 
 
Jerusalem, Hidetoshi Watanabe, Economic News Section Shigeki 
Kurokawa 
 
 
TOKYO 00003921  003 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
The 32nd Summit (St. Petersburg Summit) will be held for three days 
starting on July 15. Russia, which will chair the meeting for the 
first time, had intended to focus on energy security as the top 
agenda item. However, North Korea's ballistic missile launches and 
Iran's nuclear development issue have come up as main subjects for 
discussion. Prime Minister Koizumi, who will step down in September, 
wants to make his last Summit a venue for the eight major 
industrialized nations to stand together in dealing with the North 
Korea issue. 
 
Koizumi, now visiting Middle East nations, underscored during a 
joint press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Olmert, held on 
the afternoon of the 12th (evening of the same night, Japan time): 
"The North Korean missile launches are not an issue concerning only 
Japan and the region around it but they are concerned with 
international peace. The international community needs to unite and 
send a message in a determined manner to Pyongyang in order to stop 
it from launching another missile. Olmert chimed in, "Non-democratic 
countries manufacturing conventional weapons is of concern for the 
international community." 
 
Japan wants to tighten the noose around Pyongyang in tandem with the 
move to adopt a draft resolution against Pyongyang at the United 
Nations Security Council (UNSC). It is paying close attention to how 
Russia will respond. 
 
Russia, along with China, is against the idea of adopting a 
sanctions resolution, but other G-8 member nations have shown 
understanding to Japan. Japan at first took the view: "Being the 
chair of the Summit for the first time, Russia wants to avoid 
becoming isolated. It has no other choice but to face North Korea in 
a severe manner," as a government source put it. However, the 
situation does not warrant optimism with Foreign Minister Lavrov 
hinting at exercising Russia's veto against the adoption of a 
resolution. 
 
Koizumi will meet with President Putin on the evening of the 15th in 
St. Petersburg. He intends to strongly urge Putin to deal with North 
Korea's missile launches in a strong manner at the Summit. 
 
North Korea's missile issue will likely be taken up on the 16th. 
Koizumi plans to lead discussions in cooperation with US President 
Bush, his close friend, who has a strong interest in the missile 
issue. 
 
The issue of Japanese nationals abducted by North Korea has been 
incorporated in chairman's summaries for three consecutive years 
since the Evian Summit in France in 2003. Japan will work on other 
member nations to include the issue in this year's chairman's 
summary as well. 
 
Possibility of solidarity on Iran's nuclear issue also in doubt 
 
The Summit will be focused on to what extent G-8 nations can act in 
unity for the purpose of urging Iran to accept a package of 
proposals submitted by the five permanent members of the UNSC and 
Germany in early June. 
 
Iran remains unclear about whether it is ready to accept the package 
 
TOKYO 00003921  004 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
or not. There is no sign of its meeting the deadline of making a 
reply by the Summit, as called for by the US and other countries. 
 
The five permanent members of the UNSC and Germany will foreign 
minister-level meetings on the 12th and the 13th in Paris and 
discuss how to respond to the issue. The US is eyeing the 
possibility of adopting a sanctions resolution against Iran at the 
UNSC, if it rejects accepting the proposal package. However, Russia 
is cautious about slapping sanctions on Iran. 
 
Japan will basically line up with the US. However, Iran is Japan's 
third largest oil supplier. Japan also has interests in the Azadegan 
oil field. Its real feeling is, therefore, that it does not want to 
enter into discussions on imposing stiff sanctions on that country, 
as a senior MOFA official put it. 
 
It is difficult to support Japan's sanctions stance, says Russian 
foreign minister 
 
Moscow, Akira Furumoto 
 
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov yesterday lashed out at Japan's 
stance on the North Korean sanctions resolution, saying, "It is 
utterly unacceptable." He hinted at the possibility of Russia 
exercising its veto right when the resolution is put to a vote. 
Noting that Japan's stance could stall the six-party talks, Lavrov 
maintained that the UNSC's measure should not include emotional or 
intimidatory elements against Pyongyang." 
 
(4) Okinawa City Assembly failed to adopt protest resolution against 
PAC-3 missiles; Safety of Okinawa residents left unaddressed 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Pages 26, 27) (Abridged) 
July 13, 2006 
 
The assembly of Okinawa City, home to Kadena Air Base, is being 
shaken by the planned US force realignment. On July 5, the assembly 
planned to adopt a protest resolution against the deployment of 
Patriot ground-to-air missiles as part of missile defense. But the 
plan fell through because the session was thrown into confusion by a 
Taepodong missile fired by North Korea that day. This article 
examines sentiments of residents of the US base town. 
 
"Simply put, the situation has changed. We didn't expect that North 
Korea would seriously launch missiles in this day and age. But now, 
we have to face such a reality." Okinawa City Assembly Chairperson 
Morikatsu Kohama explained this was why the assembly had not adopted 
on July 5 the resolution protesting the deployment of Patriot 
Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missiles. 
 
In April, Mitsuko Tomon, a former Social Democratic Party lawmaker, 
was elected mayor of Okinawa City. As a result, the city assembly is 
now composed of 10 progressive ruling-party members and 17 
conservative opposition-party members. 
 
But both the progressive and conservative members were opposed to 
the deployment of PAC-3 missiles. "The deployment would definitely 
strengthen the base functions, and the US military has not been 
accountable to local citizens," noted Kohama, who is also an 
 
TOKYO 00003921  005 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
opposition party member. 
 
The solidarity between the ruling and opposition camps was blown 
apart by the news that North Korea had fired missiles in the early 
hours of July 5. 
 
Assemblies of Kadena, Chatan, and Yomitan had adopted anti-PAC-3 
resolutions before the North test-fired the missiles. 
 
The missile launches shook up conservative members. 
 
Kohama cited some conservative members as saying: "The Security 
Council of Japan is now in session. It is improper for us to adopt 
the resolution because that would mean that we are clearly opposed 
to the central government." 
 
The conservative members, who had been supportive of the resolution, 
objected to it in the end. Ruling party members still attempted to 
adopt it on July 5, but the opposition block boycotted the session. 
As a result, the session was called off. 
 
"Discussion beyond the local level" 
 
Kohama added: 
 
"We have discussed the subject regardless of reality to some extent. 
The North Korean missile launches made us realize that the PAC-3s 
could defend the lives and property of local residents." 
 
Since its establishment in 2002, the base special committee has 
protested the US military every time an incident involving US 
servicemen occurred. The city assembly has adopted 23 protest 
resolutions. The ruling and opposition camps had never split over 
any protest resolutions until the one against the PAC-3. 
 
"The PAC-3 is different in nature from other accidents and 
incidents. The matter has transcended the level of local 
assemblies," Kohama said in a serious tone. 
 
Okinawa City assemblyman Shutaro Uchima, an independent raised an 
objection: 
 
"The deployment of PAC-3s could cause damage greater than that from 
other bases. It's absurd to complain about minor dangers and remain 
silent about a major danger. Enduring the PAC-3s in the name of 
Japan's defense may not allow us to express our views about damage 
from US bases in general in the future." 
 
Hideaki Ikehara of the Japanese Communist Party warned: 
 
"The theory that the PAC-3s will protect the people's lives is a 
lie. Once they are deployed, the base will become a prime target for 
an attack." 
 
What is the PAC-3 anyway? 
 
The PAC-3 is an improved version of the PAC-2, which was developed 
by the US Army and attracted attention during the Gulf War. The 
ground-based PAC-3 is known for its high accuracy to intercept a 
 
TOKYO 00003921  006 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
ballistic missile. The US military plans to deploy PAC-3s at Kadena 
Air Base before year's end. 
 
Defense Agency Director-General Fukushiro Nukaga categorically said 
before the Lower House Security Committee on July 6 that the agency 
plans to deploy Patriot missiles at Air Self-Defense Force bases by 
the end of fiscal 2006 instead of fiscal 2007. 
 
Military analyst Osamu Inagaki explained the Defense Agency's plan 
this way: 
 
"The deployment is designed to deal not only with North Korea but 
also China. Patriots can cover up to 500 kilometers south of Japan. 
The deployment will help increase Japan's deterrence against other 
countries, which may not actually fire missiles at Japan." 
 
Motoaki Kamiura, a military journalist, offered a critical view: 
 
"The US military's view is that of all the US bases in Japan, Kadena 
Air Base is most important and that PAC-3s are necessary to defend 
it. In theory, the PAC-3s is capable of shooting down a ballistic 
missile flying at Mach 3-10 in a split second. Having a range of 30 
kilometers, it can defend an area of 5-10 kilometers in diameter. It 
is often likened to hitting a fired bullet with another fired 
bullet, which is extremely difficult. In reality, the PAC-3 is 
useless. Even if a missile carrying a chemical warhead was 
intercepted, the debris would cause damage to nearby residents. 
After all, the PAC-3 is designed to defend base facilities and 
runways, not residents." 
 
How do local experts view the PAC-3 deployment plan? 
 
Tsutomu Aragaki, a lawyer leading the Futenma Air Station noise suit 
 
SIPDIS 
legal team, took this view: 
 
"The PAC-3 deployment plan and the North's missile launches are 
directly linked. In the wake of the missile launches, the city 
assembly should have discussed the plan squarely. The failure to 
adopt the anti-PAC-3 resolution indicates that the city assemblymen 
are not aware of the gravity of the plan. The deployment of PAC-3s 
will entail major changes to the equipment. The views of affected 
municipalities and the Okinawa public must be heard first. It has 
become clear that the PAC-3s are for defending the base. We must 
become aware that the US base armed with PAC-3s will post a great 
risk of being attacked and that the safety of Okinawa residents will 
be left unaddressed. The recent attempt to expand the interpretation 
of the right of self-defense in connection with the North Korean 
missiles, which would eventually change the nature of the SDF, is 
dangerous." 
 
Professor Masaie Ishihara of Okinawa International University also 
lamented: 
 
"The timing of the North's launching of the missiles was bad for 
Okinawa's anti-base movement. It was unfortunate that Pyongyang 
launched them on the day the city assembly was scheduled to adopt 
the protest resolution." 
 
(5) Poll on DPRK missile firing, Koizumi cabinet, post-Koizumi race 
 
TOKYO 00003921  007 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
 
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Full) 
July 8, 2006 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage.) 
 
Q: North Korea fired a number of missiles including a Taepodong-2 
ballistic missile. Do you feel that North Korea is a threat? 
 
Very much    54.4 
Somewhat    22.4 
Not very much   13.7 
Not at all   6.1 
No answer (N/A)  3.4 
 
Q: In response to North Korea's missile firing this time, the 
Japanese government decided right away on sanctions against North 
Korea, including measures to bar the North Korean ferry 
Mangyongbong's entry into Japanese ports and restrict human 
exchanges with North Korea. Do you support these sanction measures? 
 
Yes  91.8 
No  4.6 
N/A  3.5 
 
Q: The government also mulls stopping money remittances from North 
Korean residents in Japan to their home country and restricting 
trade with North Korea. What do you think about these economic 
sanctions? 
 
Implement immediately  64.8 
Implement in stages   27.8 
No need to implement  4.3 
N/A      3.1 
 
Q: The government wants the United Nations Security Council to adopt 
a resolution denouncing North Korea and seeking sanctions on North 
Korea. Do you support this course of action? 
 
Yes   90.3 
No   3.8 
N/A   5.9 
 
Q: Do you think Japan should work together with the US to expedite 
the development and deployment of a missile defense system that can 
shoot down enemy missiles? 
 
Yes   62.6 
No   24.1 
N/A   13.2 
 
Q: Do you think North Korea's missile firing this time will further 
delay a solution to the issue of Japanese abductees? 
 
Yes   77.8 
No   12.5 
N/A   9.7 
 
 
TOKYO 00003921  008 OF 008 
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/13/06 
Part-1 
INDEX: 
(1) Realistic policy line of international cooperation penetrating 
Bush administration 
 
Q: Do you think Japan and North Korea should normalize their 
diplomatic relations as soon as possible? 
 
Normalize as soon as possible   28.3 
Normalize but no need to hurry  43.3 
No need to normalize    21.3 
N/A        7.1 
 
Q: Do you support the Koizumi cabinet? 
 
Yes     48.5 
No     39.9 
Other answers   3.8 
N/A     7.7 
 
Q: Prime Minister Koizumi has clarified that he would leave office 
when his term as president of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party 
expires in September this year. Who do you think is most appropriate 
for the next prime minister? Pick only one from among the five 
persons listed below. 
 
Taro Aso    4.5 
Shinzo Abe   47.8 
Sadakazu Tanigaki  1.9 
Yasuo Fukuda   20.7 
Taku Yamasaki   0.6 
Others    0.3 
Not on the list  14.6 
N/A     9.6 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted July 7-6 over the 
telephone on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. A 
total of 1,702 persons with one or more voters were sampled across 
the nation, and valid answers were obtained from 969 persons (56.9 
PERCENT ). 
 
SCHIEFFER