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Viewing cable 06LAPAZ1180, IS MINING NEXT IN LINE FOR NATIONALIZATION?

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06LAPAZ1180 2006-05-03 18:29 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy La Paz
VZCZCXYZ0006
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHLP #1180 1231829
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 031829Z MAY 06
FM AMEMBASSY LA PAZ
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 9047
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 5803
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3100
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 6962
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 4205
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 1501
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA 1469
RUEHME/AMEMBASSY MEXICO 1694
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 3752
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 4141
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 8684
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS LA PAZ 001180 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR WHA/AND LPETRONI 
COMMERCE FOR JANGLIN 
TREASURY FOR SGOOCH 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: EMIN ETRD EINV ECON PREL PGOV BL
SUBJECT: IS MINING NEXT IN LINE FOR NATIONALIZATION? 
 
REF: LA PAZ 141 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: In the aftermath of the GOB's May 1 
nationalization of Bolivia's hydrocarbons sector, many are 
wondering if mining might be next in line.  President Morales 
and other GOB officials have repeatedly stated their intent 
to nationalize all natural resources, including mineral 
deposits, but have yet to announce detailed plans.  Given the 
GOB's emphasis on increasing the state's role in the economy, 
greater intervention in the mining industry seems a real 
possibility, but it is difficult to say when or how this 
might happen.  End summary. 
 
2. (SBU) The GOB's May 1 nationalization of Bolivia's 
hydrocarbons sector has caused many to wonder if mining might 
be the next target.  Representatives of Apex Silver, Newmont, 
and Coeur d'Alene, the three U.S. companies involved in the 
industry (with investments totaling an estimated $610 
million), have expressed concern about the GOB's actions, 
noting that the threat of nationalization has added to 
economic and political uncertainty and prompted U.S.-based 
executives to reconsider Bolivian investments.  James Duff, 
President of Empresa Minera Manquiri, a subsidiary of Coeur 
d'Alene Mines Corporation, told EconOff May 3 that the firm 
would continue to delay significant investment in its $135 
million San Bartolome silver mine, a project on hold since 
early 2004.  The uncertainty, Duff said, makes large 
investments unwise - and adds to holding costs, which may 
lead the company to abandon the project if it cannot begin 
construction by the end of the year. 
 
3. (SBU) President Morales and other GOB officials have 
repeatedly stated their intent to nationalize all natural 
resources, including mineral deposits, but have yet to 
announce detailed plans.  In his May 1 speech, Morales said 
nationalization of other natural resources would "soon 
follow" but offered no timeline.  Minister of Mining Walter 
Villarroel has said the administration plans to increase its 
role in the industry - probably through a change in the way 
Comibol, the state-owned mining company, operates - and will 
consider royalty and tax hikes, in addition to changes to the 
mining code.  He has not, however, announced a timeline or 
provided details, saying that proposed modifications are 
still under discussion with representatives of mining 
cooperatives and miners' unions. 
 
4. (SBU) Comment: Given the GOB's emphasis on increasing the 
state's role in the economy, greater intervention in the 
mining industry seems a real possibility, but it is difficult 
to say when or how this might happen.  Morales could act 
suddenly, opt for a more deliberate route, make drastic 
moves, or choose incremental change.  Much will depend on 
whether he and other GOB officials consider the hydrocarbons 
nationalization enough of a political gesture to satisfy 
supporters and generate goodwill in the run-up to Constituent 
Assembly elections.  End comment. 
GREENLEE