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Viewing cable 06TALLINN496, AMBASSADOR DISCUSSES IRAQ, INTEGRATION WITH

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06TALLINN496 2006-05-24 13:04 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Tallinn
VZCZCXYZ0001
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHTL #0496/01 1441304
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 241304Z MAY 06
FM AMEMBASSY TALLINN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8647
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS TALLINN 000496 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
FOR EUR/NB 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL EN
SUBJECT: AMBASSADOR DISCUSSES IRAQ, INTEGRATION WITH 
ESTONIAN MPS 
 
 
1. (SBU) Summary. In a May 18 luncheon hosted by the 
Ambassador, Parliamentary Deputy Speaker Maret 
Maripuu (Reform Party) and MPs Kllo Arjakas (Center 
Party) and Eiki Nestor (Social Democrats) shared 
their views on the Estonian mission in Iraq, 
domestic politics, and Russian minority integration 
issues.  On Iraq there was general consensus that if 
the UN Security Council extends the multinational 
force mandate, parliamentary extension of the 
Estonian troop mandate would not become an issue in 
the upcoming election cycle.  End summary. 
 
IRAQ 
---- 
 
2. (SBU) Although a majority of voters continue to 
express opposition to Estonian involvement in Iraq, 
none of the MPs felt it would be a major political 
issue in the run-up to Parliamentary elections in 
2007.  The Center Party's Arjakas questioned whether 
the international community's democratic vision for 
Iraq could really be achieved, given the historical 
and cultural challenges there.  But ultimately he 
agreed with Maripuu and Nestor that a mandate 
extension for Estonia's participation in the 
multinational force would likely pass in Parliament 
(though with some degree of difficulty).  Extension 
of the UNSCR mandate would be critical to passage of 
the measure. 
 
NO FEAR OF NEW POLITICAL PARTY 
------------------------------ 
 
3. (SBU) Turning to domestic politics, none of the 
MPs believed the recent merger of the right-wing 
parties Res Publica and Pro Patria would change 
Estonia's political dynamics in a meaningful way 
before (or after) the upcoming 2007 parliamentary 
elections.  Nestor thought it unlikely the parties 
would score any better combined than they would have 
individually.  Arjakas thought the move ultimately 
would be seen as another in an unending process of 
political party creation, merger, renaming and 
demise that would only contribute to confusion and 
apathy among voters.  That the parties continue to 
support different platforms and candidates in the 
run-up to presidential elections only added to the 
confusion, Maripuu noted, and gave the impression 
that the "merger" is less-than-solid. 
 
POLITICS, INTEGRATION AND TOLERANCE 
----------------------------------- 
 
4. (SBU) In a wide-ranging conversation on the 
politics of integration, Maripuu and Nestor 
acknowledged that the Center Party's adept political 
maneuvering had secured itself the lion share of 
Estonia's Russian-speaking vote.  The MPs were 
skeptical about the ability of the recently-renamed 
Constitutional Party (a party of Russian speakers) 
to challenge the Center Party's grip.  However the 
Center Party MP Arjakas did express concern about 
the possibility of the Constitutional Party winning 
a seat in European Parliamentary elections.  If it 
could gain a seat in the European Parliament, it 
would use Brussels as a platform for propagandizing 
misinformation to a broad European audience. 
 
5. (U) The Ambassador stressed that while Estonia 
had made real strides in integrating its Russian- 
speaking minority, future integration challenges 
will likely be of a different nature.  With 
Estonia's shrinking population and booming economy, 
U.S. investors and Estonian businesspeople had 
expressed concern about a growing shortage of labor. 
Estonia would likely become an increasingly popular 
destination for economic immigrants, and that would 
bring new challenges that would be important to 
address early.  The Ambassador described a number of 
initiatives the Embassy had undertaken to encourage 
dialogue on tolerance and related issues. 
 
6. (SBU) The Social Democrat Nestor acknowledged 
that tolerance had not always been highly valued in 
Estonia, something he ascribed partially to a 
hangover from the Soviet period.  The country's size 
and relative insularity also contributed to its 
challenges.  Arjakas noted that given Estonia's size 
a relatively small number of immigrants could have a 
 
large impact on society.  He wondered how open to 
immigration the country could afford to be without 
risking the loss of Estonia's cultural identity. 
 
Comment 
- - - - 
 
7. (SBU) Given their parties' internal divisions on 
Iraq, Nestor and Arjakas may have played to their 
audience and underestimated the potential for the 
debate over Estonia's engagement to emerge as a 
political issue this fall.  But we agree that 
extension of the UNSCR mandate will go far in taking 
the wind from the sails of those who might be 
tempted to make Iraq an issue.  It will also be 
critical to maintaining unity on the matter inside 
the governing coalition. 
 
GOLDSTEIN