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Viewing cable 06BUENOSAIRES1487, RULING ON GUANTANAMO; MEXICAN ELECTIONS; WTO; KIRCHNER TO

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06BUENOSAIRES1487 2006-07-03 20:38 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0000
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #1487/01 1842038
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 032038Z JUL 06
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5111
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 001487 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION
SUBJECT: RULING ON GUANTANAMO; MEXICAN ELECTIONS; WTO; KIRCHNER TO 
VENEZUELA; US-PERUVIAN FTA; INDIA; US SURVEILLANCE OF BANKS; MIDDLE 
EAST; FULBRIGHT PROGRAM 07/03/06;BUENOS AIRES 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Weekend international stories include the US media reaction to the 
US Supreme Court's ruling on Guantanamo; the implications of the 
Mexican election; Argentine President Kirchner's trip to Venezuela; 
the US-Peruvian FTA; US-Indian ties; alleged USG surveillance of 
banks in Argentina; the situation in the Middle East; and the 
Fulbright Program. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND KEY STORIES 
 
- "US media praise the ruling on Guantanamo" 
 
Ana Baron, Washington-based correspondent for daily-of-record "La 
Nacion," writes (07/01) "By invalidating Guantanamo military courts, 
the US Supreme Court of Justice made it clear that it is no longer 
willing to be a 'puppet' of the Bush administration. While the 
ruling did not deem indefinite arrests in the Cuba base to be 
illegal, no one expected a court of predominately Republican members 
to dare inflict such a blow to US President Bush's post-September 11 
anti-terrorist strategy. 
 
"Yesterday, the most influential newspapers 'The New York Times" and 
'The Washington Post' applauded the US Supreme Court's independent 
criterion." 
 
- "Why are Mexican elections crucial" 
 
Centrist newspaper "Perfil" carries an opinion piece by prestigious 
political columnist Rosendo Fraga, who opines (07/02) "The 
significance of the Mexican presidential election is one related to 
the US... Calderon's victory signifies continuity for Washington and 
possible deepening of NAFTA's integration policy... 
 
"On the other hand, Lopez Obrador's victory, whose political party 
opposes NAFTA... expressed doubts as to the prospects for 
integration plans. Mexico is one-third of Latin America, but for 
Washington it represents two-thirds, in economic, migration and 
political terms. 
 
"The secondary importance of these elections is regional and it is 
related to the impact of the Hugo Chavez political phenomenon in the 
sub-hemisphere.  While Lopez Obrador has distanced himself from the 
Venezuelan president and Chavez has avoided making public statements 
in his favor, the victory of the PRD candidate would generally 
confirm the tilt to the center-to-left wing or populism in the 
region... Instead, a victory of Calderon would reveal that Chavez' 
aspirations for leadership do have a limit." 
 
- "Mexico - elections no longer involve passion" 
 
Oscar Raul Cardoso, international analyst of leading "Clarin," 
writes (07/03) "... The idea that the Mexican future is a problem 
for US interests rather than for Latin America is generally 
accepted. Even with their differences the last three presidents, 
Carlos Salinas de Gortari, Ernesto Zedillo and Vicente Fox all 
believed that Mexico's luck is directly related to Washington. 
 
"... If one had to choose Mexico's single most important historical 
development of the latest 25 years it would have to be the support 
for the FTA... 
 
"The FTA has its domestic parallel in the Mexican power structure... 
The Mexican economic power is wedged between the order imposed by 
Washington and the unlimited greed of some powerful groups. 
 
"... In this framework, the harassment of the FTA and domestic 
groups make it so that even Lopez Obrador's future actions become 
limited. However, it is also true that Mexican patience with the 
economic model has worn out, just as it has in other Latin American 
societies, and this too can be an issue for the winner of Mexican 
elections." 
 
- "Lopez Obrador, between Lula and Kirchner" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" carries an opinion piece by contributor 
Andres Oppenheimer, who writes (07/01) "... If Lopez Obrador wins, 
he will not be a Chavez. He will most likely be a combination of 
Brazilian President Lula and Argentine President Kirchner. He will 
embody Lula's economic pragmatism and Kirchner's mercurial 
temperament. 
 
"The good news is that Lopez Obrador would add Mexico to the 
increasing number of countries in the region with governments led by 
a 'reasonably responsible' left wing... The bad news is that being 
'reasonably responsible' in a world in which China, India, and 
 
 
Eastern Europe are attracting Wall Street, while increasing at 
spectacular rates, is no longer enough to win new investment, create 
lasting jobs or drastically reduce poverty." 
 
- "The WTO fails and the (Argentine) Government prioritizes 
bilateral deals" 
 
Business-financial "El Cronista" (07/03) reports  "Multilateral 
negotiations that were held to eradicate the wealthy countries' 
agricultural protectionism suffered from stagnation during the last 
weekend and will be resumed full steam within two years, as long as 
the WTO does not lose its role as arbiter in the international 
exchange of goods and services. 
 
"The 60 ministers who had traveled to Geneva in order to discuss the 
issue had to leave on Saturday one day before they were scheduled to 
depart, empty-handed and blaming each other for the failure of the 
meeting." 
 
- "Kirchner seeks to broaden deals with Venezuela" 
 
Business-financial, center-right "InfoBae" reports (07/03) "Today, 
President Nestor Kirchner will travel to Venezuela to hold an 
extraordinary Mercosur session, in which Venezuela's entry into 
Mercosur will formalized. 
 
"However, the president's visit will also have a bilateral 
dimension. Both presidents will attempt to increase trade deals 
focused on industrial development. 
 
"The agenda will also include the possibility of increasing 
financing from the Venezuelan government." 
 
- "Peru ratifies free trade pact with the US" 
 
Liberal, English-language "Buenos Aires Herald's" "World Trade" 
supplement reports (07/03) "Congress overwhelmingly voted to ratify 
a free trade pact with the US early Wednesday, rejecting claims the 
treaty will hurt Peru's farmers by flooding the Andean nation with 
subsidized cotton, rice, corn and potatoes. 
 
"Lawmakers voted 79-14, with six abstentions, to approve the deal, 
which the outgoing government of President Alejandro Toledo reached 
with Washington late last year." 
 
- "India's 'special circumstances'" 
 
Liberal, English-language "Buenos Aires Herald" carries an opinion 
piece by contributor Gwynne Dyer, who opines (07/03) "'The deal we 
made with India was under special circumstances,' said US Secretary 
of State Condoleezza Rice in Pakistan on 28 June, dodging a question 
about why Washington is absolving India of its nuclear sins while 
leaving its old ally Pakistan unshriven. After all, India and 
Pakistan both tested their nuclear weapons in the same month in 
1998. What did Rice mean, 'special circumstances'? 
 
"She meant hat India is the US' new ally in the region, and much 
more important in US strategy nowadays than Pakistan. The military 
agreement signed by India and the US in June of last year is the 
'special circumstances' that make it necessary to exempt India from 
US-anti-proliferation law. The new alliance will be crippled if it 
doesn't, so the Bush administration also signed a nuclear deal with 
India last July and promised to push it through Congress." 
 
- "USG suspected of spying on local banks" 
 
Marcelo Bonelli, economic columnist of leading "Clarin," writes 
(07/02) "Some foreign and national banks having activities in the 
local financial system have reportedly been spied on by the US 
intelligence services. 
 
"The operation involved the banking movements of the customers of 
those banks, wire transfers, and particularly phone-banking 
transactions. 
 
"... Reportedly, the operation was made within the framework of the 
White House anti-terrorist program. It was intended for  spying on 
international financial transactions without a judicial order." 
 
3. EDITORIALS 
 
- "Mexico will choose its president" 
 
An editorial in conservative "La Prensa" reports (07/03) "Today, 
some 71 million Mexicans will vote for their new president... Poorly 
implemented free-market reforms have been destructive in the 
 
 
hemisphere, they were never able to reorganize societies on freedom 
and the rule of law or a truly capitalistic system. 
 
"However, Lopez Obrador will not give any advantage to his 
compatriots by scaring away investment, confronting Washington to 
improve his domestic image, or destroying the monumental opening and 
transformation of the Mexican economy that is now one of the most 
dynamic economies of the hemisphere, even surpassing Brazil. A 
humanitarian liberalism should be implemented... Whoever wins, will 
create an ideal opportunity for Argentina to rebuild diplomatic 
ties, which were weakened in the Mar del Plata Summit of the 
Americas." 
 
- "Intransigence leads to war" 
 
Leading "Clarin" editorializes (07/03) "The Israeli attack against 
the Gaza Strip is one more step in an escalation of violence that 
could very well unleash a humanitarian tragedy and an overall 
conflict, if the involved parties do not agree to negotiations. 
 
"... All calls for cautiousness and negotiation will not have an 
impact while the parties refuse to get involved in some form of 
negotiation...  If this does not happen, the state of war will 
continue and the Palestinians will suffer the greatest." 
 
- "Fulbright scholarships, 50 years later" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" editorializes (07/03) "The legislation 
creating the Fulbright Program was approved in 1946, but the reasons 
why it was passed remain intact... 
 
Under approval of this legislation, some 300,000 scholars have 
received support; they have traveled around the world and exchanged 
deep and rich experience. Among them, there are 35 Nobel award 
laureates. 
 
"... One knows how many misinterpretations and international 
conflicts have arisen when people do not learn how to live together 
and accept the culture of others in peace. This is why this 
praise-worthy task has contributed to the building of a fairer world 
that has more harmony and solidarity." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our classified website 
at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
GUTIERREZ