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### Viewing cable 10SANAA64, YEMEN: HOUTHIS SAY THEY AGREE TO CEASEFIRE POINTS,

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
10SANAA64 | 2010-01-13 14:02 | 2011-04-11 22:10 | SECRET//NOFORN | Embassy Sanaa
Appears in these articles: http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/state_cables_show_rising_concern_about_al_qaeda_in_yemen/2011/04/07/AFrH6EAD_story.html

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    VZCZCXYZ0000
    RR RUEHWEB

    DE RUEHYN #0064/01 0131453
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    R 131453Z JAN 10
    FM AMEMBASSY SANAA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3535
    INFO RUEHRH/AMEMBASSY RIYADH 1732
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
    RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC

` `

    S E C R E T SANAA 000064
    NOFORN
    SIPDIS
    FOR NEA/ARP AMACDONALD AND INR JYAPHE
    E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/13/2020
    TAGS: PGOV PREL MOPS YM
    SUBJECT: YEMEN: HOUTHIS SAY THEY AGREE TO CEASEFIRE POINTS,
    BUT ROYG REMAINS WARY
    REF: 09 SANAA 2287
    Classified By: Ambassador Stephen Seche for reasons 1.4(b) and (d).
    ¶1. (S) SUMMARY. The Houthi rebels’ January 6 acceptance in
    writing of the ROYG’s six conditions for a ceasefire,
    including the cessation of attacks in Saudi Arabia, has thus
    far been ignored by a Yemeni government determined to end the
    five-year rebellion once and for all. It is unclear if the
    Houthis have accepted the ROYG’s conditions because they are
    feeling pressure from alleged ROYG military successes or
    other factors entirely, such as a desire to regroup and
    re-arm as they have done after past rounds of conflict.
    Publicly, the ROYG continues to call for a dialogue with the
    Houthi rebels. Although the ball appears to be in the ROYG’s
    court as to when and under what conditions to begin
    negotiations with the rebels, the government remains
    justifiably concerned about the Houthis’ true intentions.
    END SUMMARY.
    ¶2. (S/NF) The Houthi rebels have accepted the ROYG’s six
    conditions for a ceasefire agreement, including the cessation
    of hostilities against Saudi Arabia, according to al-Haq
    party secretary general and Houthi mediator Hassan Zayd, who
    also said that Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi is alive
    and well, despite reports of his death in late December
    (reftel). In a January 6 letter from Abulmalik al-Houthi,
    which Zayd recognized as Houthi’s penmanship and signature
    and showed to PolOff, Houthi writes, "We renew what we had
    announced earlier of accepting the five points with the
    understanding of our legitimate demands in addressing the
    effects of the war after installation of a ceasefire.
    Regarding the territories that are under Saudi control, we
    will not target them if the Saudis stop their aggression."
    According to Zayd, the contents of the letter were passed to
    President Saleh, who has not yet responded. (Note: The
    Houthis accepted the ROYG’s previous five conditions for a
    ceasefire in early December, but the ROYG rejected their
    offer because of Saleh’s annoyance that it was not made
    publicly, according to sensitive reporting. The Houthis have
    announced their current offer for a ceasefire on their
    website. End Note.)
    ¶3. (S) Publicly, the ROYG continues to call for a dialogue
    with the Houthi rebels, including in President Saleh’s
    January 1 editorial in official al-Thawra newspaper and his
    January 9 interview on Abu Dhabi TV. Saleh, in his New
    Year’s message, called on the Houthis to "lay down your
    weapons," and in return "the state will extend its hand for
    peace." In response to Saleh’s recent calls for dialogue,
    Houthi spokesman Mohammed Abdusalam said that the government
    had to stop attacking the rebels before any serious dialogue
    could be conducted. "The President is continuing to include
    the Houthis in his general calls for dialogue, but it is
    unclear if his intentions are serious," NDI Deputy Country
    Director Murad Zafir told PolOff on January 11. Opposition
    Islah party Assistant Secretary General Mohammed al-Sadi said
    that the president’s recent comments seemed to suggest that
    Houthi representatives could be invited to the
    twice-postponed National Dialogue, now scheduled for late
    January. Sheikh Mohammed bin Naji al-Shaif, a leader of the
    Bakil tribal confederation reportedly close to Saleh, told
    Pol/E Chief on January 12 that there was constant contact
    between members of Parliament acting as intermediaries on the
    Houthis’ behalf and the president. (Note: No further
    information was available to corroborate Shaif’s claims. End
    Note.)
    ¶4. (S) On the military front, the ROYG’s "Blow to the Head"
    (darabat al-ras) operation is continuing to focus on clearing
    Sa’ada City of Houthi rebels. "They have closed the gates to
    Sa’ada City," Zayd told PolOff on January 6, "and are working
    their way door to door." Ruling General People’s Congress
    (GPC) party-affiliated al-Mutamar newspaper reported on
    January 10 that ROYG officials are, perhaps optimistically,
    calling the current operation "the final one inside Sa’ada
    City." (Note: Post has been unable to verify ROYG claims of
    success in Sa’ada City. End Note.) Official news outlets
    have also reported dozens of Houthi casualties in the last
    week, which would make it one of the deadliest weeks for
    Houthi rebels since the beginning of the current round of
    fighting in August. (Note: Elements of both the Yemen
    Special Operations Forces (YSOF) as well as one of four
    Counter-Terrorism Unit (CTU) platoons remain in Sa’ada,
    according to other post reporting. Both were sent to the
    front ) the YSOF as recently as December ) after Yemen’s
    regular forces struggled against the Houthis’ unconventional
    tactics. End Note.) The government’s alleged successes in
    Sa’ada remain doubtful, however, and even a victory in Sa’ada
    City would not necessarily turn the tide in the overall
    conflict. World Food Program (WFP) Representative Giancarlo
    Cirri told the DATT on January 12 that the road between
    Sana’a and Sa’ada City remained closed, with WFP’s relief
    supplies uanble to get through to Sa’ada governorate.
    COMMENT
    -------
    ¶5. (S) The situation in Sa’ada remains a delicate one; each
    side maintains that it is ready to enter peace negotiations
    if ) and only if ) the other side ceases its hostilities
    first. The ROYG ) burned five times before by a Houthi
    organization that has called for peace only to rebuild and
    rearm ) remains justifiably wary of the rebels’ promises.
    If ROYG claims of a near-victory in Sa’ada City are true, it
    might soon assess that the rebels have been sufficiently
    weakened to stay true to their word, and may give the
    ceasefire option a try. END COMMENT.
    SECHE

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