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Viewing cable 06BUENOSAIRES813, MEDIA REACTION US CONCERN OVER HUMALA CHAVEZ
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06BUENOSAIRES813 | 2006-04-10 20:10 | 2011-08-25 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Buenos Aires |
VZCZCXYZ0013
OO RUEHWEB
DE RUEHBU #0813/01 1002010
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 102010Z APR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4112
INFO RHMFISS/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000813
SIPDIS
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC,
WHA/EPSC
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION US CONCERN OVER HUMALA CHAVEZ
US IMMIGRATION LEGISLATION PERUVIAN ELECTIONS US-
PERUVIAN FTA UN HUMAN RIGHTS COUNCIL ARGENTINE
BUSINESS CLIMATE 04/10/06
¶1. SUMMARY STATEMENT
Weekend international stories include the outcome of
Peruvian elections; USG concern over Humala Ollanta;
suicide bombers blasting worshippers as they left a
Shiite mosque killing at least 79 people and wounding
more than 160 in the deadliest attack in Iraq this
year; and Uruguay breaking off talks with Argentina
over the pulp mill dispute.
Centrist "Perfil," business-financial "InfoBae," and
conservative "La Prensa" report on last Friday's DVC
carried out in the US Embassy in Buenos Aires with
John Gastright, US Deputy Assistant Secretary for
Afghanistan, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
¶2. OPINION PIECES AND KEY STORIES
- "The US is concerned over the emergence of 'another
Chavez'"
Hugo Alconada Mon, Washington-based correspondent for
daily-of-record "La Nacion," writes (04/09) "Taking
into account the outcome of Peru's presidential
election, eradication of coca crops, the signature of
an FTA and the entry of new capital are the topics the
USG believes could suffer a serious retreat in the US-
Peruvian bilateral relationship.
"The US State Department will keep silent as long as
possible, as it did last December regarding Bolivian
elections. It will assess the outcome of elections,
whether runoff elections will be necessary, comments
made by the one who wins and his first announcements
as well as the ministers he chooses.
"According to USG spokesperson Sean McCormack, 'We
hope a free and fair election in Peru'...
"According to diplomats, government officials and
experts who have been consulted by US diplomats during
recent weeks, US Assistant Secretary for Latin
American Affairs, Tom Shannon, has held talks for
months with foreign ministers of the region in order
to agree on an action line, if possible, if the most
confrontational candidate, Ollanta Humala, wins.
"'Shannon knows that the US position on this election,
whether more confrontational or conciliatory, could
affect pending elections in Latin America throughout
the year - Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Nicaragua and
Venezuela.'
"Venezuela continues to be the greatest concern for
many foreign ministries of the hemisphere, including
the US State Department and the Organization of
American States (OAS). However, they fear that Humala
could adopt for his own reasons a confrontation style
along the lines of Hugo Chavez' rather than Morales'
more moderate profile."
- "The US asks Argentina not to support Chavez"
Hugo Alconada Mon, Washington-based correspondent for
daily-of-record "La Nacion," comments (04/08)
"Argentina has just left the UN Security Council
chair, although it will be a member of the selected
club for nine more months. However, crossed pressures
and disputes over its succession have already started
and they could unleash a hemispheric diplomatic
conflict.
"Guatemala and Venezuela are competing for the UN
Security Council chair...
"... The Argentine Foreign Ministry has received
requests for support from both countries, as well as
from US diplomats for the (Argentine) Government to
support Guatemala's candidacy and prevent President
Hugo Chavez to access the UN Security Council.
"... The US Department of State sustains that Chavez
and his aides would only use the opportunity to carry
out their 'dialectic war' in this forum and hinder any
future decision on Iran, Syria or Cuba (Caracas'
allies).
"According to official sources of both countries, US
Assistant Secretary of State for Latin American Issues
Tom Shannon and his team have already stated their
'dislike' in view of this possibility during their
meetings with Ambassador Jose Octavio Bordon."
- "Chavez threatens US ambassador"
Business-financial "Ambito Financiero" reports (04/10)
"Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez threatened US
Ambassador William Brownfield to expel him from the
country in the event 'he insists' on provoking
controversial situations involving 'the Venezuelan
people.'
"... Chavez considered that Brownfield 'provoked' an
incident last Friday when official groups threw
tomatoes and other food and chased the diplomatic
caravan in a Western section of Caracas.
"... The US Department of State accused local Caracas
authorities of 'complicity' due to last Friday's
incident and warned the Venezuelan Ambassador to
Washington, Bernardo Alvarez, that there will be
'severe diplomatic consequences' between both
countries if another similar incident takes place."
- "Immigrants will demonstrate in the US due to
polemic legislation"
Ana Baron, Washington-based correspondent for leading
"Clarin," comments (04/10) "... Today, Hispanic
immigrants will go out to the streets to stage mass
demonstrations against HR 4437 legislation.
"According to this draft bill, which was passed by the
US House of Representatives, the 12 million
undocumented immigrants are criminals and deserve to
be arrested and deported, but not only this. According
to the law, every organization or church granting
help, whether monetary or spiritual, to undocumented
immigrants will be punished and their leaders or
priests could be sentenced to up to five years of
imprisonment.
"... The Catholic Church in the US is powerful... With
this kind of support, Hispanics expect to turn today's
demonstration into a real organized movement like that
of the '60s that defended the civil rights of the Afro-
American community."
- "Humala wins and participates in runoff elections
but no one still knows who will compete with him"
Dolores Tereso, on special assignment in Lima for
daily-of-record "La Nacion," writes (04/10) "Last
night, uncertainty took hold of Peruvians. A
nationalistic retired military, Ollanta Humala, who
admires Venezuelan Hugo Chavez, won the first round of
presidential elections but with a percentage that will
compel him to compete in a runoff election with an
unknown competitor.
"... According to all opinion surveys, none of
competing forces will have its own majority at
Congress...
"Yesterday's figures revealed a divided country-
first, those supporting Humala's promises to
nationalize natural resources and increase taxes on
multinational corporations voted for him; secondly,
those who want a moderate and pro-free market
government voted for Flores; and, third, those who
sought a greatest intervention of the State in the
economy voted for Garcia."
- "Peru and the unfulfilled promises of markets"
Oscar Raul Cardoso, international analyst of leading
"Clarin," opines (04/08) "... Things could favor
Humala, a relatively new character in the national
scenario whose personal history (former military who
led a coup with Alberto Fujimori) and populist
rhetoric (he proposes the nationalization of mineral
resources and key centers like ports of the country)
present him as someone similar to Hugo Chavez.
"... Will Peru add itself to Latin American countries
that have lately inclined themselves in favor of
center-left governments?
"... Of course, market ideologues do not believe this.
Toledo had to ask the US to postpone the ratification
of an FTA (which Humala opposes), with which
Washington is attempting to replace the now-dying
FTAA. These deals are a 21st century version of the
domino theory - every piece falling on these deals is
another nail in the coffin of any alternative model of
hemispheric organization to that proposing a
definitive alignment with Washington and conditions
all those who are reluctant to reach them. But this,
as well as many other things in the region still
remain to be seen."
- "Chile and free trade, challenges to be met by Peru"
Dolores Tereso, on special assignment in Lima for
daily-of-record "La Nacion," writes (04/08)
"Everything in the Peruvian election campaign seems to
be around Ollanta Humala. It was enough that the
retired military said a couple of polemic phrases
about Chile for the Peruvian-Chilean ties (always
difficult) were placed at the center of the debate in
this tough race for the presidency.
"An FTA with the US and Peru's ties with Chile are one
of the main foreign policy challenges to be faced by
the new Peruvian president. What to do with coca
crops, an issue that marks the tone of the US-Peruvian
relationship, will be another challenge.
"Favorite in opinion polls, Humala unleashed a strong
controversy last January when he announced he would
set 'limits on Chilean investment in strategic areas'
of the economy (such as ports) and he criticized
Chilean compulsive purchase of armament, which, in his
opinion 'has broken the military strategic balance of
the region.'
"Conservative Lourdes Flores and former center-left
president, Alan Garcia, second and third in opinion
surveys respectively, reacted to the nationalistic
candidate's statements and, not to be less, toughened
their own stances."
- "I loosened the reins"
Jorge Elias, international columnist of daily-of-
record "La Nacion," writes (04/09) "Every time George
¶W. Bush looked to Latin America, he thought of China.
The region itself was going to be inseparable of the
common fate with the US. It was going to be so until
the Century of the Americas, announced during (Bush's)
first election campaign as a hook for Hispanics living
in the US, made Twin Towers stumble to pieces. Ever
since, the precarious presence of the hemisphere in
the US agenda was due to its little risk potential.
While the focus shifted from Afghanistan to Iraq, the
Asian competition in a territory considered one's own
was not enough to erase the latent interest in pre-
emptive wars on terrorism.
"Latin America was not a priority at the beginning of
the Bush administration.
"... Since his first administration, every time Bush
looked to Latin America he thought of China, but he
warned that, due to a less noteworthy US influence
because of the reduction of the budgetary allotments
for the region..., Chavez' thunderstorm was growing
with the impetus of investment and his anti-US and
anti-free trade slogans...
"Bush, focused on getting out of the chaos he sparked
in Iraq, did very little to soften the impact of the
downfall in the US image and above all, of his own
credibility in the neighborhood. He did very little to
preserve his leadership."
- "US Democrats urge labor clause in Peru FTA"
Liberal, English-language "Buenos Aires Herald"
reports (04/10) "The Bush administration should
include a provision in a proposed free-trade pact with
Peru that meets international labor standards, a group
of congressional Democrats said on Friday.
"... If USTR accepted an offer by Peruvian President
Alejandro Toledo to put the labor standards obligation
in the pact, the group said it would work with the
administration on a major aid package to ensure that
Peru was able to implement the agreement, particularly
the labor elements."
- "Argentina seeks votes for a key institution"
Ana Baron, Washington-based correspondent for leading
"Clarin," writes (04/10) "Argentine Ambassador to the
UN, Cesar Mayoral, is leading an effort to obtain the
96 votes required for Argentina to be elected as a
member of brand-new UN Human Rights Council.
"The task is not an easy one. Latin America only has
eight seats of the 47 total seats of this
institution... The Kirchner administration is
determined to become a member of it."
- "Afghanistan makes progress with foreign donations"
Patricia Valli, columnist of business-financial,
center-right "InfoBae," writes (04/10) "US priorities
are the eradication of poppy crops to put a brake on
opium and narco-trafficking, as well as the
development of new crops and the improvement of basic
health, water and electricity services.
"Five years away from the removal of Talibans from
Afghanistan, there are 20,000 US troops stationed in
the country in order to maintain the stability of
Karzai's government.
"According to John Gastright, US Deputy Assistant
Secretary for Afghanistan, Pakistan and Bangladesh,
SIPDIS
the reconstruction strategy drafted along with Karzai,
includes to put an end to the network of opium growing
and traffic."
- "Opium harasses Afghan democracy"
Guillermo Belcore, columnist of conservative "La
Prensa," writes (04/09), comments "Almost five years
away from the invasion of Afghanistan, US Deputy
Assistant Secretary John Gastright depicted a panorama
of the situation in the country. According to
Gastright, legality is being strengthened in Kabul,
but drug trafficking has increased. The US is willing
to stay many years and invest in the country."
- "The Bush administration is planning to stay in
Afghanistan all the time it needs"
Yolanda Yebra, columnist of centrist newspaper
"Perfil," writes (04/09) "... Beyond capturing Omar
and Osama, the US wants 'a stable Afghanistan that is
able to live on its own means.' In order to meet this
goal, the US has already invested '10,5 billion
dollars in the reconstruction of the country' and
'will stay there all the time it needs.'"
¶3. EDITORIALS
- "Inadequate (Argentine) business climate"
An editorial in daily-of-record "La Nacion" reads
(04/10) "... According to The Economist Intelligence
Unit report on business climate, Argentina and the
Dominican Republic maintained the same rankings as
last year.
"... In spite of the fact that, according to the
report, a good number of Argentina's economic
variables are in good health, Argentina obtained the
same score as in 2005. This should be attributed,
among other issues, to Argentina's little respect for
judicial security and its impact on the lack of
investment. For this reason, it is necessary to
develop an overall institutional view that will serve
to create an adequate business climate in order to
capture productive investment and, therefore, assure a
sustained economic growth."
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our
classified website at:
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires
LLORENS