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Viewing cable 06TOKYO430, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/26/06
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06TOKYO430 | 2006-01-26 09:04 | 2011-08-25 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tokyo |
VZCZCXRO2642
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0430/01 0260904
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 260904Z JAN 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7839
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA//J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/COMPATWING ONE KAMI SEYA JA
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 6867
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 4212
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 7265
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 4322
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 5426
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 0201
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 6385
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 8529
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 09 TOKYO 000430
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST
DIVISION; TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS
OFFICE; SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
ADVISOR; CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/26/06
INDEX:
(1) Second ban on US beef imports (Part 1): How effective is
Japan's quarantine inspection system at the border? Impossible to
open all cartons for inspection; Only 10 officers on "around-the-
clock" duty at Narita Airport; Another concern is avian flu;
Standard inspection rate is 0.5 PERCENT ; 31 PERCENT inspection
finds spinal columns
(2) Second ban on US beef imports (Part 2): Inclusion of high-
risk materials in shipment reflects tendency of US to make light
of Japan; There could not have been a blunder like this if the
shipment were EU-bound; US making humble apology, but may really
think that Japan is over-reacting
(3) Zoellick's "stakeholder" advocacy kicks off pros, cons in
China
(4) JDA intends to consolidate DFAA and include the
consolidation cost in fiscal 2006 budget request; aims to upgrade
itself to ministry
(5) LDP presidential race in 2006: Truce in the "post-Koizumi"
successor debate
(6) Focus in ODA-reform debate on future options for
implementing bodies, including fate of JBIC
(7) LDP fiscal reform panel switches away from tax-hike policy
ARTICLES:
(1) Second ban on US beef imports (Part 1): How effective is
Japan's quarantine inspection system at the border? Impossible to
open all cartons for inspection; Only 10 officers on "around-the-
clock" duty at Narita Airport; Another concern is avian flu;
Standard inspection rate is 0.5 PERCENT ; 31 PERCENT inspection
finds spinal columns
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 26) (Slightly abridged)
January 26, 2006
Thoroughgoing safety measures were supposed to have been adopted
when the ban on US beef imports was removed last December. Tokyo
and Washington pledged to carry out strict inspections to make
sure high-risk mad-cow disease materials (specified risk
materials = SRM) are removed from Japan-bound products. The
recent finding of three pieces of meat with SRMs at Narita
Airport has shocked related sources. The second ban was then
placed on US beef imports. The inspection failure on the US side
is making headlines, but what about the safety wall on the
Japanese border?
An executive of a certain well-established foreign trading house,
an importer of the US beef products that contained the spinal
columns found this time, yesterday said in bewilderment, "The
incident was a bolt out of the blue." The company had never
imported US beef before the ban was placed on imports. He said
the company had imported US beef for the first time on a trial
basis. He stressed: "We have never imported US beef before. This
is the first time we have imported it. Then, meat with SRM was
found in our shipments. We have reported the matter to the
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF). MAFF has
TOKYO 00000430 002 OF 009
judged that there is no fault on our part."
MAFF's Animal Quarantine Narita Office at Narita Airport found
the backbones in question. An official in charge there explained:
"There are about 70 officials here, of whom only 10 are in charge
of carrying out quarantine inspections on imported stock farm
products, such as meat and bones. These officials have to handle
cargoes arriving at the airport one after another on an around-
the-clock basis."
To a question about commonly adopted quarantine procedures for
imported meat, the same official noted: "We are not carrying out
inspections at random. We pick one carton from a set of cartons
containing the same products, such as, for instance, one from a
set of ham cartons or one from a set of loin roll cartons. We
cannot reveal details for security reasons."
Regarding Japan's quarantine system, this source revealed his
complex feelings, noting: "We found that material through a
routine inspection. But when it comes to a question of whether
the system we adopt here is sufficient or not, it is hard to say
yes or no."
The animal products inspection guidelines issued by the animal
quarantine office lay down that inspection on imported goods
should be carried out, by drawing a sample equivalent to 0.5
PERCENT of the entire shipment at random. The MAFF Animal Health
Division explained that the figure 0.5 was set, based on the
ministry's long-standing experience in inspecting animal
products."
MAFF has, however, set inspection guidelines especially for US
beef to be imported, following the removal of the import ban.
Under the guidelines, one from a set of cartons containing the
same product should be inspected. Regarding the cartons this time
from which the materials in question were found, since 13 kinds
of parts were packed in 41 cartons, quarantine officials intended
to open 13 cartons. In this case, the inspection rate becomes 31
PERCENT .
Eight hundred cartons at most in one container
An official at the Animal Quarantine Yokohama Head Office
(Yokohama) observed: "Few importers purchase a single part in
bulk as was case before the import ban. Most traders import
various parts in small quantities. They appear to be trying to
find out which part sells best in Japan. I am sure we open
cartons at a ratio of more than 0.5 PERCENT ."
US beef that passed quarantine inspections by the animal
quarantine office then undergoes inspections at various
quarantine points of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare
(MHLW). The inspection rate at this stage is 12 out of less than
50 and 32 out of more than 51.
Even so, since the quarantine system at the airport adopts a spot-
checking system, there is the possibility of inspections
overlooking products including SRM. In order to make sure that
imported beef is completely safe, all cartons containing US beef
have to be checked.
Vice MAFF Minister Mamoru Ishihara told reporters that it was
impossible to carry out blanket inspection. However, he noted:
TOKYO 00000430 003 OF 009
"We must see whether there is any way to improve the current
inspection system."
The same official of the Animal Health Division noted: "For
instance, one vessel carries hundreds of containers, and one
container can hold about 800 cartons at the most. There is no
space to open all cartons. Think calmly, a blanket inspection is
impossible."
He continued: "Inspecting US beef is not the only job we carry
out. There are many other key duties, such as quarantine
inspections to prevent avian flu infection. We are already
tremendously busy."
(2) Second ban on US beef imports (Part 2): Inclusion of high-
risk materials in shipment reflects tendency of US to make light
of Japan; There could not have been a blunder like this if the
shipment were EU-bound; US making humble apology, but may really
think that Japan is over-reacting
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 27) (Slightly abridged)
January 26, 2006
Both the US government and meat industry association have humbly
apologized for the inclusion of specified risk material (SRM) in
a Japan-bound US beef shipment.
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) yesterday held a meeting
of about 40 meatpackers throughout the nation and discussed ways
to prevent a recurrence. The meat industry then offered a
complete apology: "This incident was a serious blunder committed
by the entire industry. There is no excuse for it." Agriculture
Secretary Mike Johanns pointed out that the meatpacker and
SIPDIS
inspector who overlooked the inclusion of the materials in
question did not have much time to learn export conditions for
Japan-bound shipment. He repeatedly urged them to comply with
those conditions.
The Tokyo office of the US Meat Export Federation consisting of
beef producers and exporters stressed that the case this time was
special, saying: "The industry has made efforts to resume beef
trade with Japan for the past two years. It was an unusually
elementary mistake that the persons involved were not aware of
conditions for Japan-bound exports. We never imagined an incident
like this could happen."
In an effort to prevent a recurrence, Washington has released a
set of emergency measures, including the dispatch of a team of
inspectors to Japan and carrying out surprise inspections. It is
frantic about reinstating imports to Japan at an early date.
However, some concerned sources voiced their true feeling that
Japan is "over-reacting to the incident." Asked to deliver a
message to Japanese housewives, Agriculture Under Secretary J.B.
Penn, who visited Japan for a bilateral working-level meeting to
discuss this issue, told reporters during a press conference on
Jan. 24: "The chance of being hit by a car when driving to a
supermarket (to buy beef) is greater than being harmed by eating
beef."
The spinal columns discovered this time were identifiable with
the naked eye. Akira Miyazaki, director (for livestock science)
of the University of the Air Kyoto Study Center, an expert on
TOKYO 00000430 004 OF 009
beef production in the US, pointed out: "The inspection on the US
side was sloppy, probably because they was the underlying
perception among persons involved that consumers in the US all
eat American beef, and so, there should be no problem." Miyazaki
took a harsh view: "The hygienic level of US meatpackers is
pretty high. If the EU had asked similar export conditions, they
would not have made such a blunder. They may be making light of
the Japanese and Asian markets. As long as US companies insist
that it was a minor mistake made by a tiny company, then we
cannot hope for improvement in the situation. It is necessary to
have the US side fully understand the wishes of Japanese
consumers."
"Dispatch inspectors to all US meatpackers"
Miyazaki then urged the Japanese government to make efforts to
urge the US side to reform its consciousness: "MAFF and MHLW
should dispatch inspectors to all of 40 American meatpackers that
are authorized to export beef to Japan in order to provide a
guidance on export conditions. Otherwise, it would be impossible
to have people at the low end of the industry understand export
conditions.
Shinichi Fukuoka, professor of chemical biology at Aoyama Gakuin
University, is concerned: "Unless the government again refers the
matter to the Food Safety Commission and take a second look at
the overall system, similar cases might occur." He underscored:
"In reality, it is difficult to remove all SRM. Since Japan is
actually continuing a blanket cattle inspection, it would be
logical to seek a similar measure from the US."
Commenting on Japan's quarantine system, he said: "It would be
difficult to improve the situation with ad hoc measures, such as
an increase in the number of inspectors. If the US refuses to
implement drastic measures, such as a blanket inspection, Japan
should open all cartons containing US beef and inspect them."
A responsible officer at Yoshinoya D&C, a beef bowl restaurant
chain, which is again suffering a heavy blow from the second ban
on US beef imports only a month after the resumption, lamented:
"We are so disappointed, as the moment we have taken a step
forward, imports have been halted. We want the government to tell
us what actually happened and what the problem is."
(3) Zoellick's "stakeholder" advocacy kicks off pros, cons in
China
SANKEI (Page 3) (Full)
January 26, 2006
Beijing, Tadashi Ito
US Deputy Secretary of State Zoellick yesterday ended his three-
day visit to China. Zoellick talked with Chinese leaders not only
on trade and other bilateral issues but also on international
issues ranging from the nuclear programs of North Korea and Iran
to Japan-China relations. Zoellick seems to have asked for
China's responsible action with his advocacy of "stakeholder" as
a keyword. (TN: The Sankei Shimbun translates this word into
"?????" or "rigai kyoyusha" or "one who shares interests.) In
China, there is a mood for welcoming his overtures or the United
States' strategy toward China connoted in that keyword. However,
there is also a deep-seated wariness of his advocacy. Arguments
TOKYO 00000430 005 OF 009
will likely continue.
On Sept. 21 last year, Zoellick used the word "stakeholder" for
the first time in his speech delivered in New York. He reiterated
this word seven times in that speech. The US Department of State
rendered the word into "????????" ("rieki sokanteki sanyosha" in
Japanese, which can be literally reversed into "reciprocal
participant in benefits"). In China, however, it was translated
in various ways, such as "????" in the meaning of "joint
stockholder." In the end, "?????" or "reciprocal beneficiary"
came to stay.
China has been growing rapidly and is becoming more influential.
Zoellick admitted China as a partner and called on China to
become a "responsible stakeholder." This was noted in China
because it was apparently different from US Defense Secretary
Rumsfeld's earlier speech in Singapore and the Defense
Department's recent report that regarded China as a threat.
In early August last year, prior to that speech, Zoellick visited
China and attended the first round of US-China strategic
dialogues held in Beijing. In his press remarks there after the
talks, he underscored the necessity of partnership with China. In
the speech, however, he emphasized that the United States and
China would have to work together against various challenges,
such as terrorism, Islamic radicals, WMD proliferation, poverty,
and diseases.
In December last year, the US and Chinese governments held their
second round of strategic dialogues in Washington. On that
occasion, officials from the two governments held discussions
over Zoellick's stakeholder advocacy. According to a diplomatic
source, one of those representing China at the talks, Vice
Foreign Minister Dai Bing Guo, developed his argument about
China's theory of peace and development. The Chinese vice
minister also took the position that China basically would agree
to build a constructive relationship with the United States but
was not coincident with the United States on everything, the
source said.
That argument is seen as reflecting a threat among some people in
China. In other words, that is affected by the standpoint of
conservatives asserting that Zoellick's theory is a rehash of the
United States' engagement policy toward China in the 1990s that
was intended to have China comply with the United States under
their different political structures and values.
There are also deep-seated hardline arguments, particularly in
the Chinese military, against the backdrop of strategic divisive
factors between the United States and China, such as Taiwan,
Japanese and US security strategies, energies, and the nuclear
programs of North Korea and Iran. Some note inconsistency between
Zoellick's policy course and hardline arguments against China.
According to a diplomatic source, however, the Chinese
government's mainstream welcomes Zoellick's policy course and its
officials concerned are now studying it.
Prior to Zoellick's China trip this time, the US State Department
clarified that his stakeholder advocacy represents the US
government. Washington needs to talk with Beijing over a number
of immediate challenges such as North Korea and Iran. Moreover,
observers presume that Washington aims to establish a long-term
bilateral cooperative structure between the United States and
TOKYO 00000430 006 OF 009
China on the occasion of Chinese President Hu Jintao's US visit
this April.
That is why, a diplomatic source notes, Zoellick urged Beijing to
improve its soured relations with Tokyo when he met with his
Chinese counterparts, including Premier Wen Jiabao, on Jan. 24.
The United States' relationship with Japan is vital for its Asia
strategy, and the present state of Japan-China relations could
become an obstacle when the United States tries to push for close
ties with China.
In connection with Zoellick's policy course, some in China are
insisting that China should not only fulfill its international
responsibility but also push ahead with political reforms and
democratization. In China, however, there are also antireformers.
Sources deem it difficult for Hu and his government to turn China
into a stakeholder with the United States, judging from the way
things are going between Japan and China, for instance.
(4) JDA intends to consolidate DFAA and include the
consolidation cost in fiscal 2006 budget request; aims to upgrade
itself to ministry
MAINICHI (Page 1) (Full)
Evening, January 26, 2006
By Yozai Furumoto
The Defense Agency (JDA) today decided to consolidate the Defense
Facilities Administration Agency (DFAA). It intends to include
the reorganization cost in its fiscal 2007 budget request. A
prevailing plan is to set up a defense facilities headquarters or
a defense facilities bureau in JDA.
DFAA is an external agency of JDA that is tasked with the
construction of facilities for the Self-Defense Forces and the US
forces in Japan, as well as facilities management. But the DFAA
personnel are hired in principle separately from the JDA; as a
result, they have been criticized as lacking the awareness of
implementing defense policy, a JDA senior official said. In the
talks on the realignment of the US forces in Japan, while the JDA
has aimed at reviewing security policy, DFAA has given priority
to the wishes of base-hosting local governments, exposing a
difference of views.
At the plenary session yesterday of the House of Councilors,
Shozo Kusakawa of the New Komeito referred to the issue of
whether to upgrade the status of JDA to a ministry and pointed
out: "I would say one idea is that it is necessary to undergo a
big change like JDA absorbing DFAA." Some in JDA also want to
gain the momentum for upgrading it by emphasizing that efficiency
would improve with consolidation.
The number of personnel working at DFAA headquarters totals 600
or so. Including personnel working at eight branch offices, the
total number reaches some 3,100.
(5) LDP presidential race in 2006: Truce in the "post-Koizumi"
successor debate
ASAHI (Page 4) (Slightly abridged)
January 26, 2006
TOKYO 00000430 007 OF 009
The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is moving toward calling a
truce in the fierce debate over who should succeed Junichiro
Koizumi as president of the party. With the opposition camp
stepping up its attack on the LDP in Diet debate on the Livedoor
scandal, the LDP appears to have judged that elements that would
lead to internal discord must be avoided. For the presidential
hopefuls -- except for Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe -- and
their factions the main aim has been to stop the trend favoring
Abe as Koizumi's successor.
Prime Minister Koizumi dined with senior ruling coalition members
at his official residence on the evening of Jan. 24. Mikio Aoki,
chairman of the House of Councillors LDP caucus, told him:
"It's better for the prime minister not to talk about the
presidential race. If you and (former Prime Minister Yoshiro)
Mori make a decision, the general direction for the presidency
will be set."
Koizumi reportedly responded: "Well, I haven't said anything, but
everyone is saying all sorts of things connecting to the
presidential election."
Aoki, who heads the LDP caucus in the Upper House, thinks that
candidates should be chosen after the ongoing regular Diet
session is over, after gauging the circumstances in the party.
Aoki, therefore, seems to have urged Koizumi to take a calm
response. Koizumi has been in keen competition with Mori over the
requirements for his successor.
In a speech last December, Mori suggested that Abe should refrain
from running in the next presidential race. In response to those
remarks, Koizumi stated, "(Abe) should not flee from trouble and
stay in the race." He then stated that an LDP president who is
capable of winning elections would be one condition for his
successor. Mori then rebutted, "A president capable of winning
elections is meaningless."
Mori heads the LDP's largest faction, to which Koizumi used to
belong. Koizumi has influence on the 82 new LDP Lower House
members, who are called "Koizumi children." If a rift becomes
obvious in the Koizumi government, the opposition might have a
chance to hurt the LDP by attacking it on the Livedoor scandal.
Mori stated in a general meeting on Jan. 19 of his faction, "I
may ask you to leave the faction if you announce your support for
someone on your own decision." The Mori faction has two possible
presidential candidates: Abe and former Chief Cabinet Secretary
Yasuo Fukuda. Such a split in the Mori faction is just what other
factions in the LDP need.
The Shimazu faction has refrained from overt action, with one
former cabinet member saying, "We will judge a response to the
presidential race while closing watching the trend of the Diet."
A senior Nikai faction member commented, "The moves are too rapid
compared with past races."
Health, Labor and Welfare Minister Jiro Kawasaki, a senior
Tanigaki faction member, said, "(Other factions) proposed an
armistice until around April (when the Diet approves a budget for
fiscal 2006)." As it stands, a mood for a temporary cease fire is
growing in the party.
TOKYO 00000430 008 OF 009
(6) Focus in ODA-reform debate on future options for
implementing bodies, including fate of JBIC
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Full)
January 26, 2006
The government's Study Group on Overseas Economic Cooperation
(chaired by former Attorney General Akio Harada) decided in its
meeting yesterday to set up a cabinet-level committee tasked with
mapping out an official development assistance (ODA) strategy and
then started discussing future options for implementing agencies,
such as the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC). Many
lawmakers from the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) are calling for
splitting the JBIC into a section responsible for yen loans and
another for international financing, but the Finance Ministry and
business leaders insist that the bank should be kept in place.
The panel is scheduled to finalize a report of recommendations in
late February. Prior to this, haggling between both sides is
likely to heat up.
In a meeting held by the LDP taskforce on overseas economic
cooperation at party headquarters the same day, JBIC Governor
Kyosuke Shinozawa, who was invited for a hearing of views,
reiterated the need of preserving the JBIC, saying: "Should a
solo body offer both yen loans and international financial
services, their operational efficiency will be improved."
Taskforce Chairman Tatsuya Ito, assistant to the Policy Research
Council chairman, promptly refuted it: "We will conduct
discussion on the premise of splitting off the JBIC."
Many LDP officials are calling for disbanding the JBIC, based on
the judgment that "the yen loan program, which is aimed at
providing development aid for developing countries, and
international financing, which is intended to help Japanese
businesses promote economic activities overseas, are different in
nature." Many believe that if the yen-loan section separated from
the JBIC and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
are integrated, Japan will be able to carry out a more effective
ODA program.
Besides the JBIC, the Finance Ministry and business circles have
insisted on preserving the JBIC. Japan Foreign Trade Council
Chairman Mikio Sasaki said in a meeting of the government's study
group: "It will be convenient for our trade partners to have a
sole provider of ODA loans. We also want its internationally high
profile to be preserved." Finance Minister Sadakazu Tanigaki and
Nippon Keidanren (Japan Business Federation) Chairman Hiroshi
Okuda shared a negative view about the plan to dissolve the JBCI
when they held a meeting in Tokyo.
The study group, set up under Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe,
will soon engage in last-minute talks on Feb. 13 on future
options for ODA implementation organizations. In an effort to
remove the adverse effect of the current system in which 13
government ministries and agencies have been involved in ODA
policy planning, the government panel is now in accord on setting
up a cabinet ministers' council. When it comes to ODA
implementing organs, however, there are others who are even more
interested. Abe's ability to coordinate views will be put to the
test.
(7) LDP fiscal reform panel switches away from tax-hike policy
TOKYO 00000430 009 OF 009
MAINICHI (Page 2) (Full)
January 26, 2006
The "Project Team to Overcome Deflation and Attain Economic
Growth" set up by the Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) Financial
Reform Study Group held its first meeting at party headquarters
yesterday. In its interim report released last October, the study
group came up with the policy of hiking the consumption tax rate.
At that time, its chairman was Kaoru Yosano, who advocates
reconstructing the nation's financial system. Following the
reshuffle of the Cabinet and party executive officers, however,
State Minister in charge of Economic and Fiscal Policy Yosano was
replaced with Policy Research Council Chairman Hidenao Nakagawa,
who has cautioned against giving priority to tax hikes over other
measures. In its final report due out in May, the study group is
expected to turn around and to propose minimizing the margin of
tax increase by achieving higher economic growth rates.
In yesterday's meeting, Nakagawa stressed the need to break away
from deflation at an early date in order to minimize the margin
of consumption tax hike. He said: "Overcoming deflation has been
a challenge since the Koizumi administration was inaugurated, but
no settlement has been reached yet. The purpose (of the project
team) is to minimize the scale of tax hike."
The project team was set up at the proposal of Nakagawa. Nakagawa
calls for giving priority to reforms, like spending cuts and
putting an end to deflation, over tax increases. Based on this
policy, he aims to curb the margin of tax hike by streamlining
central government agencies and achieving higher economic growth
rates. Under the lead of Nakagawa, the project team's policy
direction has completely shifted from the Yosano line of
designating the consumption tax as a welfare tax and raising the
tax rate to a 10 PERCENT level.
Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi has clearly said: "I will not
raise the tax rate while I am in office." But whether to hike the
rate will undoubtedly be one of the most controversial issues in
the upcoming LDP presidential election. Chief Cabinet Secretary,
who is regarded as the most likely potential candidate to succeed
Koizumi, insists that priority should be given to administrative
and fiscal reform plans in echoing Nakagawa and Internal Affairs
and Communications Minister Heizo Takenaka. Meanwhile, Finance
Minister Sadakazu Tanigaki, who has also expressed a desire to
run in the election, aims to submit a bill in 2007 to raise the
consumption tax.
Financial reconstruction will reach a crucial point in June, when
the government presents a report containing policy options and a
timetable for reforming expenditures and revenues in a package.
The proposed package reforms have been discussed mainly at the
Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy led by Yosano. This panel,
in contrast to the Financial Reform Study Group, has become an
arena for Yosano and Tanigaki to try to set the timing for tax
hikes. In the spring and later, the issue of whether to hike the
consumption tax is likely to take center stage in discussions in
the government and the LDP, with an eye on the LDP presidential
election.
SCHIEFFER