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Viewing cable 06TOKYO406, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/25/06
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| Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06TOKYO406 | 2006-01-25 23:10 | 2011-08-25 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tokyo |
VZCZCXRO2287
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0406/01 0252310
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 252310Z JAN 06
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7790
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
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RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
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RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 4298
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 5398
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 0173
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 6357
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 8504
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 12 TOKYO 000406
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
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ADVISOR; CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/25/06
INDEX:
(1) Editorial: Make result of Nago mayoral election opportunity
to move ahead with Futenma relocation issue
(2) Editorial: Nago City mayoral election -- Heavy political
responsibility
(3) Editorial: Challenges posed by arrest of Livedoor President
Horie
(4) Prime Minister again criticizes China, South Korea over
Yasukuni issue; Cautious about country-of-origin marking
(5) Editorial: More members, greater independence needed for
market-monitoring panel
(6) Performance of Yamaha's unmanned helicopter comparable to
that of a toy; Step may have been taken in consideration of US,
which wants to break into China's pesticide-spraying market
(7) US, South Korea at odds over North Korea's alleged
counterfeit scheme; Seoul concerned about irritating Pyongyang9
(8) Poll on Koizumi cabinet, political parties, structural
reforms
ARTICLES:
(1) Editorial: Make result of Nago mayoral election opportunity
to move ahead with Futenma relocation issue
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Full)
January 25, 2006
Yoshikazu Shimabukuro, 59, an independent candidate backed by the
Liberal Democratic and New Komeito, won the mayoral election of
Nago City, Okinawa Prefecture.
His victory should be taken as an opportunity to press forward
with a plan to relocate the US Marine Corps' Futenma Air Station
(in Ginowan City) to the coast of Camp Schwab.
Shimabukuro is a successor to incumbent Mayor Tateo Kishimoto,
who once agreed to the government's initial plan to relocate the
Futenma base to an offshore airfield to be built on reclaimed
land. He won the race supported by local business circles that
expected to secure central government promotional package
measures.
Shimabukuro had expressed his opposition to the plan to build an
alternative air station at the coast of Camp Schwab. After
winning the race, however, he told the press corps that if a
revision of the plan were presented, he would hold discussions
with the central government.
Tokyo proposed the coastal plan and Washington agreed to it after
being strongly urged to Tokyo. Therefore, it would be difficult
for the Japanese government to revise the plan in view of the
local community.
The central government should make an utmost effort to persuade
Nago City to accept the relocation plan. It should, in
cooperation with the US administration, to do its best to draw up
TOKYO 00000406 002 OF 012
flight paths for military helicopters using the proposed air
station that would dispel the local residents' concern over
aircraft noise, among other issues. It is also important to give
sufficient consideration to economic rehabilitation measures.
Shimabukuro also has to display his leadership in getting the new
plan accepted by harmonizing views among the residents of Nago.
In addition to the understanding of Nago residents, the
cooperation of Okinawa Gov. Kenichi Inamine will be absolutely
necessary in resolving the Futenma relocation issue since the
governor is empowered to approve or reject the reclamation of
public water areas.
Gov. Inamine has been opposing to the coastal plan, but he backed
Shimabukuro in the mayoral election. Since Shimabukuro won the
race, the governor should push through talks with the central
government.
In addition to the relocation of Futenma Air Station, an
agreement between Tokyo and Washington on realigning US forces in
Japan includes the reversion to Japanese rule of the US forces'
Makiminato Service Area and Camp Zukeran in Okinawa and the
reduction of about 7,000 US marines through integration and
relocation.
Moving ahead with the agreement would ease the burden of US
military bases carried by the residents of Okinawa.
It is an urgent task for Okinawa to improve the present situation
of Futenma Air Station, which is dubbed one of the most dangerous
airports in the world.
If Gov. Inamine continues to oppose the relocation plan, the
central government will have no choice but to have the Diet vote
special measures legislation to transfer the governor's authority
regarding military bases to the central government.
The purposes of the realignment of US forces in Japan are to
reduce the burden of the residents of Okinawa and to maintain and
strengthen their deterrence. The Japan-US alliance is the
foundation of the security of Japan and that of the Asia-Pacific
region with Okinawa situated as its keystone.
Tokyo is responsible for achieving the accord with Washington and
it must demonstrate its will by its action. Its failure to
promote the air station relocation plan agreed in 1996 resulted
Washington losing confidence in Tokyo. The Japanese government no
longer is allowed to repeat the same mistake.
(2) Editorial: Nago City mayoral election -- Heavy political
responsibility
ASAHI (Page 3) (Full)
January 25, 2006
In the Okinawa prefectural city of Nago, many people do not want
a US military base. However, they probably might think that it
unavoidable to accept the base, depending on conditions, and that
the US military's Futenma airfield is located in a densely
populated area of the island prefecture and is dangerous, so the
airfield must not be left as is.
TOKYO 00000406 003 OF 012
Yoshikazu Shimabukuro, who had shown a flexible stance to accept
Futenma relocation, was elected in the city's recent mayoral
election to his first term. The total number of votes obtained by
the other two candidates, who clearly rejected the base, did not
reach that of Shimabukuro.
The Asahi Shimbun conducted an exit poll of voters, in which 79
PERCENT were opposed to Futenma relocation to Nago. However, 42
PERCENT expected economic stimulus measures for their local
communities when casting their votes.
The incumbent mayor had clarified that he would accept Futenma
relocation if the government helped boost the local economy. The
city's population probably appreciated Shimabukuro as his
successor.
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner,
the New Komeito, recommended Shimabukuro. Okinawa Gov. Keiichi
Inamine also backed him. Now that Shimabukuro has been elected,
there is a situation where the government can sit down and talk
with Okinawa Prefecture and Nago City. The political
responsibility for the Futenma relocation is even heavier.
However, the Futenma relocation will not necessarily gain
momentum at once. That is because there are a number of problems
in store to resolve.
Shimabukuro is flexible about accepting Futenma airfield's
heliport functions but is opposed to the Japanese and US
governments' agreed plan to relocate Futenma airfield to Cape
Henoko. Shimabukuro says he wants the two governments to change
the construction site so that local residents will not suffer
from damage such as aircraft noise. Shimabukuro himself does not
intend to come up with any specific plan. However, one
conceivable idea is to build the new base out at sea and away
from populated districts.
However, that idea may overlap the offshore plan agreed to in
2002 between the government and Okinawa. Local residents have
blocked the planned construction at sea and staged a sit-in for
over 600 days. The government stuck to the coastal plan in order
to avoid protest movements from the sea, and pressed the United
States to accept it. It would not be easy to pull back the
coastal plan now.
Nago attached seven conditions to its acceptance of Futenma
relocation, such as concluding a base use agreement, which
requests the US military to set flight routes and consider noise
countermeasures. Shimabukuro is ready to adopt the seven
conditions. The government should respond to such local voices.
Inamine supported Shimabukuro. However, his position is delicate.
Inamine once agreed to the offshore plan but made it a
precondition to set a 15-year time limit on the US military's use
of an offshore facility. He is still saying there will be no
choice but to relocate the airfield to another prefecture if that
precondition is not satisfied.
In the wake of the mayoral election, the government might be
considering a new package of economic stimulus measures. That
alone, however, cannot resolve the problem.
The question is whether the government will be able to show a new
policy course that will unravel the complicated tangles of Nago
TOKYO 00000406 004 OF 012
City and Okinawa Prefecture and that will be convincing to the
local communities. The government must answer this question
first.
(3) Editorial: Challenges posed by arrest of Livedoor President
Horie
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Full)
January 24 2006
Violations of the Securities and Exchange Law (SEL) by President
Takafumi Horie and four executives of the Livedoor group have
shaken the market. The Tokyo District Public Prosecutors Office
(TDPPO) arrested them within a week since it raided the company.
The arrested are suspected of violating the SEL, by raising the
stock prices of its subsidiary (ValueClick Japan, now Livedoor
Marketing). They have allegedly spread false buyout information
and engaged in fraudulent corporate practices (to mislead
investors) with the aim of making great profits on the sale of
that subsidiary. In the buyout of a publisher by its subsidiary
through an investment union, also run by Livedoor, the company
allegedly released information on the buyout process that was not
true and extensively split the shares of that subsidiary by
window-dressing its settlement of accounts. The public
prosecutors office says that these practices fall under
fraudulent corporate practices and the spreading of false
information (to attract investors), which are banned under the
Securities and Exchange Law.
Lack of disciplinary consciousness
The raid of the company has exposed many other suspicions. There
is now a growing impression that not only did Livedoor, which
attracted people's attention for its fast growth through mergers
and acquisitions (M&A), take advantage of the defects of existing
laws and systems and use their loopholes, but its behavior was
reckless because the management board lacked disciplinary
consciousness.
The company was found to have carried out six M&As that have
allegedly involved violations of the SEL, as was the case, which
has led to their arrests. The window-dressing was carried out,
presumably based on the funds funneled from the sale of stocks
newly issued for the exchange of stocks in the buyout in
question. Such funds from the six buyouts are estimated to total
8 billion yen. Chief Financial Officer Ryoji Miyauchi, also
arrested, allegedly planned and took the lead in the plot of
Livedoor buying out companies in such a way, thereby gaining
funds. Investigation into Horie will first focus on whether he
was aware of such a behavior of his company, including spreading
false buyout information and engaging in fraudulent corporate
practices, and what role he has played, if he himself was
involved. We want public prosecutors to thoroughly investigate
the case, including whether the company was involved in any other
violations of the law.
Why did Livedoor, which started as a venture capital firm founded
by a student, deviate from the line? Horie and those who were
arrested along with him have responsibility to reveal the
circumstances in which their corporate management bent the law
and then came to ignore rules.
TOKYO 00000406 005 OF 012
Generally speaking, venture capital firms rapidly grow on the
back of their special technologies and know-how and make huge
leaps, mainly by acquiring capital in one go through the listing
of their stocks on the market. At the outset, Livedoor provided
services for creating homepages. It was not engaged in any
outstanding business operation. The members of its group
companies now number close to 50, but it is difficult to grasp
what its main revenue sources are.
The company has come to attract attention after about ten years
since the foundation, because it has orchestrated its management
in such a way as to attract investor expectations. The extensive
100-for-1 stock split, which it carried out ahead of other
companies, has given momentum to this tendency. Livedoor has
learned the mechanism of stock prices rising before investors
actually obtain split stocks.
Livedoor's outstanding shares have grown 10,000-fold through
share splitting, boosting its aggregate market value. The company
has pursued M&As in a more active manner, bolstered by the
increase in the value of shares. The recent skirmish over the
takeover of Nippon Broadcasting System was apparently the zenith
in Livedoor's uptrend. It obtained 147 billion yen in cash as a
result of reconciliation with Fuji TV in the form of new stock
issues by the TV company to be allocated to a third party.
The company has inflated the seeming corporate value, by raising
its aggregate market value, by heightening investor expectations
in a money game, instead of enhancing corporate value by creating
added value through business transactions. Livedoor has
presumably strengthened the tendency to ignore business rules as
a result of becoming accustomed to such an easy way of making
profits.
It is a mistake to view that Internet-related IT companies are
all alike. It is a legitimate management strategy for corporate
executives to grow their companies, by developing their own
business model, using the Internet, thereby attracting investors.
Immediate establishment of watchdog of market urged
If the allegations in the case are confirmed, it means that Horie
and other executives have deceived investors. Their violations of
the SEL have given rise to the so-called Livedoor shock, which
have shaken investors as well as their trust in the securities
market.
Unlike usual investigation into cases involving business matters,
in which public prosecutors spend much time on secret
investigation, the TDPPO Office did not reportedly interview
persons around the suspects before raiding their residences. It
was able to arrest the executives of Livedoor in a matter of a
few days since the raid of the company, because it probably did
not conceal evidence of its wrongdoings so strictly. The TDPPO
therefore gathered enough evidence, based on the data confiscated
in the raid.
In corporate buyouts, in which Livedoor was strongly suspected of
having violated the law, the Livedoor group repeatedly carried
out large-scale share splitting practices, an act with which the
Stock Exchange Monitoring Committee (SEMC) and the Financial
Services Agency (FSA), watchdogs of the securities market, took
issue. Chances are high that if the SEMC or the FSA had
TOKYO 00000406 006 OF 012
investigated Livedoor's activities in a timely and penetrating
manner, they could have obtained facts, which have led to their
arrests. In that case, the turmoil on the market for the last
week could have been avoided.
It is of urgent necessity for Japan to have its own version of
the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that is equipped
with authority and a personnel lineup suitable a watchdog of the
market. The government should immediately and drastically
reorganize the SEMC and strengthen its functions.
(4) Prime Minister again criticizes China, South Korea over
Yasukuni issue; Cautious about country-of-origin marking
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 1) (Full)
Evening, January 25, 2006
In the interpellation session at the House of Councilors this
afternoon, Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi renewed his criticism
of the positions taken by China and South Korea over his visits
to Yasukuni Shrine. Koizumi said: "In Asia, there is no other
country but China and South Korea that criticize my Yasukuni
visits."
The prime minister made the above remark in response to a
question by Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan) member Tsurunen
Maruti. He touched on the issue although Tsurunen said: "You do
not need to speak of the Yasukuni issue in your Diet replies,
because we have heard your views to the extent that we are tired
of listening." Regarding Asia policy, Koizumi put out his stock
argument: "Close relations between Japan and the US are extremely
important for Japan to promote its policy toward Asia in a
strategic way."
On the issue of the spinal columns - a designated specified risk
material - found in a US beef shipment to Japan, the prime
minister reiterated that he would continue to ask the US
government to investigate the cause of the incident and take
thorough measures to prevent a reoccurrence. Minshuto has called
on the government to mandate retailers to put country-of-origin
marks on the packaging of products. But Koizumi indicated a
cautious stance about this measure, saying: "The measure might
pose a problem in terms of the relation to international
agreements."
Regarding the issue of upgrading the Defense Agency to ministry
status, New Komeito Upper House Caucus Chairman Shozo Kusagawa
said: "The people have not fully understood this plan." In
response, Koizumi said: "It is important to conduct discussion so
that the people can fully understand it, " adding: "It is only
natural to ensure civilian control of the military."
As for the current zero-interest policy, Koizumi said: "Deflation
persists." He then indicated that a cautious judgment is
necessary for policy about-face, though using an indirect
expression: "The government and the Bank of Japan in cooperation
will grapple with the challenge of containing deflation."
(5) Editorial: More members, greater independence needed for
market-monitoring panel
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Full)
January 25, 2006
TOKYO 00000406 007 OF 012
Former Livedoor Co. President Takafumi Horie and other executives
were arrested on charge of violating the Securities and Exchange
Law. This issue is taking center stage in the current Diet
session. The issue contains many points of contention, but it is
particularly serious that the nation's system to monitor the
securities market did not work properly. How to reform the system
is one of the major challenges for politicians to address.
In a press conference, State Minister in charge of Economic,
Fiscal and Financial Affairs Kaoru Yosano indicated a plan to
increase the number of members of the Securities and Exchange
Surveillance Commission (SESC), saying: "We need to discuss if
the current number is sufficient." Asked about the proposed
separation of the SESC's functions from the Financial Services
Agency (FSA), Yosano replied: "As of now, we have no plan of
reorganizing the panel." The SESC under the FSA supposedly was
slow to take action and eventually overlooked the illegal
activities by Livedoor. When considering this, we can clearly say
that only an increase in the number of panel members will not
lead to solving the problem.
We have called for an independent panel, like the Security and
Exchange Commission (SEC) of the US, to be established in Japan.
In the Livedoor scam, close ties between suspect Horie and the
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) were pointed out. It is now
obvious for Japan to prepare an independent capital-market
watchdog free from any political involvement. The government
should urgently discuss this issue, with the aim of realizing it
during the current Diet session.
Horie ran in the House of Representatives election last September
as an independent. Secretary General Tsutomu Takebe, then State
Minister in Charge of Postal Privatization, and other LDP
officials visited his electoral district to support his campaign.
In a Diet session, opposition party members have pursued Prime
Minister Junichiro Koizumi's responsibility over the LDP's
support of Horie. In response, Koizumi had said: "Supporting him
is a different matter (from Livedoor's stock scam)." Speaking to
reporters last night, however, the prime minister somewhat toned
it down: "It is difficult to make a thorough survey of a certain
person. If we are criticized that much remain unknown, we have to
tolerate the criticism."
When he ran in the election, Horie gave a press conference at LDP
headquarters, being treated like a candidate running on the LDP
ticket. The prime minister said when he filed his candidacy: "I
strongly feel that we have entered a phase of major change. I
would like to send encouragement to him." Such moves by LDP
executives certainly contributed to raising the social
credibility. Particularly, Takebe deeply involved in Horie's
running in the election and even asked his cooperation for party
management after the election. His responsibility is quite
heavy.
Taking advantage of the emergence of the faulty architectural
standards issue, US beef inspection mishap, and the Livedoor
issue this time, Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan) is
gathering renewed steam. But it is not enough for the largest
opposition party to only pursue the LDP's responsibility. The
party is now being tested on its ability to map out a policy to
tighten the nation's market-monitoring function. We hope that a
heated debate will be conducted and that the government, which
TOKYO 00000406 008 OF 012
has been slow to create a Japanese-version SEC, will begin to
move.
(6) Performance of Yamaha's unmanned helicopter comparable to
that of a toy; Step may have been taken in consideration of US,
which wants to break into China's pesticide-spraying market
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 24) (Abridged slightly)
January 25, 2006
The Fukuoka and Shizuoka prefectural police and Nagoya
Customhouse have recently cracked Yamaha Motor's attempt to
export an unauthorized unmanned helicopter to China. Learning of
the incident, military commentator Osamu Inagaki commented:
"How could such a helicopter become a threat? Do they think China
could spray chemical and biological weapons instead of
agricultural chemicals? The helicopter, which can fly for up to
one hour or so at a time, will not make a much of a weapon."
The police and customhouse cracked the case based on an Economy,
Trade and Industry Ministry (METI) ordinance that was revised
last January. The exportation of unmanned aircraft capable of
carrying and spraying over 20 liters of liquid during its GPS-
assisted independent navigation requires the METI minister's
permission. Yamaha falsified documents to conceal some facts.
The model in question is RMAX L181 (3.6 meters long), which is
capable of flying an area of a circle with radius 200 meters at
an altitude of no more than 150 meters. Yamaha's public relations
officer denied the alleged violation of the ministry ordinance,
saying: "The helicopter carries a GPS, but that is for adjusting
speed, and the machine must be operated manually. It is not
possible to install a program for autopilot and is impossible to
convert it for other purposes."
Military analyst Motoaki Kamiura explained:
"Pesticide-spraying unmanned helicopters appeared on the market
in the 1980s. Large radio-controlled helicopters costing about 8
million yen were able to fly an area of a circle with radius 150
meters, but they had a major setback."
They could go beyond the operating range when the operator took
his eyes from it for a second, like lighting a cigarette, and
crash into the ground. Then came the RMAX L181 costing 15.75
million yen, which is designed to hover and land automatically
when it goes over its operating range.
Kamiura added:
"The RMAX L181 was replaced by the RMAX G1, which is being used
for reconnaissance by the Ground Self-Defense Force in Iraq's
Samawah. It can fly on an autopilot as well. It costs over 130
million yen, however."
The RMAX G1 can control the position of its fuselage and has an
operating range of 5 kilometers. This model is used for checking
electric lines. But the helicopter in question is an old model.
Kamiura also noted with a wry smile:
"The US-made drone Predator can fly up to 30 hours at an altitude
TOKYO 00000406 009 OF 012
of 8,000 to 9,000 meters, and the Global Hawk at an altitude of
20,000 meters. Compared to those aircraft, Yamaha's helicopter in
question is like a toy. It will not pose any threat."
Inagaki, too, noted:
"People use the expression 'conversion for military applications'
too often. Even pickup trucks are used for military purposes.
Practically anything can be converted for military use."
Kamiura explained the background of the Yamaha case this way:
"A decade ago, exports of even laptop computers and PlayStation
game consoles were restricted. Japan is technically leading the
pesticide-spraying unmanned helicopter sector. The United States
is targeting the Chinese market. There must have been US pressure
behind the discovery of Yamaha's attempt to export its helicopter
to China. The government might remove regulations in a year or
two when the US technically catches up with Japan."
Absurd regulations may destroy Japanese industry
Years ago, the government restricted exporting large trailers to
North Korea, saying they might be used for transporting scud
missiles. Japan's step was immediately followed by Russia's
exports of its trailers to the North. Citing such a case, Kamiura
sounded an alarm, saying:
"I cannot understand why the government had to crack Yamaha's
helicopter export to China. People say that it could turn into a
threat. If restrictions were placed based on such an absurd
argument, Japan's industry would collapse. Such a consequence
would be dreadful."
(7) US, South Korea at odds over North Korea's alleged
counterfeit scheme; Seoul concerned about irritating Pyongyang
MAINICHI (Page 7) (Full)
January 25, 2006
Seoul, Shinichiro Hori
A US Treasury Department investigative team visited South Korea
on Jan. 23-24 in order to look into North Korea's alleged
manufacturing of counterfeit US dollar bills, and the team
reported its findings to South Korea government officials about
counterfeit dollar operations. The South Korean government took
it as a serious problem. However, Seoul is concerned that if the
United States starts full-fledged investigations into North
Korea's alleged counterfeit dollar scheme, such investigations
would irritate Pyongyang. The United States and South Korea are
at odds over the counterfeit dollar issue. This will likely
affect the next sixth round of six-party talks.
The Treasury team, before its visit to South Korea, investigated
Banco Delta Asia, a Macau-based bank, and other banking
institutions as North Korea's arcane fund-raising outposts used
for that country's moneylaundering of counterfeit dollar bills.
In South Korea, the team reported its findings to South Korean
government officials.
The US embassy in South Korea released the report yesterday,
saying the United States requested South Korea must make efforts
TOKYO 00000406 010 OF 012
to prevent Banco Delta Asia and other banking institutions, which
are believed to be moneylaundering windows, from activating North
Korea's illegal operations.
In a regular press interview held shortly thereafter, however,
South Korean Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Ban Ki Moon
revealed a perception gap with the United States. A South Korean
reporter asked, "The United States suspects that North Korea is
the ringleader of counterfeit bill operations." In response to
this question, Ban answered that the South Korean government is
seriously concerned about illegal acts such as making fake notes.
With this, he avoided referring to North Korea's involvement.
Late last year, the United States set about investigations into
the allegations of counterfeit bills, possibly in an aim to
pressure North Korea. China will likely oppose imposing economic
sanctions on North Korea. However, investigating allegations to
maintain international financial order could obtain the
international community's support.
Meanwhile, North Korea strongly denounced the United States. "The
United States is spreading a lie about counterfeit money and is
also expanding a campaign to blockade our country," the Nodong
Shinmun said on Jan. 13.
Even if the next sixth round of six-party talks is held in
February, North Korea will likely reiterate its position against
the United States' financial sanctions and its investigations
into the allegations of counterfeit bills. If South Korea sides
with North Korea on that occasion, the six-party talks will
likely tangle.
(8) Poll on Koizumi cabinet, political parties, structural
reforms
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Full)
January 24, 2006
Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage. Parentheses denote the results of a
survey conducted in November.)
Q: Do you support the Koizumi cabinet?
Yes 56.1(57.5)
No 35.8(33.7)
Other answers (O/A) 2.4(2.6)
No answer (N/A) 5.8(6.3)
Q: Give up to two reasons for your approval of the Koizumi
cabinet.
I can appreciate its political stance 33.6
I can appreciate its policy measures 17.6
It's stable 15.9
The prime minister is trustworthy 20.1
It's achieved actual results 32.4
It's a coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the New
Komeito 6.0
It's better than its predecessors 38.1
O/A 2.2
N/A 0.5
TOKYO 00000406 011 OF 012
Q: Give up to two reasons for your disapproval of the Koizumi
cabinet.
I can't appreciate its political stance 38.5
I can't appreciate its policy measures 41.8
It's unstable 15.9
The prime minister is untrustworthy 28.6
It's failed to achieve noticeable results 16.3
It's a coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the New
Komeito 16.6
It's worse than its predecessors 5.7
O/A 2.3
N/A 0.5
Q: What issues do you want the Koizumi cabinet to pursue on a
priority basis? Pick as many as you like from among those listed
below.
Economic stimulus measures 56.7
Employment measures 26.5
Fiscal reconstruction 21.9
Tax reform 30.5
Social security reform, including pensions 55.1
Measures to counter low birthrate,
including childcare support 30.9
Educational reform 19.8
Political reform, political ethics 8.8
Public service personnel system reform 16.6
Public security, crime prevention 26.4
Foreign policy 16.8
Defense, security 9.1
North Korea issues 24.8
Environmental protection 14.8
Crisis management, including
disaster prevention 13.0
Constitutional revision 5.8
Food safety17.6
O/A + nothing in particular + N/A 2.5
Q: Do you think Prime Minister Koizumi's structural reform
initiatives are under way as you expected?
Yes 7.1
Yes to a certain degree 32.0
No to a certain degree 27.2
No 28.0
N/A 5.6
Q: Which political party do you support?
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 40.9(39.7)
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 12.6(13.0)
New Komeito (NK) 3.5(2.6)
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2.3(1.6)
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.6(1.8)
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.2(0.2)
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) ---(0.1)
Other political parties 0.1(0.1)
None 38.1/40.1
N/A 0.9/1.0
TOKYO 00000406 012 OF 012
Polling methodology
Date of survey: Jan. 21-22.
Subjects of survey: 3,000 persons chosen from among all eligible
voters throughout the country (at 250 locations on a stratified
two-stage random sampling basis).
Method of implementation: Door-to-door visits for face-to-face
interviews.
Number of valid respondents: 1,805 persons (60.2 PERCENT ).
Breakdown of respondents: Male-50 PERCENT , female-50 PERCENT .
SCHIEFFER