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Viewing cable 06BANGKOK1630, THAILAND POLITICAL UPDATE: PROTESTS CONTINUE, THAI

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06BANGKOK1630 2006-03-16 11:36 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Bangkok
VZCZCXRO0820
PP RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHHM RUEHNH
DE RUEHBK #1630 0751136
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161136Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY BANGKOK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7226
INFO RUCNASE/ASEAN MEMBER COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHFJSCC/COMMARFORPAC  PRIORITY
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS BANGKOK 001630 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PHUM TH
SUBJECT: THAILAND POLITICAL UPDATE: PROTESTS CONTINUE, THAI 
MAINSTREAM GROWING WEARY 
 
REF: BANGKOK 01575 
 
1. (SBU) SUMMARY. Privy Council President General Prem 
Tinsulanonda urged both the PM and the opposition to work 
together to end the crisis, a view which reflected the views 
of most Bangkokians according to a new ABAC Poll.  Three Thai 
Ambassadors, including a former Ambassador to the U.S., spoke 
out at the anti-Thaksin rally last night, criticizing 
Thaksin's foreign policy, and policy towards the restive 
South.  Tens of thousands of protesters are still at 
Government House.  The pro-Thaksin "Caravan of the Poor" 
began staging rallies in northern Bangkok but Thaksin's 
handling of the political crisis is generating criticism 
within his party.  END SUMMARY 
 
2. (U)  In brief remarks to reporters on the evening of March 
15, Privy Council President General Prem Tinsulanonda called 
on the opposing sides to work together to end the crisis and 
restore stability to the country.  "I ask everyone to take 
action for the interests of the country...think of how to 
defuse the political situation." Prem did not answer 
reporter's questions about whether the Prime Minister should 
resign. Predictably, both factions seized on the statement as 
evidence of royal support for their side.  According to a new 
ABAC poll (generally considered reliable), a growing number 
of Bangkokians (70 percent) want the Government and the 
protesters to hold peaceful talks and end the stalemate. 
 
PROTESTS CONTINUE 
 
3. (U) Three former Thai Ambassadors, including Kasit Piromya 
(NOTE: Ambassador to the United States from 2004-2005. END 
NOTE) and Asda Jayanama, former UN Perm Rep., addressed the 
PAD-led rally last night.  Also present was media advocate 
Supinya Klangnarong, appearing mere hours after a Thai court 
found her not guilty of libeling the Thaksin family's Shin 
Corporation in a 2003 newspaper interview.  The three 
Ambassadors criticized Thaksin's foreign policy, claiming 
that state visits to India were largely missions to benefit 
his own personal business interests.  They called Thaksin's 
handling of the Southern situation inept, and said that his 
policies had failed to take into account the cultural 
uniqueness of the South.  Ambassador Kasit noted that 
Bangkok-based diplomats disapproved of the Prime Minister's 
"lack of morality" but did not voice their opinions openly. 
(NOTE: Both Kasit and Asda are known for their particularly 
strong views against Deputy PM Surakiart Sathirathai. END 
NOTE) 
 
4. (U) Tens of thousands of anti-Thaksin protesters, 
meanwhile, remain outside Government House.  Protests 
remained peaceful, and a potential confrontation with the 
pro-Thaksin "Caravan of the Poor", consisting of mostly 
agricultural supporters from Thailand's rural North and 
Northeast, was averted when the latter decided to stage their 
rally in northern Bangkok, instead of in the vicinity of the 
anti-Thaksin protesters at Government House. 
 
DISSENSION IN THE TRT RANKS? 
 
5. (U) In a meeting with Poloff, a TRT incumbent from the 
Eastern seaboard province of Chonburi expressed unhappiness 
with Thaksin's handling of the political crisis.  Noting that 
his Thai Rak Thai party had occupied 373 seats in the Thai 
Parliament prior to dissolution, this MP viewed Thaksin's 
move to dissolve the assembly as self-serving.  He noted that 
he was running unopposed in his district since all of his 
opponents, all from largely unknown minor parties, had been 
disqualified.  He said that despite the lack of opponents, he 
was having to run a harder campaign than in 2005 due to 
heightened public scrutiny and disillusionment with TRT 
politicians.  Local contacts noted that Thaksin still had the 
support of the rural population, but that this support was 
slipping due to the increasingly "balanced" coverage of the 
crisis in the media, particularly television. 
 
PRIME MINISTER READY FOR A BREAK? 
 
7. (SBU) COMMENT. Thaksin and his inner circle continued to 
disavow any intention of resigning.  That said, there has 
been predictable speculation about Thaksin's comments at a 
Thai Rak Thai rally in Nakhon Ratchasima when he said that, 
under certain circumstances, he would be open to "going on a 
break."  Although both sides still claim to have the upper 
hand, many of the breaks, e.g. the rulings by the Election 
Commission, don't seem to be going Thaksin's way. 
BOYCE