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Viewing cable 06NAIROBI2089, HORN OF AFRICA, STATE - USAID HUMANITARIAN
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06NAIROBI2089 | 2006-05-12 09:23 | 2011-08-25 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Nairobi |
VZCZCXYZ0008
PP RUEHWEB
DE RUEHNR #2089/01 1320923
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 120923Z MAY 06
FM AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1658
RUEHDS/AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY 8517
RUEHDJ/AMEMBASSY DJIBOUTI PRIORITY 4190
INFO RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA PRIORITY 3925
RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS NAIROBI 002089
SIPDIS
DEPT HHS WASHDC PRIORITY
CDC ATLANTA GA PRIORITY
USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
CJTF HOA PRIORITY
DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC PRIORITY
USDA FAS WASHDC PRIORITY
AIDAC
SIPDIS
STATE FOR AF/E, AF/EPS, AF/PD, EB, PRM/AF, IO
AID FOR A/AID, AA/DCHA, WGARVELINK, LROGERS, MHESS,
DCHA/OTI
DCHA/OFDA FOR GGOTTLIEB, PMORRIS, CGOTTSCHALK,
KCHANNELL
DCHA/FFP FOR JDWORKEN, JDRUMMOND, TANDERSON, DNELSON
DCHA/PPM FOR SBRADLEY
AID/EGAT FOR AA/EGAT, JSCHAFER, JTURK
AFR/EA FOR JBORNS, SMCCLURE
ADDIS ABABA FOR TIM STUFFT
DJIBOUTI FOR JSCHULMAN
ROME FOR FODAG
GENEVA FOR NKYLOH
BRUSSELS FOR PLERNER
NSC FOR JMELINE, TSHORTLEY
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EAID ECON PHUM PREF PREL IGAD CENTCOM KE
SO, DY, ET
SUBJECT: HORN OF AFRICA, STATE - USAID HUMANITARIAN
UPDATE NUMBER 6
REF: A)STATE 27057; B)NAIROBI 00968; C)NAIROBI 01238
D) NAIROBI 01445 E)NAIROBI 01652F) NAIROBI 01850
This is the sixth update cable in response to Ref A
request for biweekly reports on the humanitarian
situation in the Horn of Africa. USAID Missions in
Kenya and Ethiopia, REDSO (Somalia, Djibouti), and
OFDA/ECARO contributed to this report.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
¶1. In Kenya, initial projections are that the long
rains maize harvest will be approximately 25 percent
higher than the average. Rapid assessments in three
districts indicate a worsening food security situation
and food aid beneficiary numbers increased by 81,000.
In Ethiopia, the outlook for the region is poor and
conditions are expected to deteriorate further, with
significant relief not expected until the next long
season rains in March/April 2007. In Somalia, heavy
rains continued in the drought affected areas. The
food security situation remains precarious and
malnutrition rates remain well above the emergency
threshold levels. Although rains have improved the
situation, severe erosion of livelihood assets and
destitution is evident and the recovery process will
take several more months. It is likely that more
families will cross the border into Kenya in coming
months. In Djibouti, water interventions remain
limited and high fuel prices are driving up the cost of
food, making it unaffordable to the poor.
COUNTRY REPORTS
¶2. KENYA
UPDATE ON THE HUMANITARIAN/DIPLOMATIC FRONT: Normal
and above normal rains reached much of the country
during the first week of May, including most drought-
affected areas signifying enhanced prospects for
recovery. According to the Arid Lands Resource
Management Project (ALRMP), April rains resulted in
regeneration of vegetation, particularly browse, and
improved water availability in most pastoral districts.
However, heavy downpours in coastal, lakeshore, and
localized pastoral areas presented negative effects,
including destroyed crops, population displacement,
delayed food distribution, and increased risk of
diseases, such as malaria, diarrhea, and measles among
the human population and pneumonia among the livestock
population.
UPDATE ON THE FOOD SECURITY SITUATION AND OUTLOOK:
Prospects for a good long-rains crop harvest are high
following the favorable rains in key growing areas of
western, central, southeastern, and southwestern Kenya.
Initial projections by the Ministry of Agriculture
indicate that the 2006 long rains maize harvest will be
approximately 25 percent higher than the average output
of 2.18 million metric tons (MT).
The livestock market has also responded to the improved
forage and water conditions as prices have increased in
various pastoral districts by wide margins, ranging
between 20-33 percent. Prices had dropped dramatically
during the drought due to poor animal conditions and
increased supply on the market.
In late March, the Government of Kenya's (GOK) Ministry
of Health (MOH) and the U.N. Children's Fund (UNICEF)
carried out a joint nutritional assessment in Mandera,
Marsabit, Moyale, and Samburu districts. Preliminary
findings reveal high rates of malnutrition among
children under five years of age. Stunting rates in
Samburu and Marsabit are reported to be 23.5 and 21.7
percent respectively. The MOH and UNICEF attribute the
observed high rates of malnutrition to extended periods
of under nutrition, poor health status, and lack of an
integrated response to food insecurity and
malnutrition.
Rapid assessments carried out by District Steering
Groups (DSGs) in Garissa, Mwingi, and Turkana pastoral
districts revealed a worsening food security situation.
Subsequently, the Kenya Food Security Steering Group
(KFSSG) approved an increase in beneficiary numbers in
all three districts by an additional 81,000. With this
and previous additions, the total number of
beneficiaries under the GOK and U.N. World Food Program
(WFP) Emergency Operation (EMOP) currently stands at
3.6 million.
From May 9 to 10, a USAID/OFDA team, accompanied by
International Medical Corps (IMC) staff, traveled to
Samburu District to assess humanitarian conditions,
following reports of high malnutrition rates in the
district. Rains have fallen in the district, although
in varying intensity and in scattered locations.
According to IMC, malnutrition increased dramatically
during the drought and has stabilized at high rates
since the rains began. Regular availability and access
to water remains a key concern. The ALRMP district
office reports that only 50 percent of the 40 boreholes
in the district are currently operational and people
are walking up to 20 kilometers to fetch water, even
during the rainy season. USAID/OFDA is reviewing a
proposal by IMC to carry out emergency water and
nutrition interventions in the district.
OTHER TOPICS OF SPECIAL INTEREST: From April 29 to May
6, the MOH, in concert with UNICEF and the U.N. World
Health Organization (WHO), conducted a measles
immunization campaign in 16 high-risk districts
throughout the country, including Mandera, Wajir, and
Garissa. During the campaign, children were provided
with Vitamin A supplements and polio vaccines. A
second phase of the campaign is scheduled for June and
will cover the remaining districts. In 2006,
USAID/OFDA provided USD 350,000 to UNICEF to carry out
emergency nutrition and health interventions.
¶3. ETHIOPIA
UPDATE ON THE HUMANITARIAN/DIPLOMATIC FRONT:
USAID/OFDA continues to prioritize emergency
interventions in pastoralist areas. To augment
coordination activities and identify gaps in current
response efforts, USAID/OFDA is deploying a Geographic
Information Systems (GIS) Officer to join the
assessment team in the Horn of Africa. The GIS
Coordinator will spend several days in Nairobi before
arriving in Addis Ababa, and will provide GIS and
information management support for the regional
response, meeting with representatives of U.N. agencies
and non-governmental organizations (NGOs). In
addition, USAID/OFDA is working with USAID/Ethiopia,
recently arrived USAID Safety and Security Officer, and
the U.S. Embassy Regional Security Officer to assess
the security situation and establish a field office in
Somali Region.
Pastoralist Livelihoods Initiative (PLI) partners
continue to implement already approved emergency
response activities. Support to commercial off-take of
animals, via revolving funds, will continue until the
end of May 2006. PLI partners are conducting short
impact assessments of emergency response interventions
for lessons learned.
PLI partners are now focusing more on development-type
activities left behind after the rapid and efficient
switch to an emergency response mode. Partners are now
conducting animal feed studies, rehabilitation and
construction of livestock market infrastructure, and
training and technical assistance to community animal
health workers. The value chain study was finalized
and distributed.
USAID has sent the Ethiopian Government?s Ministry of
Agriculture and Rural Development (MoARD), which is the
Chair of the PLI Steering Committee, work plans of
upcoming activities:
a. Guidelines for the presentation of proposals for
capacity building of federal, regional, and local
governments. This USD 2 million activity will
complement work currently undertaken by PLI NGO
partners in the field.
b. U.S. Forestry Service annual work plan to be
implemented with federal and regional governments, as
well as PLI NGO partners in support of rangeland
rehabilitation and management. This activity is worth
approximately USD 350,000.
DPPA/WFP PIPELINE AND DONOR RESPONSE UPDATE: As of May
4, the Government of Ethiopia's Disaster Preparedness
and Prevention Agency (DPPA) has reported 83 percent
and 90 percent of food allocations were dispatched for
Somali Region for February and March respectively. The
reported dispatches for Oromiya Region are slightly
higher at 96 and 98 percent for February and March.
Concerns remain about the proportion of dispatched food
that is distributed to beneficiaries, but WFP and NGOs
are redoubling efforts to assist the government in this
regard.
Despite significant attention from the Government and
donors, as well as near average rainfall in the western
and northern zones of Somali Region in April, food
security in the affected areas remains precarious.
Although government re-assessment of needs in pastoral
areas led to an increase in beneficiary numbers, recent
rainfall and the prospect of improved water and pasture
conditions led the government to reverse the decision
to increase the number of food aid recipients.
Moreover, food aid shortfalls are expected to increase
from July onwards, causing serious concern for drought-
affected pastoralists.
UPDATE ON FOOD SECURITY SITUATION AND OUTLOOK:
According to the USAID-supported Famine Early Warning
System Network (FEWS NET), current rains have been near
normal in Borena Zone, Oromiya Region, and the western
part of Somali Region, leading to suspension of water
tankering activities. However, rains have been below
normal in the eastern part of Somali Region. Based on
satellite and field information, FEWS NET suggests that
the outlook for the region is poor and conditions are
likely to deteriorate further, with significant relief
not expected until the next long season rains in
March/April 2007.
¶4. SOMALIA
UPDATE ON THE HUMANITARIAN/DIPLOMATIC FRONT: According
to FEWS NET, heavy rains continue in the drought-
affected areas of Southern Somalia. Water supply for
both humans and livestock has dramatically improved in
all of Somalia, prompting large migrations of
pastoralists from riverine and farming areas into
traditional grazing areas in the hinterland. FEWS NET
reports that if rains continue to fall in the upper
catchments of the Juba and Shabelle river basins in the
Ethiopian Highlands, flooding in Juba and Shabelle
valleys is likely. Heavy rains in the south have
resulted in the death of already weakened animals,
further eroding household assets. Food security
analysts continue to emphasize it is too early to make
a prediction on the current rainy season, called the Gu
season, until mid to late May.
FOOD SECURITY SITUATION: According to USAID-supported
Food Security Analysis Unit (FSAU), food security
situation of the drought-affected populations in Gedo,
Juba Valley, Bay, and Bakool regions remains
precarious. Although rains have improved the
situation, severe erosion of productive assets and
destitution are still evident in many parts of Gedo and
Middle Juba regions. Due to the negative impact of the
drought on livestock, particularly cattle, it is
unlikely that pastoralists will have access to
livestock products, such as milk and ghee, for several
months. Recovery will take several more months even
with good rains. According to FEWS NET, increased
destitution, inability to access food and income, and
increased insecurity have forced over 1,500 people to
out-migrate from drought-affected communities in
southern Somalia into northeastern Kenya. Given the
rapidly deteriorating food security situation in
southern Somalia more families will likely cross the
border in coming months.
FOOD PIPELINE UPDATE: Fighting in Mogadishu has not
impeded shipments of food aid. Three shipments arrived
in Somali ports during the current round of fighting.
Due to the practice of utilizing Somali transporters
for shipping and ground transport, no problems have
been reported. The largest shipment of 7,500 MT
successfully docked in Merka port on May 10, and is
unloading. Another shipment of 3,100 MT has docked in
Kismayo port and a shipment of 2,400 MT is scheduled
for arrival at El Ma?an port on May 13, and will be
diverted to Kismayo, if necessary.
WFP established an air operation to deliver food to
areas affected by heavy rains. Somali transporters are
refusing to transport in parts of Gedo, Lower Juba, and
Middle Juba regions where roads are inaccessible. WFP
has requested USD 900,000 to begin the operation to
transport approximately 2,160 MT of food. The cost is
approximately triple the price of moving these same
commodities by land. The total operation, valued at
USD 4 million, seeks to transport 7,000 MT of food by
air out of a total of 20,800 MT planned for the next
distribution.
According to FEWS NET, prices of sorghum and maize are
increasing in most of the reference markets,
particularly in drought-affected pastoral, agro-
pastoral, and riverine areas. Compared to the same
month last year, prices of maize and sorghum in
Shabelle Valley are 12 and 14 percent higher, while in
Juba Valley cereal prices within the same period are
much higher. In Gedo, Bakool, and Bay regions, where
humanitarian agencies intensified drought intervention
programs, cereal prices showed a decreasing trend. In
Gedo Region, cereal prices decreased 20 to 50 percent,
while in parts of Bakool Region, maize prices decreased
by more than 50 percent over the last two months.
Although decreasing prices will likely improve food
access, prices are still higher than normal for this
time of year.
¶5. DJIBOUTI
UPDATE ON THE FOOD SECURITY SITUATION AND OUTLOOK:
According to FEWS/NET the food security situation in
most of pastoral livelihood zones is improving due to
recent rains, but full recovery will require more time
and continuous good seasons.
The humanitarian emergency food distributions currently
underway by several agencies, including Kuwait Relief
Agency, Islamic Development Bank, and WFP, has helped
the current food security situation to move out of the
emergency mode. However, water interventions remain
limited. Reports indicate that nutritional sentinel
sites will soon be established to monitor the
nutritional status of most vulnerable groups. Milk
production is expected to improve in several livelihood
zones which in turn will have a positive effect on the
malnutrition of children. In addition to emergency
food aid, WFP is carrying out school feeding and food
for work programs.
The recent increase in fuel price has impacted the
national economy and is negatively affecting the local
transport sector. FEWS/NET reports that staple food
prices remain high, as 100 percent of the food are
imported, resulting in decreased access among poor
urban and pastoral communities.
CONCLUSION
¶6. Although continued rains have improved
humanitarian conditions in the region, the situation
requires constant monitoring on a case-by-case basis.
BELLAMY