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### Viewing cable 09MEXICO2882, ELEMENTS OF GOM POLICY TEAM INTERESTED IN FOCUSING

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
09MEXICO2882 | 2009-10-05 20:08 | 2010-12-02 21:09 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Mexico

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    INFO  LOG-00   AF-00    AID-00   CIAE-00  CPR-00   INL-00   DODE-00
          DOEE-00  PERC-00  DS-00    OIGO-00  FBIE-00  VCI-00   H-00
          TEDE-00  INR-00   LAB-01   L-00     MOFM-00  MOF-00   VCIE-00
          DCP-00   NSAE-00  ISN-00   OMB-00   NIMA-00  PA-00    PM-00
          PRS-00   P-00     ISNE-00  FMPC-00  SP-00    SSO-00   SS-00
          NCTC-00  ASDS-00  IIP-00   PMB-00   DSCC-00  PRM-00   DRL-00
          G-00     NFAT-00  SAS-00   FA-00    SWCI-00  PESU-00  SANA-00
            /001W

    O 052026Z OCT 09
    FM AMEMBASSY MEXICO
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8484
    INFO ALL US CONSULATES IN MEXICO COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    DEA HQS WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    CDR USNORTHCOM PETERSON AFB CO PRIORITY
    CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL PRIORITY
    COMDT COGARD WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    DEPT OF HOMELAND SECURITY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    DEPT OF JUSTICE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    FBI WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    HQ USNORTHCOM  PRIORITY
    JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    US MARSHALS SERVICE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
    WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L MEXICO 002882

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/04/2019
    TAGS: KCRM PGOV SNAR MX
    SUBJECT: ELEMENTS OF GOM POLICY TEAM INTERESTED IN FOCUSING
    TOGETHER ON IMPROVING SECURITY IN A FEW KEY CITIES

    Classified By: NAS Director Keith Mines, reasons 1.5 (b) (d)

    ¶1. (C) Summary: At a dinner hosted by PGR for a visiting DOJ
    delegation, National Security Coordinator Tello Peon and
    Undersecretary for Governance Gutierrez Fernandez told the
    delegation they would like to explore seriously focusing our
    joint efforts on two or three key cities to reverse the
    current wave of violence and instability and show success in
    the fight against the DTOs in the next 18 months. They
    suggested starting in Ciudad Juarez, Tijuana, and one other
    city with a joint planning cell to review what resources we
    could collectively bring to bear. They believe the symbolism
    of turning several of the most violent cities would be
    potent, sending a signal to the rest of the country that the
    fight against organized crime can be won, and combating the
    current sense of impotence felt by many Mexicans. They
    believe it would also go a long way toward stitching up the
    country,s damaged international reputation. End Summary.

    ¶2. (U) Acting Attorney General Alcantara hosted a dinner for
    Deputy Attorney General for the Criminal Division Lanny
    Breuer September 21 in Mexico City. Other attendees
    included:

    GOM
    National Security System Coordinator Jorge Tello Peon
    Undersecretary for Governance (SEGOB) Geronimo Gutierrez
    Fernandez
    PGR DAG (SIEDO) Marisela Morales
    PGR DAG Victor Emilio Corzo Cabanas
    PGR Director for Analysis and Strategic Information Oscar
    Rocha Dobrowski

    US
    Deputy Assistant AG Bruce Swartz
    Deputy Assistant AG for Criminal Division Kenneth Blanco
    Special Assistant to the AG Paul Rosen
    DOJ Attache Tony Garcia
    NAS Director Keith Mines

    GOM WANTS FULL TRANSFER OF INTEL TECHNOLOGY AND TRAINING
    --------------------------------------------- -----------

    ¶3. (C) Alcantara opened the meeting with two requests from
    Oscar Rocha. First, he said PGR would like to develop a more
    general exchange of intelligence information and capacity,
    not the case-by-case exchange we now have. Second, they
    would like for us to provide a full exchange of technology
    for use in intelligence gathering, not just the loan of
    equipment for specific cases, but the transfer of the
    know-how and training as well. Morales added that the FBI is
    helping to create a cyber-unit in Mexico but it would be
    beneficial if it were expanded and replicated more broadly.
    The SSP, she said, already has a cyber-unit but the real
    mandate rests with PGR-SIEDO. The U.S. side offered that
    there is great capacity in CCIPS in the Criminal Division and
    they would be happy to find ways to offer training and
    capacity building to their Mexican counterparts. We would be
    pleased, Breuer said, in the effort to press High Value
    Targets, to get our Mexican counterparts to the point where
    they can do these things themselves. It will take the
    development of strong trust through proper vetting and good
    training but it would be excellent to get to the point where
    there is no longer impunity for a Chapo Guzman because his
    operating space has been eliminated.

    ¶4. (C) Rocha then spoke of the technological leap about to
    take place in the coming years in the intelligence field. He
    cited the target-finding equipment used by the USMS with
    Mexican counterparts but asked if it would be possible to
    acquire not only such equipment for GOM officials, but also
    the training and full technology transfer that would go with
    it. He suggested we work with vetted units first to provide
    such equipment and training, and then move it out more
    broadly, both to PGR and CISEN. The U.S. side suggested
    getting together in the appropriate working group to see what
    could be done. Rocha reiterated that his intent would be to
    develop indigenous to the PGR all the capacity they currently
    have only in conjunction with the USMS.

    STRATEGIC MISCALCULATIONS IN MERIDA
    -----------------------------------

    ¶5. (C) Gutierrez Fernandez then turned to the Merida
    Initiative, saying that in retrospect he and other GOM
    officials realize that not enough strategic thought went into
    Merida in the early phase. There was too much emphasis in
    the initial planning on equipment, which they now know is
    slow to arrive and even slower to be of direct utility in the
    fight against the DTOs. Of more immediate importance is
    building institutions that can effectively use the equipment.
    He was careful to point out that all the equipment is needed
    and will be put to good use, but wishes that there had been a
    more direct focus on institution building, and supported the
    current shift in Merida focus to capacity building and
    creating more effective institutions.

    "WE HAVE EIGHTEEN MONTHS"
    -------------------------

    ¶6. (C) Gutierrez went on to say, however, that he now
    realizes there is not even time for the institution building
    to take hold in the remaining years of the Calderon
    administration. "We have 18 months," he said, "and if we
    do not produce a tangible success that is recognizable to the
    Mexican people, it will be difficult to sustain the
    confrontation into the next administration." He lamented
    the pervasive, debilitating fear that is so much a part of
    contemporary Mexican society, where even people in the
    Yucatan, with "European levels of security" are afraid
    because of the instability in a few distant cities. He
    expressed a real concern with "losing" certain regions. It
    is damaging Mexico's international reputation, hurting
    foreign investment, and leading to a sense of government
    impotence, Gutierrez said.

    DON,T SHY AWAY FROM THE HARDEST CHALLENGES
    ------------------------------------------

    ¶7. (C) Gutierrez believes what is needed is a clear roadmap
    for the remaining years of security cooperation between the
    U.S. and Mexico under President Calderon that targets a few
    joint projects in a few cities, rather than doing a little of
    everything. Tello Peon agreed, suggesting that there is not
    time for pilot projects, and certainly not time to work in a
    few relatively safe cities such as Nuevo Laredo as has been
    suggested, in order to develop the experience to take on the
    real challenges.

    ¶8. (C) Instead, he believes, we need to confront the cities
    with the largest insecurity and fix them. If we could turn
    around Tijuana, Ciudad Juarez, and one other city such as
    Culiacan, it would solve 60% of the violence, and send a
    signal to the Mexican people that the war can be won.
    Politically, he and Gutierrez said, Mexico must succeed in
    Juarez because Calderon has staked so much of his reputation
    there, with a major show of force that, to date, has not
    panned out. Even if it is not completely solved by the time
    Calderon leaves office, if they can get things moving in the
    right direction, setting the conditions for ultimate success,
    it will be enough. There was a brief &chicken and egg8
    discussion, with one side suggesting that well-placed and
    effective federal forces could push back the DTOs
    sufficiently for the state and local forces to function,
    while others believed that well-functioning state and local
    forces will be a precondition for the federal forces to
    produce stability.

    MOVING FORWARD TOGETHER
    -----------------------

    ¶9. (C) Gutierrez thought that to start we need a good joint
    assessment of organized criminal groups that makes explicit
    their vulnerabilities. We have, he said, five things to put
    into the fight: resources, training, joint operations,
    technology, and cooperation, and we need to mobilize
    effectively all of them. He especially mentioned the need to
    synchronize our joint efforts, citing the recent show of
    force the U.S. promised on our side of the border that could
    not be matched by anything on the Mexican side, leaving it
    hollow. Tello Peon suggested we form a planning cell, a few
    experts on each side, who could focus on a few programs in a
    few places for the next 2 years.

    ¶10. (C) In addition to the intelligence and operational
    cooperation that would be at the heart of the new approach,
    Gutierrez and Tello Peon mentioned the importance of cultural
    and political factors. Politically, Mexico may have a
    federal system, Gutierrez said, but historically it has been
    more centralized like Colombia or France. The federal
    government, however, no longer has the ability to manage the
    system from top to bottom. He suggested it would be
    necessary for success to break through the impasse produced
    by Mexico,s currently dysfunctional federal system and
    ensure programs can be synchronized with the states. Tello
    Peon also said there will be a need to work on the cultural
    factors required to produce a &culture of lawfulness8 that
    would mobilize the societal support necessary for success.
    Culture and politics will be very complex, he said, but can
    be made to work. A clearly articulated and strong doctrine
    will help get people behind the strategy.

    ¶11. (C) Tello Peon ended the discussion by saying he arrived
    at the dinner somewhat fatigued but would leave energized.
    He thought it was an excellent mix of people and welcomed the
    honest exchange of new ideas. Mexico, he summarized, is
    committed to staying the course, which is sustainable with a
    few clear successes.

    ¶12. (C) Comment: We will follow up with Tello Peon and
    Gutierrez in the coming weeks to see how committed the GOM is
    to the strategy of selecting a few key cities and working to
    turn security. If it is their strategy and they plan to
    execute it, we should get behind it, using the new strategic
    framework to build a regional program to take on the biggest
    challenges in key border cities. A considerable amount could
    be done with existing funding and a marginal increase in
    staffing. We would use the remainder of the calendar year
    for planning, and have a new series of programs ready to roll
    out in the new year.

    Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at
    http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity and the North American
    Partnership Blog at http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/nap /

    PASCUAL

`