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Viewing cable 06LAPAZ406, ECONOMIC PLANNING MINISTER VAGUE ON PLANS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06LAPAZ406 2006-02-15 18:14 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy La Paz
VZCZCXRO8677
PP RUEHLMC
DE RUEHLP #0406/01 0461814
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 151814Z FEB 06
FM AMEMBASSY LA PAZ
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8097
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 5599
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 2864
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 6736
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 3960
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 1308
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA 1207
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 3562
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 3945
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 8462
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LA PAZ 000406 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR WHA/AND 
TREASURY FOR SGOOCH 
ENERGY FOR CDAY AND SLADISLAW 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ECON PGOV ENGR EPET EAIR BL
SUBJECT: ECONOMIC PLANNING MINISTER VAGUE ON PLANS 
 
REF: A. A) LA PAZ 351 
 
     B. B) LA PAZ 386 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: In a courtesy call with the Ambassador on 
February 10, Minister of Development Planning Carlos 
Villegas, President Morales' paramount advisor on economic 
issues, spoke of the GOB's plan to achieve "productive 
development and social inclusion," but gave few concrete 
details about how these goals were to be achieved.  He 
discussed his plan to create competent teams of permanent 
staff within each ministry to reduce the GOB's reliance on 
consultants and acknowledged that the Ministry of Finance 
would be under the tutelage of Planning, but stated that all 
other ministries would have relative autonomy.  He explained 
that his ministry would coordinate with the other ministries 
to create a development plan within the next three months. 
Once formulated, the GOB would seek international support for 
this plan, including at a Paris Club meeting the GOB hoped to 
convene in La Paz in June or July.  Villegas was optimistic 
about negotiations with the hydrocarbons companies, which he 
said seemed disposed to come to agreement with the GOB.  He 
stated that the GOB would not bail out Lloyd Aero Boliviano 
(LAB), but would seek to find a solution together with the 
LAB President during the 90-day period of government 
intervention (ref A).  During this first meeting with the 
Ambassador, Villegas appeared almost blithely unaware of 
practical realities, raising neither the topic of a free 
trade agreement nor the possibility of access to Millennium 
Challenge funds.  End Summary. 
 
Villegas' Theoretical Plan Lacks Concrete Details 
--------------------------------------------- ---- 
2. (SBU) In a February 10 courtesy call, Minister of 
Development Planning Carlos Villegas told the Ambassador that 
his ministry would lead the government's efforts during the 
next three months to design a national development plan that 
would promote production and social inclusion.  "We seek to 
redesign the relationship between the worker and the state," 
said Villegas.  After this plan was devised, he said, the GOB 
would seek international and donor support.  He alluded to 
the possibility of Consultative Group and Paris Club meetings 
in La Paz during June or July. 
 
3. (SBU) Villegas lamented that the MAS administration came 
into power and found a weak state lacking vision and 
dependent on consultants.  For example, he said the former 
Ministry of Indigenous Affairs was 100% dependent on support 
from Denmark.  He explained that the MAS administration 
wanted to strengthen the system by creating competent teams 
of permanent staff within each ministry during the next six 
months.  He stated that he did not believe the executive 
branch salary cuts would hinder this goal, as Bolivia was 
plagued with professional unemployment and the state remained 
the principal option.  He acknowledged that it would be 
necessary to continue contracting consultants with needed 
expertise (lawyers and engineers) in the Hydrocarbons 
Ministry. 
 
LOPE: The Plan for the Ministry Structure 
----------------------------------------- 
4. (SBU)  Villegas predicted that the law restructuring the 
executive power (LOPE) would be approved by Congress the week 
of February 13.  Once the law was approved, Villegas' 
Ministry of Sustainable Development would morph into the 
Ministry of Development Planning, a super-ministry that would 
oversee the works of the Finance Ministry (ref B).  Villegas 
explained that, although the state would participate in the 
hydrocarbons, mining, and water sectors, those ministries 
would have relative autonomy.  Villegas envisioned the role 
of his ministry as a coordinator between, rather than 
director of, all of the ministries (with the exception of 
Finance).  He stated that the GOB would respect the 
independence of the Central Bank, but that he would seek 
increased coordination between the Planning Ministry, the 
 
LA PAZ 00000406  002 OF 002 
 
 
Finance Ministry, and the Central Bank. 
 
Optimistic on Hydrocarbons 
-------------------------- 
5. (SBU) Villegas said that the GOB would complete the design 
of its hydrocarbons policy within a few days.  GOB 
representatives have held initial meetings with hydrocarbons 
companies during the past two months, and according to 
Villegas, the companies have shown a "good disposition" to 
work with the government.  Villegas claimed that the 
companies were eager to come to agreement with the GOB, 
because the MAS government could offer them legal and social 
security.  (Note: The companies, indeed, seem disposed to 
come to agreement, but rather out of resignation than because 
of confidence in "legal security".  End note.) 
 
LAB Question Unsolved 
--------------------- 
6. (SBU) Villegas stated that the partially-privatized LLoyd 
Aero Boliviano airline has experienced a financial crisis 
since the end of the 1990s, accumulating over USD 150 million 
in debt and defaulting on pension, tax, salary, and insurance 
payments.  Due to LAB's trend towards bankruptcy and the 
recent pilots' strike, the GOB requested financial 
information about the company and found that the company's 
Board had only approved its financial reports through 2003. 
In order to get a reliable picture of the financial situation 
in 2004 and 2005, the GOB ordered a fact-finding, 90-day 
intervention in which a GOB-appointed intervenor would manage 
the company.  After the 90-day period, Villegas said that the 
GOB would work together with LAB management to find a 
solution, but would not take on LAB's debt (ref A). 
 
7. (SBU) Comment: Villegas' notions of social engineering and 
faith in state planning seem ungrounded in present 
economic/global reality.  Perhaps reflecting his exclusively 
academic background, Villegas appears to be absorbed in 
theory and to lack focus on practical issues, as demonstrated 
by his raising neither the prospects for a free trade 
agreement nor access to Millennium Challenge funds during the 
meeting.  In fact, Villegas curiously failed to ask one 
question during this first meeting, seeming oblivious to the 
U.S. role in Bolivia's economy, whether through investment, 
trade, or direct financial assistance.  End comment. 
GREENLEE