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Viewing cable 06BUENOSAIRES822, MEDIA REACTION US-CHINA-LATIN AMERICA US

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06BUENOSAIRES822 2006-04-11 17:41 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0008
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #0822/01 1011741
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 111741Z APR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4127
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000822 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION US-CHINA-LATIN AMERICA US 
IMMIGRATION LEGISLATION ITALIAN ELECTIONS US-VENEZUELA 
US-ECUADORIAN FTA ARGENTINE ECONOMY MINISTER TO 
WASHINGTON 04/11/06 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Today's key international stories include US Assistant 
Secretary Thomas Shannon's upcoming trip to Beijing; 
 
SIPDIS 
immigrants' demonstrations throughout the US; 
nationalist Ollanta Humala leading the count for 
Sunday's presidential election; conservative Silvio 
Berlusconi locked in a battle for power with center- 
left challenger Romano Prodi; the USG warning 
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez; the obstacles faced 
by the US-Ecuador FTA; Argentine Economy Minister 
Miceli's upcoming trip to Washington; and French 
President Chirac surrendering to protesters by 
discarding a youth employment measure that had spurred 
nationwide unrest. 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND KEY STORIES 
 
- "The 'Chinese' danger in Latin America" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" carries an opinion piece 
by Andres Oppenheimer, who writes (04/11) "When US 
Assistant Secretary for Latin American Affairs Thomas 
A. Shannon arrives in China this week to hold a series 
of meetings with his counterpart in Beijing, he will 
likely convey a subtle message - not to undermine 
Latin America's democratic consensus. Will China act 
accordingly? 
 
"... The US State Department does not see China as a 
threat in Latin America but rather as a country with 
fabulous growth that desperately needs raw materials 
to maintain its growth rates. According to this line 
of thought, China is so absorbed by its own domestic 
needs that it does not have energy to launch itself to 
political adventures in other corners of the world. 
 
"For its part, the Department of Defense fears that 
China could turn into the main source of military 
training in the region, partly due to a recent US law 
banning military aid for countries that authorize the 
arrest of US citizens to be prosecuted by the 
International Criminal Court. According to the US 
Pentagon's officials, Washington should also focus on 
China's intelligence and cybernetic war activities in 
the region. 
 
"... My conclusion is that the Bush administration 
noticed that, in addition to having increased its 
imports from Latin America by 600% during the last 
five years, having invested roughly one billion dollar 
per year in the region and having sent tens of 
military missions for training purposes to Latin 
American countries, China has recently obtained the 
observer status at the OAS, and it is seeking to play 
a similar role at the IDB. 
 
"I would not be surprised if the Bush administration 
wanted to draw a line to make sure that China does not 
become an extra-regional source of military support 
for anti-US, radical governments in the region, just 
like Venezuela (such as the soviet Union did with 
Cuba). 
 
"China is likely to appease Shannon... China's main 
political interest in Latin America is preserving 
stability to prevent disruptions in its raw material 
supply. And as the US second trading partner, after 
Canada, China does not have much to win by unleashing 
a confrontation between Washington and Latin America. 
The US should not be worried, at least for now." 
 
- "Immigrants' claims flooded US cities" 
 
Hugo Alconada Mon, Washington-based correspondent for 
daily-of-record "La Nacion," writes (04/11) "... 
Demonstrators flooded more than 100 US cities, in 
which organizers termed 'the largest immigrants' 
mobilization in the history of the US.' They dream of 
forming a new social movement in the event the US 
Senate delays the immigration debate due to November's 
legislative elections. 
 
"... US President George W. Bush defended 
demonstrators, but he was cautious not to reveal his 
 
 
 
view. He said, 'The good thing about democracy is that 
people can express themselves,' and he hardly defined 
demonstrations as 'a signal of an important issue over 
which people have strong feelings.' Immigrants' groups 
in North Carolina and Dallas, Texas confirmed that the 
labor and economic boycott scheduled for May 1 is a 
way to show the impact of immigrants on the economy." 
 
- "A country which is broken in two and which has a 
big challenge - governance" 
 
Elisabetta Pique, Rome-based correspondent for daily- 
of-record "La Nacion," writes (04/11) "Beyond the fact 
that it is a deeply divided country, if something was 
clear after the ambiguous outcome of yesterday's 
legislative elections is that the new election laws... 
will pose serious problems for governance. 
 
"... The country is divided in two and this was 
reflected in the outcome of Sunday's election. But, 
also, the one who becomes the new PM will not only 
have to confront his allied partners, who will want 
their own space, but will have to face a very serious 
economic situation. 
 
"With practically no growth achieved during recent 
years, a gigantic public debt, declining 
competitiveness and productivity, Italy is considered 
Europe's 'ailing country'. 
 
"It is clear that, regardless of election promises, 
whoever takes the country's reins, will have to 
implement structural and unpopular reforms requiring 
not only congressional majority but a consensus of 
public opinion. And, under these circumstances, 
governance does not seem easy." 
 
- "The US warns Hugo Chavez" 
 
Business-financial "Ambito Financiero" reports (04/11) 
"The USG warned Venezuela that there could be 'serious 
diplomatic consequences' between the two countries if 
harassment and attacks against US Ambassador to 
Caracas William Brownfield persist. 
 
"During a press conference, the USG spokesperson, Sean 
McCormack, said 'The Venezuelan government should act 
according to its duties under the Vienna Convention 
and help provide protection to our diplomats.' 
 
"... McCormack added that 'the Venezuelan ambassador 
to Washington's ability to move within the US could be 
seriously limited.'" 
 
- "Ecuador, further from an FTA with the US" 
 
Business-financial, center-right "InfoBae," reports 
(04/11) "Ecuadorian Foreign Trade Minister Jorge 
Illingworth acknowledged that the amendment to the 
Hydrocarbon Act and a possible judicial ruling against 
the US corporation Occidental (Oxy) could complicate 
the scenario for a US-Ecuadorian FTA. 
 
"... In this framework, Illingworth acknowledged that 
the two cases could hinder the negotiation of an FTA, 
which began in 2004 and is in its final stage." 
 
- "Miceli will meet with the IMF and US Treasury 
Department authorities" 
 
Juan Cerruti, columnist of business-financial "El 
Cronista," writes (04/11) "Economy Minister Felisa 
Miceli will make her most important tour since she 
took over. She will visit Washington April 20 to 
participate in the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings. 
 
"She will meet with IMF head Rodrigo Rato, US Treasury 
Secretary John Snow and World Bank head, Paul 
 
SIPDIS 
Wolfowitz. These three are the most powerful 
representatives of the world's financial scenario. 
 
"During the Spring Meetings, Miceli will insist on the 
need to recast the IMF's role and that of 
international lending institutions to bring them 
closer to the real needs of emerging market countries. 
 
 
 
She will ask for loans for the productive sectors of 
countries and will also ask authorities to put an end 
to macroeconomic conditionality imposed by 
multinational lending agencies." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
LLORENS