Keep Us Strong WikiLeaks logo

Currently released so far... 97115 / 251,287

Articles

Browse latest releases

Browse by creation date

Browse by origin

A B C D F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z

Browse by tag

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
ETRD EAGR ETTC EAID ECON EFIN ECIN EINV ELAB EAIR ENRG EPET EWWT ECPS EIND EMIN ELTN EC ETMIN EUC EZ ET ELECTIONS ENVR EU EUN EG EINT ER ECONOMICS ES EMS ENIV EEB EN ECE ECOSOC EK ENVIRONMENT EFIS EI EWT ENGRD ECPSN EXIM EIAD ERIN ECPC EDEV ENGY ECTRD EPA ESTH ECCT EINVECON ENGR ERTD EUR EAP EWWC ELTD EL EXIMOPIC EXTERNAL ETRDEC ESCAP ECO EGAD ELNT ECONOMIC ENV ETRN EIAR EUMEM ENRGPARMOTRASENVKGHGPGOVECONTSPLEAID EREL ECOM ECONETRDEAGRJA ETCC ETRG ECONOMY EMED ETR ENERG EITC EFINOECD EURM EENG ERA EXPORT ENRD ECONEINVETRDEFINELABETRDKTDBPGOVOPIC EGEN EBRD EVIN ETRAD ECOWAS EFTA ECONETRDBESPAR EGOVSY EPIN EID ECONENRG EDRC ESENV ETT EB ENER ELTNSNAR ECHEVARRIA ETRC EPIT EDUC ESA EFI ENRGY ESCI EE EAIDXMXAXBXFFR EETC ECIP EIAID EIVN EBEXP ESTN EING EGOV ETRA EPETEIND ELAN ETRDGK EAIDRW ETRDEINVECINPGOVCS EPEC ENVI ELN EAG EPCS EPRT EPTED ETRB EUM EAIDS EFIC EFINECONEAIDUNGAGM EAIDAR ESF EIDN ELAM EDU EV EAIDAF ECN EDA EXBS EINTECPS ENRGTRGYETRDBEXPBTIOSZ EPREL EAC EINVEFIN ETA EAGER EINDIR ECA ECLAC ELAP EITI EUCOM ECONEFINETRDPGOVEAGRPTERKTFNKCRMEAID EARG ELDIN EINVKSCA ENNP EFINECONCS EFINTS ECCP ETC EAIRASECCASCID EINN ETRP EAIDNI EFQ ECOQKPKO EGPHUM EBUD ECONEINVEFINPGOVIZ ENERGY ELB EINDETRD EMI ECONEFIN EIB EURN ETRDEINVTINTCS EIN EFIM ETIO ELAINE EMN EATO EWTR EIPR EINVETC ETTD ETDR EIQ ECONCS EPPD ENRGIZ EISL ESPINOSA ELEC EAIG ESLCO EUREM ENTG ERD EINVECONSENVCSJA EEPET EUNCH ECINECONCS ETRO ETRDECONWTOCS ECUN EFND EPECO EAIRECONRP ERGR ETRDPGOV ECPN ENRGMO EPWR EET EAIS EAGRE EDUARDO EAGRRP EAIDPHUMPRELUG EICN ECONQH EVN EGHG ELBR EINF EAIDHO EENV ETEX ERNG ED
KMDR KPAO KPKO KJUS KCRM KGHG KFRD KWMN KDEM KTFN KHIV KGIC KIDE KSCA KNNP KHUM KIPR KSUM KISL KIRF KCOR KRCM KPAL KWBG KN KS KOMC KSEP KFLU KPWR KTIA KSEO KMPI KHLS KICC KSTH KMCA KVPR KPRM KE KU KZ KFLO KSAF KTIP KTEX KBCT KOCI KOLY KOR KAWC KACT KUNR KTDB KSTC KLIG KSKN KNN KCFE KCIP KGHA KHDP KPOW KUNC KDRL KV KPREL KCRS KPOL KRVC KRIM KGIT KWIR KT KIRC KOMO KRFD KUWAIT KG KFIN KSCI KTFIN KFTN KGOV KPRV KSAC KGIV KCRIM KPIR KSOC KBIO KW KGLB KMWN KPO KFSC KSEAO KSTCPL KSI KPRP KREC KFPC KUNH KCSA KMRS KNDP KR KICCPUR KPPAO KCSY KTBT KCIS KNEP KFRDCVISCMGTCASCKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KNNB KGCC KINR KPOP KMFO KENV KNAR KVIR KDRG KDMR KFCE KNAO KDEN KGCN KICA KIMMITT KMCC KLFU KMSG KSEC KUM KCUL KMNP KSMT KCOM KOMCSG KSPR KPMI KRAD KIND KCRP KAUST KWAWC KTER KCHG KRDP KPAS KITA KTSC KPAOPREL KWGB KIRP KJUST KMIG KLAB KTFR KSEI KSTT KAPO KSTS KLSO KWNN KPOA KHSA KNPP KPAONZ KBTS KWWW KY KJRE KPAOKMDRKE KCRCM KSCS KWMNCI KESO KWUN KPLS KIIP KEDEM KPAOY KRIF KGICKS KREF KTRD KFRDSOCIRO KTAO KJU KWMNPHUMPRELKPAOZW KEN KO KNEI KEMR KKIV KEAI KWAC KRCIM KWCI KFIU KWIC KCORR KOMS KNNO KPAI KBWG KTTB KTBD KTIALG KILS KFEM KTDM KESS KNUC KPA KOMCCO KCEM KRCS KWBGSY KNPPIS KNNPMNUC KWN KERG KLTN KALM KCCP KSUMPHUM KREL KGH KLIP KTLA KAWK KWMM KVRP KVRC KAID KSLG KDEMK KX KIF KNPR KCFC KFTFN KTFM KPDD KCERS KMOC KDEMAF KMEPI KEMS KDRM KEPREL KBTR KEDU KNP KIRL KNNR KMPT KISLPINR KTPN KA KJUSTH KPIN KDEV KTDD KAKA KFRP KWNM KTSD KINL KJUSKUNR KWWMN KECF KWBC KPRO KVBL KOM KFRDKIRFCVISCMGTKOCIASECPHUMSMIGEG KEDM KFLD KLPM KRGY KNNF KICR KIFR KM KWMNCS KAWS KLAP KPAK KDDG KCGC KID KNSD KMPF KPFO KDP KCMR KRMS KNPT KNNNP KTIAPARM KDTB KNUP KPGOV KNAP KNNC KUK KSRE KREISLER KIVP KQ KTIAEUN KPALAOIS KRM KISLAO KWM KFLOA
PHUM PINR PTER PGOV PREL PREF PL PM PHSA PE PARM PINS PK PUNE PO PALESTINIAN PU PBTS PROP PTBS POL POLI PA PGOVZI POLMIL POLITICAL PARTIES POLM PD POLITICS POLICY PAS PMIL PINT PNAT PV PKO PPOL PERSONS PING PBIO PH PETR PARMS PRES PCON PETERS PRELBR PT PLAB PP PAK PDEM PKPA PSOCI PF PLO PTERM PJUS PSOE PELOSI PROPERTY PGOVPREL PARP PRL PNIR PHUMKPAL PG PREZ PGIC PBOV PAO PKK PROV PHSAK PHUMPREL PROTECTION PGOVBL PSI PRELPK PGOVENRG PUM PRELKPKO PATTY PSOC PRIVATIZATION PRELSP PGOVEAIDUKNOSWGMHUCANLLHFRSPITNZ PMIG PREC PAIGH PROG PSHA PARK PETER POG PHUS PPREL PS PTERPREL PRELPGOV POV PKPO PGOVECON POUS PGOVPRELPHUMPREFSMIGELABEAIDKCRMKWMN PWBG PMAR PREM PAR PNR PRELPGOVEAIDECONEINVBEXPSCULOIIPBTIO PARMIR PGOVGM PHUH PARTM PN PRE PTE PY POLUN PPEL PDOV PGOVSOCI PIRF PGOVPM PBST PRELEVU PGOR PBTSRU PRM PRELKPAOIZ PGVO PERL PGOC PAGR PMIN PHUMR PVIP PPD PGV PRAM PINL PKPAL PTERE PGOF PINO PHAS PODC PRHUM PHUMA PREO PPA PEPFAR PGO PRGOV PAC PRESL PORG PKFK PEPR PRELP PREFA PNG PGOVPHUMKPAO PRELECON PINOCHET PFOR PGOVLO PHUMBA PRELC PREK PHUME PHJM POLINT PGOVPZ PGOVKCRM PGOVE PHALANAGE PARTY PECON PEACE PROCESS PLN PRELSW PAHO PEDRO PRELA PASS PPAO PGPV PNUM PCUL PGGV PSA PGOVSMIGKCRMKWMNPHUMCVISKFRDCA PGIV PRFE POGOV PEL PBT PAMQ PINF PSEPC POSTS PHUMPGOV PVOV PHSAPREL PROLIFERATION PENA PRELTBIOBA PIN PRELL PGOVPTER PHAM PHYTRP PTEL PTERPGOV PHARM PROTESTS PRELAF PKBL PRELKPAO PKNP PARMP PHUML PFOV PERM PUOS PRELGOV PHUMPTER PARAGRAPH PERURENA PBTSEWWT PCI PETROL PINSO PINSCE PQL PEREZ PBS

Browse by classification

Community resources

courage is contagious

Viewing cable 05DARESSALAAM1205, NO SURPRISES IN TANZANIAN BUDGET SPEECH

If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss them with others. See also the FAQs

Understanding cables
Every cable message consists of three parts:
  • The top box shows each cables unique reference number, when and by whom it originally was sent, and what its initial classification was.
  • The middle box contains the header information that is associated with the cable. It includes information about the receiver(s) as well as a general subject.
  • The bottom box presents the body of the cable. The opening can contain a more specific subject, references to other cables (browse by origin to find them) or additional comment. This is followed by the main contents of the cable: a summary, a collection of specific topics and a comment section.
To understand the justification used for the classification of each cable, please use this WikiSource article as reference.

Discussing cables
If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #05DARESSALAAM1205.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
05DARESSALAAM1205 2005-06-21 04:29 2011-08-25 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Dar Es Salaam
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DAR ES SALAAM 001205 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
E.O. 12958:N/A 
TAGS: ECON PGOV TZ
SUBJECT: NO SURPRISES IN TANZANIAN BUDGET SPEECH 
 
 
Sensitive but unclassified (SBU).  Please protect 
accordingly. 
 
1. (SBU) Summary: Finance Minister Basil Mramba delivered 
the annual Budget Speech before the national Parliament June 
8 in Dodoma.  The speech outlines the economic progress 
during the 2004/05 fiscal year (which ends June 2005) as 
well as the targets for economic growth in the coming 
2005/06 fiscal year.  Announcing very few significant 
changes in this year's budget, Mramba focused the speech on 
"the achievements of the Third Phase Parliament and its 
Government," meaning the last ten years under President 
Mkapa's leadership.  The budget reflects a commitment to the 
status quo, but local businessmen are disappointed in the 
lack of continued economic reforms.  Any significant new 
direction will be left up to the new administration next 
year.  End summary. 
 
------------------------------- 
Economic Performance in 2004/05 
------------------------------- 
 
2. (U) Minister Mramba began his speech by outlining the 
"profound achievements" of the "Third Phase Government under 
the leadership of President Benjamin William Mkapa."  He 
focused on Tanzania's steady GDP growth, low inflation, 
improved revenue collection, and an attractive investment 
climate.  Mramba reported that the Tanzanian economy grew by 
6.7 percent in 2005, compared with 5.6 percent in 2004 and 
that it surpassed the target of 6.5 percent set in last 
year's budget speech.  He reported that inflation decreased 
from 4.8 percent in March 2004 to 4.1 percent at the end of 
March 2005, noting that food inflation in particular had 
decreased.  Mramba also noted that improved revenue 
collection (13 percent of GDP this fiscal year) has helped 
the government exceed its revenue targets.  Still, 41 
percent of the annual budget was supported by foreign aid 
(compared to 45 percent in the previous year). 
 
3. (U) Tanzania's economic growth was driven largely by the 
modest growth (4.8 percent) in agriculture.  Mining was the 
fastest growing sector, at 15 percent growth, but its 
contribution to total GDP growth was only 0.3 percent. 
Construction and manufacturing also led with double digit 
growth in the last year. 
 
----------------------------- 
Goals and Targets for 2005/06 
----------------------------- 
 
4. (U) Mramba stated that the thrust of the budget for 
2005/06 is to implement the National Strategy for Growth and 
Reduction of Poverty.  The main economic targets include: 
 
--Attain a real GDP growth rate of 6.9 percent in 2005 and 
7.2 percent in 2006. (Note: The government has stated that 
with a 3 percent population growth rate, GDP growth must 
approach 10 percent in order to achieve its poverty 
reduction goals by 2025.) 
 
--Domestic revenue is targeted to reach 14.3 percent of GDP 
in 2005 and 14.5 percent in of GDP in 2006. 
 
--An inflation rate of 4 percent by the end of June 2005 and 
thereafter a rate consistent with that of major trading 
partners. 
 
--Maintain gross international reserves at a level above 
seven months of imports of goods and services. 
 
--------------------- 
The Status Quo Budget 
--------------------- 
 
5.  (SBU) Changes announced in Mramba's speech include 
uncontroversial changes in the minimum wage (to adjust for 
inflation) and in a few specific tax provisions.  No 
significant new policies or programs were announced. 
Notably absent from Mramba's speech was mention of the East 
African Customs Union, any of its controversial tariff rates 
under review, or how Tanzania plans to use the five-year 
adjustment period to develop its industrial base. 
 
6. (SBU) Private sector analysis of the 2005/06 budget has 
characterized it as "status quo" or "no-win no-loss."  One 
analyst said, "At least we know what to expect - not much!" 
While appreciating the importance of stability in economic 
policy, many business people feel the government should do 
more to facilitate economic growth, including stepping up 
economic reforms.  In particular, the private sector has 
complained that the government has not done enough to 
develop transport, water, and power infrastructure; provide 
access to affordable credit; or to stem corruption and 
bureaucratic intransigence.  (Note: A credit guarantee 
scheme for small and medium enterprises was an important 
focus of last year's budget speech.  No mention was made of 
its success or failure.) 
 
7.  (SBU) World Bank Country Director Judy O'Connor spoke at 
a private sector gathering after the budget speech. 
Positive about the new budget and Tanzania's economy in 
general, O'Connor praised the focus on poverty reduction and 
the on sustaining a predictable economic policy.  She said 
that Tanzania's macroeconomic stability is just beginning to 
show microeconomic effects.  She said that the small 
reduction of poverty and Tanzania's growth demonstrate that 
its economic policies are really working.  She urged the GOT 
to do more to improve social services and to ensure that 
growth is "shared equitably to ensure prosperity." 
 
----------- 
Bottom Line 
----------- 
 
8. (U) The details of the budget continue to be revealed 
throughout the Parliamentary Budget Session this month as 
each ministry presents its part of the budget.  The bottom 
line, according to Mramba's speech, is that the GOT plans to 
spend Tsh 4.176 trillion in 2005/06, funded by Tsh 2.067 
trillion in domestic revenue and Tsh 2.109 trillion in 
external grants and loans, domestic borrowing, and the sale 
of parastatal shares. 
 
-------- 
COMMENT 
-------- 
 
9. (SBU) Comment:  Minister Mramba's speech reflects the 
position of Mkapa's now lame duck administration, focused on 
legacy rather than future vision.  Indeed, the 
administration can be proud of the dramatic economic reforms 
of the last decade and its increasing ability to attract 
foreign aid.  However, much progress remains to be made in 
creating a vibrant market economy and reducing poverty. 
Tanzania's aid-dependency is not sustainable, as domestic 
revenue cannot even cover the GOT's recurrent expenditures, 
let alone its development expenditures.  As one analyst put 
it, Tanzania is borrowing to consume and that cannot last 
forever.  Mramba has left it up to the new administration to 
figure out how to move Tanzania from aid-dependency to a 
reasonable level of self-sufficiency.  End comment. 
 
OWEN