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Viewing cable 06LIMA644, ELECTION UPDATE: CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATE FILINGS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06LIMA644 2006-02-15 21:20 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Lima
VZCZCXYZ0004
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHPE #0644/01 0462120
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 152120Z FEB 06
FM AMEMBASSY LIMA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8751
INFO RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 2986
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 6513
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 9086
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ FEB QUITO 0028
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 0194
RUEHGL/AMCONSUL GUAYAQUIL 4115
RHMFIUU/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RHEHOND/DIRONDCP WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
UNCLAS LIMA 000644 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV SNAR PREL ECON PE
SUBJECT: ELECTION UPDATE: CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATE FILINGS 
COMPLETE; AND HUMALA FACES CONTINUING TROUBLES 
 
REF: A. LIMA 633 
     B. LIMA 494 
     C. LIMA 453 
     D. LIMA 382 
     E. LIMA 351 
     F. LIMA 346 
 
Sensitive but Unclassified.  Please protect accordingly. 
 
------- 
Summary 
------- 
 
1. (U) Twenty five political parties met the 2/8 deadline for 
filing their congressional lists, resulting in some 3,000 
Congressional candidates for 120 seats.  The two leading 
presidential contenders, center-right Lourdes Flores and 
ultra-nationalist, anti-system candidate Ollanta Humala were 
both battered in the press for including candidates with past 
or ongoing judicial investigations.  Humala faced increasing 
charges of human rights violations from his time as army base 
commander in the early 1990's, but his party spokesman fired 
back that the testimonies were bought by Flores' party.  End 
summary 
 
------------------- 
Front-runner Flores 
------------------- 
 
2.(U) Flores spent the past week defending her party's 
congressional candidates.  As many as 17 Unidad Nacional 
candidates reportedly are involved in open judicial 
processes,  while several others are alleged to have had 
close ties to Fujimori's former national security adviser 
Vladimiro Montesinos.  Flores maintained the candidates on 
her list and did not bow to pressure.  On 2/6 Garcia 
challenged Flores, and only Flores, to debate him on the hot 
domestic issue of the state pension system and the freedom of 
workers to voluntarily decline participation (Garcia favors, 
Flores opposes).  Flores said she would not debate with 
Garcia on the specific issue, but called on the Ombudsman to 
organize general debates in March. Beatriz Merino, Chief 
Ombudsman, declined the responsibility stating her 
organization's need to monitor the electoral process and not 
get directly involved.  Flores continued to support debates 
in March before the first round and said this would allow 
each candidate to explain his/her ideas. Humala rejected the 
possibility of a debate before the first round, while 
Paniagua said he is willing to participate in a debate under 
any formula. 
 
----------------- 
Humala's Troubles 
----------------- 
 
3. (U)  Ollanta Humala's campaign continues to be on the 
defensive as further allegations of human rights violations 
and turmoil regarding members of his congressional list 
dominated his press coverage.  On 2/7 Humala admitted he was 
known by the alias "Captain Carlos"  (Ref B), but claims he 
was not/not Captain Carlos Gonzalez, who purportedly 
committed human rights crimes.  Humala denied killing anyone 
while he was commander of an army base at Madre Mia during 
the early 1990's, and called on the Defense Ministry to 
respond to the accusations against him.  Nationalist Party 
spokesman, Daniel Abugattas went on the offensive and claimed 
that Unidad Nacional  paid for false testimonies against 
Humala and that respected television journalist Cesar 
Hildebrandt was removed from his program because he was going 
to reveal evidence of this plot.  The Human Rights 
Coordinator's office announced it was preparing criminal 
denunciations against Humala. 
 
4. (U) In response to accusations that candidates on his 
congressional ticket had criminal records, Humala asked all 
UPP candidates to put their candidacies at his disposition. 
For his party's official congressional list submitted before 
the 2/8 deadline, thirteen candidates were changed.  Liliana 
Humala, Ollanta's cousin and fellow nationalist, switched 
parties before the deadline to join the Democratic 
 
Reconstruction party.  Humala's Congressional list brought to 
a head the internal conflicts within his UPP party and 
between it and the Nationalist Party of Peru.  Some of 
Humala's provincial bases in both parties rebelled and said 
they would not support his candidacy because he rejected 
their internally nominated candidates. 
 
------------- 
Military Vote 
------------- 
 
5. (U) Minister of Defense Marciano Rengifo said that though 
85,000 military are registered to vote for the first time, 
over half (46,500) will be responsible for electoral security 
and thus will be unable to vote.  Humala called on the JNE to 
order the National Office for Electoral Process (ONPE) to 
install voting tables for the transient military and police 
guarding the electoral process and those who are outside 
their voting districts, noting that otherwise on-duty 
officers cannot vote.   JNE President Enrique Mendoza 
dismissed Humala's request and explained that it was 
technically and economically impossible.  However, Mendoza 
called on the Defense and Interior ministries to cooperate in 
letting on-duty personnel vote. 
 
------- 
Comment 
------- 
 
6. (SBU) The campaign generally is becoming more 
personalistic, with increased reporting on the verbal swipes 
candidates are taking at each other, and considerably less on 
debating the issues.  There have even been reports of 
outbreaks of violence between supporters on a limited basis 
to date.  Interestingly, this more aggressive ambiance has 
led to little change in the polling numbers (Ref A).  The 
Martha Chavez rise could split the anti-system vote which 
Humala depends on, but it might also draw off poor women who 
are currently Flores supporters.  Garcia has been stagnant, 
but should not be counted out due to his charisma, political 
acumen, and APRA party machine.  Paniagua is becoming more 
irrelevant and, if his downward trend continues, he may be 
pressured to drop out and further pressured to endorse 
someone else.  End Comment. 
POWERS