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Viewing cable 06BUENOSAIRES649, MEDIA REACTION THIRD ANNIVERSARY OF THE WAR

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06BUENOSAIRES649 2006-03-20 19:36 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Buenos Aires
VZCZCXYZ0006
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBU #0649/01 0791936
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 201936Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3874
INFO RHMFIUU/CDR USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL//SCJ2//
RULGPUA/USCOMSOLANT
UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000649 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, 
WHA/EPSC 
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION THIRD ANNIVERSARY OF THE WAR 
ON IRAQ IRAN MIDDLE EAST GLOBAL WARMING US-URUGUAYAN 
FTA AL JAZEERA SIGNAL IN LATIN AMERICA AND PRESS 
FREEDOM UN HUMAN RIGHTS COUNCIL 03/20/06 
 
 
1. SUMMARY STATEMENT 
 
Weekend newspapers lead with the third anniversary of 
the war on Iraq; anti-war demonstrations in different 
countries of the world; half a million protesters 
taking to the streets across France to demand the 
scrapping of a new law that could erode job security; 
Al Fatah leaders demanding Abbas to resign; UN war 
crimes tribunal ruling out Milosevic's poisoning; and 
a former Iraqi PM's statement that Iraq was already 
embroiled in civil war. Leading "Clarin" carries a 
column written by former US Secretary of State Henry 
Kissinger, headlined "India and the US are bringing 
their positions closer," in which he underscores that 
"India's expected cooperation with the US will be 
beneficial for the entire world." Daily-of-record "La 
Nacion" reports that "Controversial TV network Al- 
Jazeera will open two offices in Latin America - one 
in Argentina and one in Venezuela." 
 
2. OPINION PIECES AND KEY STORIES 
 
- "The US is seeking the 'least negative' way out of 
Iraq" 
 
Oscar Raul Cardoso, international analyst of leading 
"Clarin," opines (03/18) "... Washington has just 
announced its decision to hold talks with Iran, 
nothing less... in order to see whether the two 
countries can cooperate in reducing violence in Iraq. 
The Iranian government is a Shiite Islamic theocracy, 
and it has heavy influence on most Iraqi 
organizations... Tehran said it is willing to meet 
with USG representatives... 
 
"... This decision was made during the same week Bush 
signed a national security order in which he singled 
out Iran as the main enemy of US global security 
interests... 
 
"Perhaps, one should interpret the latest developments 
as an initial symptom that the Republican 
administration has understood that the occupation of 
Iraq cannot continue without a deadline, and that, 
beyond the military power, the situation is troubled 
enough to justify holding talks, perhaps even 
negotiations with an Iran that is often defined as an 
enemy." 
 
- "Efforts" 
 
Paula Lugones, international columnist of leading 
"Clarin," comments (03/20) "Yesterday, George W. Bush 
celebrated the third anniversary of 'the beginning of 
freedom in Iraq'... Donald Rumsfeld wrote that 
terrorism seems to be retreating in Iraq. And the USG 
spent the day denying that there is a civil war in 
Iraq. 
 
"All this is a big effort of the White House in front 
of an audience that is increasingly mistrustful. 
According to a Pew Research Center opinion survey, 43% 
of Americans believe today that the US will fail in 
Iraq... And, while Bush is determined to show he has 
everything under control, 70% believe the president 
lacks a plan to put an end to this war that is getting 
out of his control." 
 
- "Washington warns again about the Venezuela-Iran 
axis" 
 
Conservative "La Prensa" reports (03/30) "The White 
House reiterated yesterday its concern over the 
progress made in Venezuelan-Iranian ties... 
 
"US Ambassador to Caracas William Brownfield insisted 
that the Islamic Republic 'is currently a major 
strategic security concern for us, and common sense 
dictates that any country linked to Tehran to a 
certain degree is part of that concern.' 
 
"According to Brownfield, 'No one should be surprised 
if my government, which feels threatened by some 
policies and decisions of Iran, takes these ties into 
account when drafting its national security 
 
 
 
strategy.'" 
 
- "Iraq, on the verge of civil war" 
 
Daily-of-record "La Nacion" reports (03/20) "Three 
years after the beginning of the US offensive in Iraq, 
the specter of a civil war hangs over the country, 
which is combined with violence and poverty and where, 
according to former Iraqi interim PM Iyad Allawi, the 
situation is verges on the 'point of no-return.' 
 
"While thousands of people took to the streets in 
several countries to protest the war, the White 
House's top brass defended the USG's policy in Iraq 
and said that a withdrawal of US troops would be the 
same as returning 'post-war Germany to the Nazis.'" 
 
- "The US denies that Iraq is on the verge of civil 
war" 
 
Business-financial "Ambito Financiero" (03/20) reports 
"On the eve of the third anniversary of the launching 
of the US-led invasion of Iraq, an international 
controversy was unleashed yesterday over whether civil 
war exists in the Arab country. 
 
"Meanwhile, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld 
sustained in a The Washington Post column that leaving 
Iraq now would be like returning post-war Germany to 
the Nazis again. 
 
"During an interview with the BBC, former Iraqi PM 
Iyad Alawi underscored that 'If this is not civil war, 
then God knows what civil war is.' 'We are losing an 
average of at least 50-60 people every day all over 
the country.' Iraq is heading for the 'point of no 
return' in which 'it will collapse into pieces and 
sectarianism will spread all through the region.'" 
 
- "Bush, Napoleon and bayonets" 
 
Centrist newspaper "Perfil" carries an opinion piece 
by Rosendo Fraga, political analyst and head of Centro 
de Estudios Nueva Mayoria, who opines (03/19) "Three 
years after the invasion of Iraq, the US-led military 
operation was a direct success in the sense that, 
against most predictions, regular Iraqi troops were 
defeated. 
 
"Politically, a democratic government was established 
after elections... 
 
"In parallel, the operation has meant a failure 
regarding the governability of the country, which is 
beleaguered by escalating violence. 
 
"... The most similar conflict to this is the European 
religious war of the 16th century between Catholics 
and Protestants... This conflict has a huge 
destabilizing impact. Iran, the biggest enemy of the 
US, has a Shiite majority and, therefore, in this 
conflict, it is an ally of those ruling Iraq, who are 
Washington's allies. The risk is that this conflict 
could spread to Islamic countries. 
 
"In conclusion, three years after its invasion, Iraq 
confirms that the efficacy of military power, if it is 
not accompanied by a political, cultural, historic and 
religious view, reminds us of Napoleon's phrase that 
bayonets serve all purposes but for sitting on them." 
 
- "Hamas presents its Cabinet and Israel increases its 
pressure on it" 
 
Telma Luzzani, on special assignment in Jerusalem for 
leading "Clarin," writes (03/20) "Nothing fuels 
optimism in the Middle East. Just a few minutes after 
the Hamas leader, Ismail Haniyeh, delivered the list 
of future members of his Cabinet to the president of 
the Palestinian Authority, Abu Mazen, for his 
consideration, the Israeli government reiterated that 
'it will reject any contact with a Hamas' terrorist 
government. 
 
"It is a dead-end ally of hard resolution because the 
 
 
 
leading actors in this drama (Hamas, Abu Mazen, 
Israel) have little maneuvering margin. 
 
"... Economic asphyxiation is another measure of 
pressure that the West and Israel are wielding on 
Hamas. Yesterday, the UN released a report warning of 
a possible 'humanitarian crisis.'" 
 
- "UK's long-range nuke plan" 
 
Gwynne Dyer, columnist of liberal, English-language 
"Buenos Aires Herald," writes (03/20) "Last November, 
when Britain was having a public debate about the 
government's intention to proceed with a whole new 
generation of nuclear weapons that would last the 
country into the mid-21st century, I wrote a column in 
which I mocked Defense Secretary John Reid for not 
even knowing why he wanted the weapons... I think I 
owe him an apology. I think I now understand why he 
wanted the nuclear weapons, and why he was not willing 
to get specific about it... 
 
"The new estimates of the Inter-Governmental Panel on 
Climate Change (IPCC) for global warming during the 
21st century range from a minimum of 2 degrees C to a 
maximum of 5.8 degrees. The planet has not been that 
hot since the start of the Eocene era 55 million years 
ago... 
 
"These revised estimates are very bad news for most 
countries. If you are Spanish or Brazilian or Thai - 
or a US citizen, for that matter - most or all of your 
country is going to turn into a desert unless we all 
cut CO2 emissions radically starting yesterday. 
Indeed, at least two-thirds of the world's existing 
farmland would become sterile, and billions would have 
to move or die. 
 
"These estimates will have no immediate impact in the 
US, where disbelief in climate change is still 
strong... President Bush's principal adviser on these 
matters, James Connaughton, recently expressed the 
view that we may be able to double the atmospheric 
concentration of CO2, perhaps even triple or quadruple 
it, without changing the climate (Physics and 
chemistry work differently on his planet). But 
elsewhere, some governments are paying close attention 
to the implications of all this." 
 
- "Uruguay abandons the idea of reaching a deal with 
the US" 
 
Business-financial "Ambito Financiero" (03/20) reports 
"Making a contribution to Brazil rather than to 
Argentina, and with certain disappointment with the 
Bush administration, Uruguayan President Tabare 
Vazquez asserted last week to Lula that he will 
abandon the idea of reaching an FTA with the US. This 
happened in the framework of Vazquez's official visit 
to Brasilia, in which Uruguay got certain support for 
the pulp mills issue. 
 
"... According to Vazquez, only the delayed investment 
agreement is pending, whereby US capitals will receive 
special treatment in Uruguay. 
 
"The reason for Uruguay's abandonment of an FTA with 
the US is that the US proposal to increase Uruguayan 
exports and annual sales had little impact. The US 
would not be willing to open its markets of maize, 
meat, wheat, dairy products, cheese and textiles much 
more than today. However, in order to reach a deal, 
the US asked Uruguay to liberalize its industrial and 
service imports and to abandon Mercosur in no more 
than 10 years. 
 
"Seemingly, the lack willingness to bring together the 
positions between the two countries was what made 
Vazquez abandon the idea of reaching an FTA with the 
US." 
 
- "Debate reappears on limits on press freedom" 
 
Hugo Alconada Mon, Washington-based correspondent for 
daily-of-record "La Nacion," comments (03/18) "Termed 
 
 
 
for years as an alternative, minor and opposition news 
channel, Al-Jazeera was focused on the Arab world. 
However, the announcement that it will launch its 
international signal in English revived a debate in 
the US on the limits of press freedom, business 
pressures, and patriotism. 
 
"... Before the September 11 attacks, the USG praised 
its role as an independent channel in the Middle East, 
and companies like General Motors and Procter and 
Gamble advertised on it. 
 
"... The Bush administration accused it of spreading 
terrorist propaganda, with videos of Osama bin Laden 
and other Al Qaeda leaders... US President George W. 
Bush termed Al Jazeera and other media as 'hateful 
propaganda' from the Middle East. 
 
"Since early 2005, the current US Secretary of State, 
Condoleezza Rice, and other high-ranking USG officials 
have chosen another strategy -using Al Jazeera to 
carry their message to the region. But, in private, 
criticism and pressures continue. 
 
"Al Jazeera editors responded that they only do their 
job and recalled that in the Arab world, US mass media 
are seen as pro-US and based on biases against 
Muslims." 
 
3. EDITORIALS 
 
- "The UN and human rights" 
 
An editorial in leading "Clarin" reads (03/20) "With 
majority support, which included our country's, and 
the US opposition, the UN General Assembly approved 
the creation of the Human Rights Council, which will 
succeed the UN Human Rights Committee. 
 
"... During the Cold War, the US and the Soviet Union 
always supported the denunciation of human rights 
violations in antagonistic countries and vetoed those 
initiatives related to their own sphere of influence. 
 
"... The UN Human Rights Committee has always been a 
sounding board for these kinds of situations in which 
the rights of peoples were trodden by their 
governments. 
 
"The succeeding Human Rights Council will have to 
overcome the Committee's main shortfalls and avoid 
becoming an intervention tool that breaks all 
principles of judicial equality among States. It will 
have to issue international initiatives aimed at 
protecting human rights regardless of geo-political or 
economic interests." 
 
To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our 
classified website at: 
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires 
 
The Media Reaction Report reflects articles and 
opinions by the cited news media and do not 
necessarily reflect U.S. Embassy policy or views.  The 
Public Affairs Section does not independently verify 
information. The report is intended for internal U.S. 
Government use only. 
 
GUTIERREZ