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Viewing cable 06LIMA1852, HUMALA VISA ISSUE FOCUSES ATTENTION ON HIS ROLE IN

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06LIMA1852 2006-05-12 20:44 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Lima
VZCZCXYZ0002
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHPE #1852/01 1322044
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 122044Z MAY 06
FM AMEMBASSY LIMA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0432
INFO RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3379
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 6737
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 9431
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ MAY QUITO 0330
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 0511
RUMIAAA/CDR USCINCSO MIAMI FL
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS LIMA 001852 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
SENSITIVE 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PINR PHUM PE
SUBJECT: HUMALA VISA ISSUE FOCUSES ATTENTION ON HIS ROLE IN 
ANDAHUAYLAS UPRISING 
 
REF: A. LIMA 1807 
 
     B. LIMA 1681 
     C. 05 LIMA 0139 
     D. 05 LIMA 0093 
     E. 05 LIMA 0012 
 
Sensitive but Unclassified.  Please protect accordingly. 
 
------- 
SUMMARY 
------- 
 
1.  (U) Union por el Peru (UPP) presidential candidate 
Ollanta Humala and his campaign spokesmen continue to 
characterize the January 2005 revocation of Humala's U.S. 
visa as an attempt by the U.S. to destabilize his campaign. 
About 150 Humala supporters staged a protest demonstration 
outside the Embassy on 5/10.  Humala's wife Nadine sought to 
counteract criticism of her husband's links to Venezuelan 
President Hugo Chavez by criticizing the latter's 
intromissions in the Peruvian election campaign.  APRA 
candidate Alan Garcia, whom Humala has characterized as a 
U.S. "puppet," called on the Embassy to renew Humala's visa. 
A popular TV news magazine aired a hard-hitting report on 
5/10, highlighting Ollanta Humala's initial support for the 
January 2005 armed uprising in Andahuaylas that resulted in 
the killing of four policemen.  Meanwhile, a recent poll 
found that Peruvians rank the United States as their 
country's best friend.  END SUMMARY. 
 
-------------------------------- 
HUMALISTAS STAY ON THE OFFENSIVE 
-------------------------------- 
 
3.  (U) In response to USG confirmation that Humala was 
revoked in January 2005, the candidate and his supporters 
have kept up a steady drumbeat of protests, claiming that (1) 
they were unaware of the visa cancellation and (2) that the 
cancellation represents a cover for U.S. Embassy intervention 
in Peru's campaign.  Speaking at a rally in Arequipa, a 
Humala stronghold, the UPP candidate stated that the public 
notice of his visa revocation in the midst of the second 
round campaign was an effort "to destabilize candidate 
Ollanta Humala."  (COMMENT: Humala conveniently ignored the 
fact that it was his campaign that broke the story.  END 
COMMENT.)  Humala added that he would not apply for another 
visa.  Instead, he demanded that the U.S. restore his 
previous one.  "Just as they have taken it away, they have to 
restore it, without (me) having to submit any kind of 
application." 
 
4.  (U) Other Humala spokespersons kept up the visa theme. 
Humala's spouse, Nadine, said the revocation indicated a lack 
of respect for her husband and that, should it have resulted 
from his alleged involvement in the Andahuaylas uprising, the 
revocation would constitute a clear act of intervention in 
the campaign.  In response to the U.S. Embassy public 
statement that Humala had been informed of the revocation 
(Ref A), UPP Congressman-elect Daniel Abugattas said, "They 
(U.S. spokespersons) are trying to glide over the 
intervention of the U.S. Embassy.  They never informed 
Commandante Ollanta of the cancellation of his visa...." 
 
5.  (U) Some 150 Humala supporters, carrying pro-Humala and 
anti-U.S. signs and banners, staged a noisy but orderly 
protest across the street from the U.S. Embassy from 16:00 - 
20:00 on 5/10. 
 
--------------------------------- 
...BUT ALSO SUGGEST A TONAL SHIFT 
--------------------------------- 
 
6.  (U) While Humala's campaign kept up a steady drumbeat of 
alleged outrage over the visa revocation, there were signs of 
shifts in the message.  For the first time, Humala treated 
the topic with some humor.  He concluded his remarks in 
Arequipa with a sarcastic quip: "They have taken away my 
visa.  What will happen to me?" 
 
7.  (U) Nadine Humala, the candidate's wife and perhaps its 
most effective spokesperson, did not focus on the visa issue 
in her most recent comments, instead addressing Venezuelan 
 
President Chavez' recent intromissions in the Peruvian 
election campaign (Ref B).  She told a television audience 
that Chavez' comments had "bothered me a little.  I 
understand that he has a very cowboy style, that he has, we 
might say, 'loose lips.'  But enough is enough.  He 
understands that (now), it seems to me."  UPP 
Congressman-elect Abugattas went even further, suggesting 
that perhaps Chavez had been working for Alan Garcia. 
Garcia, for his part, took a statesmanlike stance that 
conveniently also sought to rebut Humala's charges that he is 
a U.S. puppet (Ref A), calling on the Embassy to issue Humala 
a visa as the latter is now, "the candidate of millions of 
Peruvians." 
 
--------------------------------------------- ---------- 
VISA QUESTION FOCUSES ATTENTION ON ANDAHUAYLAS UPRISING 
--------------------------------------------- ---------- 
 
8.  (U) The visa revocation has refocused media and public 
attention on Ollanta Humala's role in the Andahuaylas 
uprising (Refs C-E).  The popular Peruvian news program "The 
Indiscreet Window" picked up on this issue on 5/10, airing an 
audiotape of a long statement to the press, read aloud by 
Ollanta Humala by phone from Seoul, Korea (where he had 
recently been relieved from his Army Attache post), as the 
uprising began: 
 
"I call on the Peruvian people, in accordance with my 
declaration from today, January 1, 2005, to take up the fight 
to recapture democracy.  This fight means not recognizing the 
authority of Alejandro Toledo, the President.  This must be 
done to recover popular sovereignty, which has been stolen 
from us.  It is time to rise up against the government and 
the anti-patriotic political caste and show that the Peruvian 
people are capable of assuming a virile attitude.  A people 
who have been swindled by a government that has deceived 
them, that day-by-day de-legitimizes itself and places itself 
on the margin of illegality.  This dramatic situation compels 
all Reservists (Ethnocacerista foot soldiers)s to carry out a 
popular insurgency.  This is a right and I demand it! 
 
This same situation affects the citizenry.  I call on them to 
assist in the popular insurgency with marches and 
mobilizations demanding the departure of Alejandro Toledo. 
 
January 1, 2005 
Seoul, South Korea 
Commandante Ollanta Humala Tasso" 
 
9.  (U) The news program followed this up with footage of 
Ollanta Humala backpedaling before the press a few days 
later, after the death of the four policemen and the public 
rejection of the uprising.  He then denied that he had 
supported his brother's actions and stated that he had only 
supported "the right to insurgency" against an 
unconstitutional government that is enshrined in the Peruvian 
constitution.  Program commentators Cecilia Valenzuela and 
Gustavo Gorriti then consulted the relevant constitutional 
text and found the text reads that popular insurgency is 
justified, but only in the face of a "usurper" regime, not 
against an elected one like President Toledo's. 
 
----------------- 
PERUVIANS LIKE US 
----------------- 
 
10.  (U) A recent Datum poll indicates that Humala's attemptS 
to use attacks on the U.S. to improve his popularity and 
reduce Garcia's could well boomerang.  The nationwide poll, 
carried out on 5/8 and published two days later, asked 
Peruvians to rate which country is "Peru's best friend."  The 
United States came in first with 24 percent, with Brazil 
second at 16 percent.  Bolivia ranked third with eight 
percent, while Venezuela was lumped in with "other 
countries."  When asked which "Latin American" country was 
Peru's best friend, 18 percent of respondents replied U.S. 
(Datum's pollsters flagged the second response, noting that 
the naming of the United States as Peru's best Latin American 
friend came up spontaneously and with such frequency that 
they were compelled to list the response even though the U.S. 
is not a Latin American country).  Previously, Humala had 
tried to reassure Peruvian voters that he could maintain good 
 
relations with the U.S.  His present attempt to manage the 
damage from Chavez' clumsy interference by casting the U.S. 
as an adversary of his campaign puts him at odds with public 
opinion. 
 
------- 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
11.  (SBU) The Humala camp's decision to raise the visa 
revocation issue in an attempt to cast the UPP candidate as a 
victim of U.S. interference in the electoral campaign seems 
to be backfiring badly.  Not only has the press reported the 
issue fairly, demonstrating that the Humala campaign raised 
the issue and the USG action was taken months before Humala's 
candidacy was launched, but it has also focused the media's 
attention on his questionable role in the 2005 Andahuaylas 
uprising and its aftermath.  Humala's latest comments, 
treating the visa case humorously, and wife Nadine's 
criticism of Chavez's intromissions, appear to be examples of 
the couple trying to close the barn door long after the horse 
has bolted.  The Datum poll's results on presidential 
preferences echoed the recent Apoyo poll's findings, giving 
Garcia a 14 point lead (57-43 percent) over Humala.  So long 
as the Humala campaign continues to commit political gaffes, 
there is little likelihood that it can reverse these voting 
tendencies.  END COMMENT. 
STRUBLE