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Viewing cable 06TOKYO3860, MEDIA REACTION Q NORTH KOREAN MISSILE LAUNCHES

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06TOKYO3860 2006-07-11 05:49 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO4835
PP RUEHFK
DE RUEHKO #3860 1920549
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 110549Z JUL 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4198
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA PRIORITY
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI//N541// PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA// PRIORITY
RUHBANB/OKINAWA FLD OFC US FORCES JAPAN CP BUTLER JA PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA PRIORITY
INFO RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 7143
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 0443
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 3217
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 1133
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 9364
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 1108
RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC
UNCLAS TOKYO 003860 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR I/RF, PA/PR/FPC/W, IIP/G/EA, EAP/PD, R/MR, 
EAP/J, EAP/P, PM; 
USTR FOR PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
TREASURY FOR OASIA/IMI; 
SECDEF FOR OASD/PA; 
CP BUTLER OKINAWA FOR AREA FIELD OFFICE; 
PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO JA
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION Q NORTH KOREAN MISSILE LAUNCHES 
- TOKYO 
 
 
LEAD STORIES: Most Tuesday morning papers front-paged a 
decision by the USG and GOJ to postpone the UNSC vote on 
a resolution against North Korea's missile launches for a 
few days in light of China's diplomatic effort to push 
Pyongyang back to the six-party talks. 
 
1. "Diplomacy Alone Cannot Prevent North Korean Missile 
Launches" Guest columnist Takushoku University Prof. 
Satoshi Morimoto commented in the conservative Sankei 
(7/11): "North Korea's missile launches last week pose a 
serious challenge and threat to the security of the 
international community, including Japan. Nevertheless, 
the Japanese people lack an appropriate sense of crisis, 
and this is indeed a more serious problem. North Korea 
has devoted the past decade-plus to developing and 
deploying nuclear weapons and missiles. If the situation 
is allowed to continue, these two threats will fuse, and 
Japan will find itself vulnerable to nuclear attack or 
nuclear blackmail. Japan's efforts in the national 
security arena have been slow. Although the US Navy 
currently has an Aegis cruiser equipped with SM-3 
missiles at Yokosuka this summer, the deployment of US 
missiles capable of intercepting Taepodong-2 long-range 
missiles will not take place for some time. It will not 
be until the end of the year that the US Army will deploy 
PAC-3 missiles at Kadena AB, with the GSDF set to deploy 
PAC-3 missiles starting in 2007 and the MSDF expected to 
put SM-3 missiles on Aegis ships from 2008.... Although 
Japan has launched two spy satellites, it is still 
dependent on the US for analysis of the details of North 
Korean preparations for missile launches.... It is, 
therefore, imperative that Japan strengthen its 
intelligence-gathering activities.... 
 
2. "We cannot allow North Korea to conclude that other 
nations will yield to its saber-rattling policy. We need 
to deal resolutely with Pyongyang's intimidation. Since 
North Korea launched the missiles in violation of the 
Japan-DPRK Pyongyang Declaration, Tokyo should inform 
Pyongyang that the agreement is now void.... Assuming 
that North Korea launched the missiles in the awareness 
that it would find itself on the receiving end of 
considerable pressure from the international community, 
that means there were forces in the country determined to 
push forward in doing so. The Taepodong-2 missile that 
was setn up reportedly failed. Another unsuccessful 
launch of a Taepodong-2 would damage the prestige of the 
Kim Jong Il regime, which could lead to a difficult 
situation. Attention is now shifting to what the response 
of the international community will be at the UN Security 
Council and the coming G-8 summit in Russia. The question 
is whether China and Russia share the world's concern 
over the missile launches and will vote for the 
resolution at the UNSC sponsored by Japan and the US. It 
is imperative that Japan cooperate closely with 
Washington and deal with any confusion in a cool-headed 
manner. Although it would be preferable for the North 
Korean nuclear and missile programs to be abolished 
through diplomacy, the idea that every security issue can 
be resolved through talk is fantasy." 
 
SCHIEFFER