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### Viewing cable 06HAVANA8633, IF YOU DON'T HAVE YOUR HEALTH..." (AILMENTS AMONG

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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | --- | ---
06HAVANA8633 | 2006-04-20 20:08 | 2010-12-16 21:09 | CONFIDENTIAL | US Interests Section Havana

`

    VZCZCXRO9804
    PP RUEHAO RUEHCD RUEHGA RUEHGD RUEHHA RUEHHO RUEHMC RUEHNG RUEHNL
    RUEHQU RUEHRD RUEHRG RUEHRS RUEHTM RUEHVC
    DE RUEHUB #8633/01 1102006
    ZNY CCCCC ZZH
    P 202006Z APR 06
    FM USINT HAVANA
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5744
    INFO RUEHWH/WESTERN HEMISPHERIC AFFAIRS DIPL POSTS
    RUEHSK/AMEMBASSY MINSK
    RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
    RUCOWCV/CCGDSEVEN MIAMI FL
    RUESDM/JTLO MIAMI FL
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
    RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 HAVANA 008633

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS, INR

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/19/2016
    TAGS: PGOV PINR ECON SOCI CU
    SUBJECT: "IF YOU DON'T HAVE YOUR HEALTH..." (AILMENTS AMONG
    THE CASTRO CLAN)

    REF: A. HAVANA 8017
    ¶B. HAVANA 7324

    Classified By: MICHAEL E. PARMLY FOR REASONS 1.4 b/d

    ¶1. (C) Summary: Castro has reduced his public profile
    since February, but rumors of debilitating ill health are
    unfounded. Russian officials who met with him last week
    described Castro as "lively." In contrast, Raul Castro
    wears a back brace and appears to be in worse physical
    condition than his elder brother. Rumors are running wild
    that Vilma Espin, Raul Castro's wife, is near death and
    that a grand burial is in preparation. (Vilma is a
    prominent figurehead, and her death will be treated with
    the solemnity accorded to a revolutionary commander.)
    Eusebio Leal, the "Mayor" of Old Havana, has also been ill
    for some time, but recently appeared publicly at a
    diplomatic reception and art show. End Summary.

    Castro (Relatively) Quiet
    -------------------------

    ¶2. (C) Castro watchers note the Comandante has ramped down
    public speeches since his last marathon presentation on
    January 19-21 (three nights of television appearances to
    discuss the "Year of the Energy Revolution") (ref A).
    Other than an appearance on the evening talk show "The
    Round Table" excoriating Posada Carriles and the U.S.
    Interests Section, Castro's speech topics have been low
    key: Information technology (before a visibly bored
    student audience); primary education; sports; the 44th
    anniversary of the Union of Communist Youth; and last
    night's commemoration of the Battle of Giron (Bay of
    Pigs).

    ¶3. (C) Castro does not appear to have met with Nation of
    Islam leader Farrukhan during his April visit (ref B),
    though he has feted other "luminaries" -- for example, he
    presented the Jose Marti Prize to Hugo Chavez on February
    ¶3. Today, April 20, Castro is expected to receive
    visiting Belarusian Prime Minister Sergey Sidorskiy.

    ¶4. (C) Castro's relatively subdued public profile
    initially sparked (once again) rumors of ill health, but
    they are unfounded. Russian officials at a signing
    ceremony for the purchase of five passenger aircraft last
    week spent several hours with Castro and described him as
    "lively and lucid." Other foreign visitors have made
    similar observations. Instead, Castro's low profile may
    have been encouraged by nervous Castro aides looking to
    "turn down the volume" in expectation of hot weather,
    associated power outages and an irritated populace (ref
    B). Castro spent so many successive nights on TV during
    the hot summer of 2005 with its interminable power
    shortages that the Cuban public began to ridicule him
    openly, demanding a more dependable electrical current -
    along with their prime time sports and soap operas.

    ¶5. (C) In contrast to his elder brother, Raul Castro is
    ageing badly. Japanese Ambassador Iwata told COM that
    conversations with regime insiders indicate the younger
    brother is in worse physical shape than Fidel. According
    to Iwata, Raul wears a back brace almost constantly at
    present, and is reportedly in serious pain much of the
    time from an undisclosed ailment.

    Vespers for Vilma
    -----------------

    ¶6. (C) Even worse off is Raul's wife, Vilma Espin Guillois
    de Castro, who is reportedly on her death bed. USINT
    officials have heard the rumor that she was dead or near
    death from five sources, and two of whom went so far as to
    suggest that Espin was already dead and being kept "on
    ice" until after (or perhaps during) the GOC's May Day
    celebrations. On the other hand, Reuters journalist Marc
    Frank said Espin has been ill for some time and had called
    her friends up to a year ago to bid a final adieu. It
    seems Vilma has spent a long time "on her death bed."

    ¶7. (C) In any event, Vilma's departure from the scene will
    be a significant event for the GOC. According to Frank,
    her funeral will serve as a useful "trial run" for the big
    day (Fidel's death). Dissident Martha Beatriz Roque heard
    a grand burial site was under preparation in Holguin

    HAVANA 00008633 002 OF 002

    Province.

    ¶8. (C) Comment: Vilma Espin is a key public figure. She
    is not only Raul's wife, but Fidel's ceremonial First Lady
    and Head of the Cuban Women's Federation. She is not,
    however, a political power and has served mostly as a
    shining example of womanly revolutionary values (similar
    to "Mother of the Revolution" Celia Sanchez, who died in
    1980). More relevant female figures in the GOC include
    Maria del Carmen Concepcion, a regional leader in Pinar
    del Rio, and Minister of Basic Industries Yadira Garcia.
    End Comment.

    Eusebio's Illness
    -----------------

    ¶9. (C) Eusebio Leal, the so-called "Mayor of Old Havana,"
    has been rumored to be sick (possibly with diabetes) for
    some time. A Dutch hotel manager reported that
    restoration projects in Old Havana had stalled as a
    result. A Cuban project manager for Habaguanex (Leal's
    organization), confirmed Leal's illness to P/E officer but
    denied that restoration in Old Havana had suffered. She
    said the projects had been going on long enough that
    Leal's staff was perfectly capable of running the show.
    (Comment: This might be true in the short run, but Leal is
    both the brains and the political brawn behind the
    restoration of Old Havana and his influence with Castro is
    exceptional. End Comment.) Despite his ill health, Leal
    attended a Mexican diplomatic reception and art show
    earlier this week and did not betray any obvious frailties
    other than some weight loss and a display of his well-
    established short temper - he was seen berating two
    subordinates after the Mexican event.

    PARMLY

`