Subject: Plausible Deniability
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Date: Fri, 21 Apr 2006 18:18:12 +0300

Plausible Deniability

by J. W. Deardorff (2002, updated 2006)

Maintenance of the UFO Coverup

That there is a UFO coverup can scarcely be denied (Fawcett &
Greenwood, 1984; Good, 1988; Greer, 1999, pp. 301-312; Maccabee, 2000). It has
been maintained through the voluntary wishes of about half the population,
particularly persons in position of authority, as well as by the various
governmental agencies that established the UFO ridicule factor. This factor has
been especially effective in causing the UFO topic to be taboo for scientists.
However, the coverup has also been maintained by the UFO aliens themselves
(Douglass, 2001). This should be obvious, considering the several
hundred-thousand screened UFO reports since 1947, many multiply attested, in
which the aliens could have made their appearances definite or could have stayed
in one place long enough for the news media to gather and present the event to
the world—that is, if the aliens had wished to allow this and show how easily
they could, in self-defense, defeat the military forces that would converge upon
the scene. Instead, not only the multitudinous sightings and landing-trace
evidence, but abductions, crop-circle formations and cattle mutilations have all
been accomplished covertly, without leaving sufficiently firm evidence behind to
satisfy most ufologists.

Since such aliens did not move in and wipe us out or enslave us decades or
millennia ago, the inference is that they, or the ones in charge of the coverup,
maintain an ethic of not forcing society as a whole to believe what it is not
yet prepared to believe. They appear to have done their homework on us, and are
leaving it up to us: experiencers, ufologists, the other half of the general
public, and Hollywood, to gradually make their existence, presence and
capabilities known. The aliens’ role, then, is largely as catalysts and
behind-the-scenes teachers, or, as Leo Sprinkle has expressed it, as messengers
conditioning us towards cosmic consciousness (Sprinkle, 1999, pp. 168-169). Even
from abductions—especially from abductions—we have learned much about the alien
capabilities that we never could have just from UFO sightings alone. This is not
to imply, however, that covertly educating us and preparing us is the only
reason for the alien presence here now. We cannot expect to fathom all the
reasons the various alien groups may have for being here.

Where is science in all this? Its fringes have not been totally silent. In
the past quarter century the hypothesis has been proposed that aliens are
currently in Earth’s vicinity and aware of us, but are mainly staying out of
sight, by means of their advanced technology, because they have an embargo or
quarantine against us, or because they are treating the solar system as if it
were a wildlife refuge (e.g., see Ball, 1973; Kuiper & Morris, 1977;
Harrison, 1981; Soter, 1985). Suggested motivations for such strategies include
the desire by ethical aliens to wait until we have become more civilized, to not
provoke our societies into chaos by a sudden alien presence for which we are
unprepared, and to ensure that unethical alien groups don’t take over. The UFO
phenomenon then represents a purposeful “leak” in the alien embargo, such that
when full disclosure does occur, the shock upon society will not be so
calamitous (Deardorff, 1986; Deardorff et al., 2005; Sprinkle, 1999, pp.
183-184).

Alien use of deception is another means by which they can uphold the "leaky
embargo" while making their presence known to witnesses who can distinguish
between the real features of a genuine UFO sighting versus deceptive features.
As to speculated alien motivations for this, besides the ethical goal of not
prematurely disrupting the UFO coverup, one is that the "good" aliens do not
wish us to turn them into gods or initiate new religions. This might occur if
everything they told their abductees and contactees appeared to be fully
truthful and consistent, but is less likely if deception or disinformation is
involved. Most people presumably don't wish their god/God to lie to them.

A possible alien goal closely related to this is to discourage us from
accepting their every word or action as truthful or non-deceptive. This will
tend to cause those who recognize the reality of the alien presence to continue
to think logically and scientifically for themselves, and not lapse into an
unhealthy dependence upon the aliens for information. Instead, every alien
communcation and apparent action will need to receive close scrutiny as to its
veracity.

The Coverup as applied to the Meier case

It is consistent with the leaky-embargo hypothesis that the Meier case
comprises a part of the leak in the embargo. However, its uniqueness indicates
the man has been singled out for a special role. Bringing the Talmud of
Jmmanuel (TJ) to the attention of interested persons could be a major part
of this role. What other document in the past two millennia could be more
important for Western civilization than setting the history straight as to the
origins of Christianity, and giving the true teachings of Jmmanuel, alias Jesus?

The Pleiadians must have had to abide by the overall alien strategy of
covertness even while setting Meier up with unique photo opportunities and
contacts that would serve to attract attention to him, his experiences, his
writings and the TJ. They would have had to ensure that doing this would not
prematurely rupture the UFO coverup. This would be akin to abiding by a Codex
Galactica as suggested by Newman & Sagan (1981), or the Prime Directive of
“Star Trek.” With hindsight, we can understand how this balancing act was
accomplished. The aliens themselves would have to ensure that Meier would be an
easy target for skeptics, realizing that debunkers tend to ignore supportive
facts while focusing upon actions that may seem suspicious of fraud.

However, Meier was allowed to take so many beamship photos and
collect so much other evidence (not even presented in this website) of his
Pleiadian contactors’ presence that one may wonder: Why didn’t this cause rapid
acceptance of the reality of Meier’s experiences? Why didn’t it cause a prompt
collapse of the worldwide UFO coverup? Some of the answers to this question do
not directly involve the ETs: Too many ufologists did not wish to treat a
contactee case seriously; the Meier case was far too unique, and so ufologists
would dismiss it like scientists do a datum point that lies too far afield; such
ufologists did not wish to accept the possibility that aliens could actually
work magical wonders well beyond our present level of understanding; they
disliked the idea that aliens would pick for their prime contactee a man whose
formal schooling did not extend nearly to the level of their own; they did not
wish to receive ridicule from colleagues; they did not care for the spiritual
message Meier received and disseminated, etc. Other answers involve the ETs.

Here are some of the actions that Meier's ETs could take, or did take, to
prevent the large amount of good evidence they allowed him to accumulate from
rupturing the UFO coverup:
(a) allow only
Meier to come to contact meetings;
(b) allow
only Meier to take daytime photos and 8mm film of the Pleiadian
UFOs;
(c) not allow Meier to photograph any of
the Pleiadians themselves;
(d) cause the tree
at Fuchsbüel-Hofhalden in July 1975 to disappear only days after he took his
photos of the beamship hovering there on all sides of the
tree;
(e) shower Meier with excessive flattery
at times during contact meetings, which he would object to but dutifully record
in his Contact Reports; later, cynical readers would then assume that Meier had
invented self-flattering prose;
(f) maneuver a
beamship deceptively during one of the 8mm movie filmings (e.g., Maccabee, 1989a;
Deardorff, 1989; Maccabee, 1989b), so as to make it appear rather like an
oscillating UFO model;
(g) provide Meier,
temporarily, with a model beamship, which he photographed and reported to be a
model (Meier, 1983, photo #63; Stevens, 1988a), then retrieve
it;
(h) treat Meier to space trips and other
events involving some of the aliens’ advanced technology, which would only
invite incredulity on the part of most
ufologists;
(i) include items of
disinformation at times for Meier to transmit in his Contact Reports, which
items most ufologists or scientists would either chuckle over or shake their
heads in disbelief, while assuming that Meier had invented them; this may
include purposely false prophecies intermixed with astonishingly accurate
prophecies;
(j) tell Meier at first that his
contactors were from the Pleiades, then later that they were from a space-time
shifted form of the Pleiades, and that they should be called Plejarens, not
Pleiadians— this could make it seem like Meier learned in the interim that the
Pleiades were not an old enough star cluster to have evolved conditions suitable
for advanced life to develop;
(k) provide
Meier (in 1990) with minor corrections to the Talmud of Jmmanuel (Deardorff, 2001) — this could
reinforce skeptics' views that Meier had invented the entire TJ. With plausible
deniability in mind, they appear to have taken other actions regarding the TJ
also: ensuring that Meier would survive to distribute the TJ translation while
taking no such action to ensure survival of the translator (Rashid) and the
Aramaic scrolls/rolls themselves, after the early 1970s; causing a rockslide
down over the hillside containing the tomb site in which the TJ had been
unearthed.

All of the above actions, and more, may, when examined only superficially,
seem to discredit Meier, but they were well under the control of the
Pleiadians/Plejarens to have implemented. Most of them are self-explanatory. In
(f), the particular maneuver in the Maccabee reference mostly involved the UFO
circling around the top of a tree in a simple harmonic motion, as in a pendulum
movement. The skeptic’s interpretation then was of a model swinging around a
model tree at the end of a string whose length could be deduced from the period
of the pendular movements. Thus this maneuver fit in well with the alien
strategy outlined. However, pendular UFO motions have been noted in other
witnessed UFO instances (Olsen, 1989; Pine, 1993; Maccabee, 1993). Thus the UFO
craft are quite capable of such maneuvers, and when this incident is
examined in depth, one finds far too many very serious problems with the hoax
hypothesis to advocate it.

Item (i) above is especially important. By including some “silly science,”
contradictions, and/or unacceptable thoughts into what they tell a contactee,
the aliens can ensure that most scientists who learn of it will assume the
contactee invented it. Although Meier’s Contact Reports are fascinating reading,
this precaution should be kept in mind. In many instances, however, even a
scientist may not be able to discern for sure just what in these reports could
be disinformation as opposed to truth. These reports are very realistic in their
word-for-word recordings of what Meier said in response to what his contactor(s)
told him, and in contact-related events they describe what different witnesses have corroborated.

Alien implementation of plausible deniability in general

Thus it is hypothesized that this strategy of presenting truth plus
semi-plausible deniability is implemented by the aliens while they carry out
their sightings to us and their contacts. Within ufology in general, aliens
sometimes present their craft at nearly the same time, and in the same general
location where persons are situated who could witness it, as the occurrence of a
scientifically explainable event, such as a bright meteor or a satellite reentry
(Gordon, 1985, p. 8). This seems to have happened much too often to be explained
by coincidence. If in any particular instance the aliens should decide that they
provided too much UFO evidence to some witness, they can always provide some
further, seemingly bizarre, incident for that witness to experience that will
tend to discredit him or her. Alternatively, they can cause evidence to vanish:
(e.g., Stevens, 1982, p. 426; Gordon, 1984; Stevens, 1988b, pp. 139-140; Kinder,
1987, 249-253; Walters & Maccabee, 1997, pp. 34-35), including “angel hair,”
and similarly for fetuses that vanish from pregnant abductees’ wombs. Yet again
they can send around a few Men in Black (MIB) to intimidate the witness into not
speaking out further (Clark, 1998), or to cause him/her to become discredited
after reporting some bizarre aspect of the MIBs or their dress or behavior. In
the Meier case, the Pleiadians/Plejarens must then have been especially
careful to frequently provide deceptive evidence or remove other evidence in
order to maintain the UFO coverup in the face of all the positive evidence they
allowed him to accumulate.

Item (i) is also important in serving to prevent a UFO case from turning
into some new religion, for ETs ethical enough to refrain from doing so. Who
would want to turn the Pleiadians into gods and goddesses upon noticing that
they have dished out disinformation along with truths? Or, how could Meier ever
be treated as a spiritual teacher, or head of a new religion, if everything he
relayed from the Pleiadians/Plejarens has to be considered on its own merits as
to whether it is “wheat” or “chaff”?

This strategy of semi-plausible deniability seems to be fail-safe, in that
even disclosing it can in no way cause it to fail. Those who are intent to focus
on the aliens’ deceptive actions, or the naturally occurring uncertainties in a
case, while dismissing the supportive evidence, are not likely to accept the
reality of an alien strategy of semi-plausible deniability. They can just assume
that those who do recognize the positive, supportive evidence are under a
self-reinforcing delusion. The qualifier "semi-" is used here to prefix
"plausible deniability," because the UFO aliens present evidence that supports
the reality of their presence and sightings as well as presenting evidence or
taking actions that can raise suspicions that the witnesses were mistaken or
were hoaxers. The negative skeptics implausibly ignore the former while
concentrating on the latter. This behavior seems to accompany such skeptics'
refusal to accept the possibility or likelihood that not only are the UFO aliens
present and greatly advanced over us technologically and scientifically, but
they are also more intelligent than we, and can stay two jumps ahead of our best
scientists. This topic, of the contacting UFO aliens (or ETI) actually being
intelligent and implementing a strategy of semi-plausible deniability in dealing
with us, such that people are not forced into believing what they don’t want to
believe, has been almost entirely neglected within ufology. If or when this
strategy were to become widely known and accepted, the time would have arrived
at which the aliens should no longer need to maintain their role in the UFO
coverup. Their strategy will then have succeeded.

Some advantages of this semi-plausible-deniability hypothesis are that it
not only accounts for the UFO coverup by the aliens themselves, and for UFO
aliens not having wiped us out any time in our past, but accounts for both the
firm evidence favoring particular UFO cases and the elements that skeptics find
suspicious.

References

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